Eskimo Joe Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 New event. Winter Weather Advisory from 3/3/2015 3:00 PM to 3/4/2015 4:00 AM EST for York County. More information:http://inws.wrh.noaa.gov/weather/alertinfo/21461618 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 from the Pittsburgh thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wow, too bad you can't just extrapolate that 15 zone NE lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
djr5001 Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 from the Pittsburgh thread and that is after about 2" of rain for much of that 15 zone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 For NEPA... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AMEST WEDNESDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A WINTERWEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET...WHICH IS INEFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY.* LOCATIONS...CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.* HAZARDS...SNOW... FREEZING RAIN... AND SLEET.* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW... FOLLOWED BY UP TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE.* TIMING...SNOW STARTING TUESDAY AFTERNOON THEN TRANSITIONING OVER TO A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET DURING THE EARLY EVENING AND LASTING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S.* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS. ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES MAY OCCUR DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF ICE AND GUSTY WINDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Wow...nice dude. All I can figure is CTP is taking the GFS for precip. since I add up and inch of snow and a tenth of an inch of ice and get roughly 2 tenths of precip. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 OT - Check out these stupid people in this video...Run. http://www.ebaumsworld.com/video/watch/84492407/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jmister Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Boy, it doesn't get much more than the 18z NAM for the northern 2/3rds of the area... http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ETAPA_18z/etaloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 extrapolate that. Extrapolate this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 OT - Check out these stupid people in this video...Run. http://www.ebaumsworld.com/video/watch/84492407/ Who's more stupid: The people on the beach or the people filming the people on the beach IN PORTRAIT MODE?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 My God. Ebaumsworld.com is still a thing? I just had a rush of nostalgia for the early 2000s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 My God. Ebaumsworld.com is still a thing? I just had a rush of nostalgia for the early 2000s. I literally just thought the same thing haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Courtesy of Randy in the MA forum. WPC has been doing pretty well this year with these probabilistic maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 Just ventured out into the backyard to measure the overall snow depth. Pretty much between 15-16" with an ice layer somewhere in the middle of that. Safe to say the state of the snowpack is strong here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 BGM for tomorrow... Snow: Ice: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Tomorrow afternoon's commute is going to absolute suck all over this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GFS still too far south unless you're in the LSV. Wish one of these southerly models would budge.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Binghamton's CWA is colossal. Can't they put an office in Utica or Syracuse or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 GFS still too far south unless you're in the LSV. Wish one of these southerly models would budge.... That's true, but the operational GFS has budged... The past two runs have made quite a decent shift northward, actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Binghamton's CWA is colossal. Can't they put an office in Utica or Syracuse or something? Huh? State College's CWA is just as big or bigger. In fact, Binghamton is probably smaller than the average CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I guess it's the size of some of those counties in NY that make it look larger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 Binghamton's CWA is colossal. Can't they put an office in Utica or Syracuse or something? Or at least have a doppler near Scranton so that whole part of eastern PA would be easier to monitor these winter storms coming into that area (or severe weather in the summer). Actually, one in Reading would ideally fill that radar hole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 Anything placed in Reading would be stolen in a week. I'm not saying Reading's a rough place. But Reading's the kind of town that when it hit you playing football, it went after your family next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 I've never been much of a fan of being serviced by BGM, they're far more focused on upstate NY. The AVP office should have never been closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted March 2, 2015 Author Share Posted March 2, 2015 That's true, but the operational GFS has budged... The past two runs have made quite a decent shift northward, actually. I still think that frontal boundary will be sluggish to press southeast especially with that second wave right on the heels of the first one. Probably won't be to the point of full NAM, but that solution isn't particularly outlandish either. The cold air that is pressing will be pretty legit too and certainly nothing marginal, so we could be talking more ice again in the southern tier to start (or transition back from rain if precip never really ends from wave #1) with the cold air bleeding in at the surface and low levels first if the more northern solutions come to fruition. Either way, I know I'd rather watch this whole mess evolve from this region instead of the DC tropics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 We'll see MAG, but given the long-term trend, I would rather be in DC/PHL/NYC right now. 18z GEFS mean. Can't find individuals yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 2, 2015 Share Posted March 2, 2015 We'll see MAG, but given the long-term trend, I would rather be in DC/PHL/NYC right now. 18z GEFS mean. Can't find individuals yet. Agreed, heavy banding sets up there a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 With a robust +AO/NAO and a southeast ridge, I think I'd rather be in central PA than DC or even northern MD. I know many of you think I-95 is always the sweet spot, but we've got all kinds of issues with timing of the front, temps above the 850 level, and possible prolonged sleet. If I had to put my money on any of the recent runs, I'd go with the UKMET (though its QPF may be overdone). This has time to nudge north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I like it for the LSV. Still a lot can change. I'll enjoy my "digital snow" for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 18z GEFS individuals. Good hits again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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