griteater Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 My call for the Charlotte area (for fun) would be a rain/snow mix at the start, changing to all snow, 2-5 inches. Moderate rates at times. Precip beginning around 6PM, ending around 2AM. Good luck everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I thought it would be more too, but it's like 30 miles from .75". I think the over-running will over-perform and get a little further north, IMO, I am just not sure how far west the coastal, once off the SE coast will throw snow back. Considering how fast this sucker is moving I shouldn't be surprised. That may be just about right. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 TWC still showing all rain for Pickens County tomorrow. Either they are genius or just out to lunch TWC is not worth the time of day if you looking at their website or app. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 QPF breakdown for RDU per today's modeling... GFS - 0.25" Euro - 0.5" UK- 0.7" RGEM - 0.7" 4km NAM - 1" Throw out the high/low looking right around 0.6" QPF. Yep, blend of the Euro/UK. Imagine that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 someone change the name of the thread, TWC just named our storm "Winter Storm Remus". in other news...i agree that rdu looks good for .5"-.75" qpf, with the chance of locally higher amts. a solid snow storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 we got 4. It just stopped snowing a few minutes ago and the sun came out. Believe it or not up to 33 now. What model are you leaning towards, or which blend? Awesome! I'm in the less amped camp. Pretty much everything but the NAM/SREF. RGEM probably overdone. Solid 4-6" NGA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 When's the next model update? Around 3-4? Aren't you the one talking about meteorology over modelology and how it's only going to be 1-2" in RDU with more rain? You should know these things but it seems your asking very nubish questions in here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yep, blend of the Euro/UK. Imagine that. I am riding the RGEM starting tonight. Last weeks event it was consistently between 0.6-0.7" QPF and we finished right at 0.6". The NAM's were spitting out there usual 1"+ QPF crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 someone change the name of the thread, TWC just named our storm "Winter Storm Remus". in other news...i agree that rdu looks good for .5"-.75" qpf, with the chance of locally higher amts. a solid snow storm. Is today's storm Romulus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ITPBeeches Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 James Spann's analysis after the 12z Runs: http://www.alabamawx.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 someone change the name of the thread, TWC just named our storm "Winter Storm Remus". in other news...i agree that rdu looks good for .5"-.75" qpf, with the chance of locally higher amts. a solid snow storm. Darn! I was hping for "Winter Storm Ro-Revus" ... there are probably about 3 folks on here who grew up in SC that MIGHT understand that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ITPBeeches Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Good God. The naming conventions used by TWC is one of the most useless things shoved down the throats of the fine citizens of this country. SMDH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Extreme NEGA Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I hear a lot of you guys talking about Andy Wood on here. I know him pretty well. Right now he is talking about 2-6" for the following areas: northern AL, northern GA, upstate SC, western NC, southern TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 James Spann's analysis after the 12z Runs: http://www.alabamawx.com/ Huntsville just issued warnings for 3-5" and 4-6" with highest amounts south. I still think FFC will call for 2-4 for the immediate metro with maybe 4-6 up in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Delta's map from yesterday is probably going to verify. Nice work sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ITPBeeches Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Huntsville just issued warnings for 3-5" and 4-6" with highest amounts south. I still think FFC will call for 2-4 for the immediate metro with maybe 4-6 up in the mountains. 2-4" with isolated pockets of 4+, esp North and West. I wouldn't expect to see any amounts south of I-20 over 3", especially east of town. WPC has me with 6", but I really think that's a little too high. I'd expect nothing more than 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I am riding the RGEM starting tonight. Last weeks event it was consistently between 0.6-0.7" QPF and we finished right at 0.6". The NAM's were spitting out there usual 1"+ QPF crap. didnt do badly today either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 New call map is up online. Thanks everyone for the kind words and please continue to like and share my page! Yall rock!! https://www.facebook.com/ChriswxmanSimmons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 someone change the name of the thread, TWC just named our storm "Winter Storm Remus". in other news...i agree that rdu looks good for .5"-.75" qpf, with the chance of locally higher amts. a solid snow storm. HA HA HA HA I think they might have named this one from wishful thinking.......on all of our parts. Should have been spelled reamus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The northwestern burbs of ATL might get buried, we are so close to the transition line. Either paste job crushing or boatload of fail. Leaning towards crush job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The euro had .03 for raleigh on todays storm up until last night from which it went up to around .2 or so if i remember. So I honestly wouldn't read too much into these qpf outputs until tomorrow afternoon if you're in NC. At that point it's almost obvious anyway w/ radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Members don't let members watch TWC Members don't let members watch TWC I never watch TWC anymore except when they are in storm mode, and then they are about as good as anybody else, I mean that's covering such a wide area. They certainly are right in line with our local mets and NWS on this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The northwestern burbs of ATL might get buried, we are so close to the transition line. Either paste job crushing or boatload of fail. Leaning towards crush job. I have my umbrella and sled both ready. I'm prepared for either scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The euro had .03 for raleigh on todays storm up until last night from which it went up to around .2 or so if i remember. So I honestly wouldn't read too much into these qpf outputs until tomorrow afternoon if you're in NC. At that point it's almost obvious anyway w/ radar. If I remember right EURO QPF has underperformed a few precipitation events here this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The northwestern burbs of ATL might get buried, we are so close to the transition line. Either paste job crushing or boatload of fail. Leaning towards crush job. Totally We are walking that fine line. Who ever ends up just in the all snow zone close to the transition zone will jackpot. That said if I have to drive 20 miles north to see that I will. I'm thinking we will be good where we are at though. As Cheez said north 285 seems to be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I hear a lot of you guys talking about Andy Wood on here. I know him pretty well. Right now he is talking about 2-6" for the following areas: northern AL, northern GA, upstate SC, western NC, southern TN. Where is Andy now? I really miss him on Fox 21. Never heard where he went. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 someone change the name of the thread, TWC just named our storm "Winter Storm Remus". in other news...i agree that rdu looks good for .5"-.75" qpf, with the chance of locally higher amts. a solid snow storm. I think so, too. The GFS is all alone while everything else has .50 or more of precip. If we get more Like the NAM then watch out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ITPBeeches Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The northwestern burbs of ATL might get buried, we are so close to the transition line. Either paste job crushing or boatload of fail. Leaning towards crush job. It'll be a crazy gradient. I'm hoping that along & north of I-20 holds serve. I think there will be enough dynamic cooling to get some chicken feather type snowflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AirNelson39 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The euro had .03 for raleigh on todays storm up until last night from which it went up to around .2 or so if i remember. So I honestly wouldn't read too much into these qpf outputs until tomorrow afternoon if you're in NC. At that point it's almost obvious anyway w/ radar. I agree 100%, too many people putting too much stock into the actual model qpf totals right now. I still thing there is time for a ~50 mile or so jog of the heaviest precip to shift NW, and also PLENTY of time for the precip shield to expand NW. I think tomorrow's 12z runs should have a firm hold on the totals and no one should have a meltdown or a party until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Aright this is what I am going to go with for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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