burgertime Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 @28 a tick colder and heavy precip is making it's way into WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The SLP track looks darn close to 18z even though the ULL was a tad weaker. Yeah, at hr 24 the surface low is the same strength (1000 mb) and maybe 25 miles further NW. Basically identical. h5 is also closed off again, though probably briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Not as wet this go round for the upstate but wetter for WNC vs. 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 cutoff ULL just east of Memphis @24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Something definitely changed in the mid-levels on the models, especially the SREF. They have snow as predominant p-type over RDU...much improvement over 15Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Wow this run is slower...gonna be a huge hit for WNC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Something definitely changed in the mid-levels on the models, especially the SREF. They have snow as predominant p-type over RDU...much improvement over 15ZLast minute cooling trend, which is apparently a thing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Noticed the dew point is lower tomorrow night on this run at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Seems colder and wetter, nice run. Heavy QPF further NW at 33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 northern sc benefits from the cooler temps this run and is heavy snow at hr 27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Entire state of NC gets .50 - .75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The surface low is definitely stronger post-hr 24... Maybe a tick NW or maybe it's just a little slower. Suffice to say, we just got NAM'd? Definitely wetter than the 18z run for NW NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I like where I sit....just on the edge of .75 - 1 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Sounds more like a likely soution than 1"+ runs Entire state of NC gets .50 - .75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 man rdu gets hammered, great run. very heavy rates all night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Can someone elaborate on the slower look to this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Well, that was interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Just NE of RDU is 16 inches lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 rdu looks like anywhere from 7-11" locally. higher totals closer to ne nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Can someone elaborate on the slower look to this run? doesn't look slower to me, the low is just 1mb stronger and in the same exact location 9z on 2/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Once again, the NAM shows the SC/NC I-85 corridor with the swath of heaviest snowfall. Actually closest to the 6z NAM (my favorite of the day) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 998mb low off hatteras at 33hr with rdu getting smoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Wake Co is 1.25" QPF, all snow till the very end where it mixes with IP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 NAM total precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Just NE of RDU is 16 inches lol You were saying? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Wow! What a run! For once I'm sitting pretty. Nam kills north georgia! I'm nervous though! Great run for Cumming north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 WPC, having the heaviest snowfall forecasts so far, has been tossing the NAM FWIW...good weenie runs but I wonder when it will start to back off the precip if it does? Disco from 4pm:"THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A POTENTIALLY DECENT DYNAMIC COOLING REGIME FROM NRN GA/ERN TN THROUGH NC/SRN VA AND PERHAPS FARTHER NORTH. THIS ENTIRE FCST SOUND FAIRLY STRAIGHT FORWARD... HOWEVER A DECENT AMOUNT OF SPREAD EXISTS WITH THE GUIDANCE. THE CLEAR TREND OVER THE PAST 24 HRS IS A CONTINUE TREND TO THE NORTH WITH THE EXTENSION OF THE DEVELOPING PRECIP SHIELD. THE 12Z NAM/09Z SREF MEAN ARE AN ACTUAL CLEAR OVER-AMPLIFIED SOLUTION... WHILE THE GFS/ECMWF ARE MORE SUBDUED. WPC BOUGHT THE NORTHWARD TREND BUT REMAINED CONSERVATIVE IN RELYING CLOSE TO THE GLOBAL DUO OF THE GFS/ECMWF THROUGHOUT. THIS MEANS DRAWING SNOW FARTHER NORTH INTO PARTS OF THE TN VALLEY/APPALACHIANS AND MID-ATL REGION. THIS FCST REMAINS FLUID ESPECIALLY THURS FOR A REGION SUSCEPTIBLE TO ANY WINTER WEATHER INVOLVING AN ACTIVE SRN STREAM... PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND ARCTIC AIR." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 A great ouuput in WNC. The NAM continues to love the SW NC mountains, Nothern Upstate and southern foothills with heavy rates of snow.. NAM total precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Once again the NAM drops over 1.25 here. It would be nice if the others agreed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Prolly good to cut those totals back just a hair. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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