POWERSTROKE Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The kool kids in NC want the EURO/NAM to be right, and the rest of the gang wants the RGEM and GFS with euro blend for the southern folks. LOL I think the NAM was on crack tonight..I will say that. I win either way if in NC, SC or Ga. No snow equipment south so we come there to plow. 2010 was great down there. I do appreciate your videos and time on here. Love reading your ideas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The precip field is more expansive, but if anything the slp is further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 rgem pretty much agrees with the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The kool kids in NC want the EURO/NAM to be right, and the rest of the gang wants the RGEM and GFS with euro blend for the southern folks. LOL I think the NAM was on crack tonight..I will say that. lol..yep. .i won't get into it in this thread but Fact is, for someone to be a winner someone has to lose. It sucks but it's the truth. Personally if it looks bad here or something like the nam, i'm likely heading to gainesville or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 With 48 hours to go it could end up back south and wouldn't be surprising. Nobody should be sweating over missing it yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 rgem pretty much agrees with the nam Ehhhhhh, not really IMO, I thought it was much more progressive and faster, the NAM was insanely slow and amped up at 500 through 30-36. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z GFS is way south. Gonna be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 TAKE THIS TO THE BANK!!! im saving this image. pretty to look at even if it busts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Berlin1926 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Can't the NAM and GFS just get along??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 RGEM was a crush job for west central GA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 lol..yep. .i won't get into it in this thread but Fact is, for someone to be a winner someone has to lose. It sucks but it's the truth. Personally if it looks bad here or something like the nam, i'm likely heading to gainesville or something Agreed!! I think the new RGEM looks like a really nice compromise and closer to the DOC with more snow output Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Can't the NAM and GFS just get along??? They are both terrible models, ride the UKIE/Euro/RGEM combo here at 00Z, the GFS and NAM cannot be trusted at all right now, the NAM has been horrendous all winter and the GFS has been very bad the last few weeks on all the winter storms in the Northeast, its been easily the worst model with the NAM right behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 It puts way too much energy in the Tuesday night snow and lets the Wednesday night storm go south. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Ehhhhhh, not really IMO, I thought it was much more progressive and faster, the NAM was insanely slow and amped up at 500 through 30-36. Looks close to the nam at 48, 1005 towards the fla panhandle and extensive precip into TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Agreed!! I think the new RGEM looks like a really nice compromise and closer to the DOC with more snow output The RGEM being where it is at 48 hours is a concern I think for people in WRN NC or VA who want big snows, I have rarely seen the RGEM ever be more suppressed than most other guidance in that range and end up turning around and going amped, its almost as reliable as seeing the NAM flat at 84 hours vs other guidance, it usually means said storm system is going to be flat in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The kool kids in NC want the EURO/NAM to be right, and the rest of the gang wants the RGEM and GFS with euro blend for the southern folks. LOL I think the NAM was on crack tonight..I will say that. If this is our last hurrah for the winter, I'd gladly surrender some of our potential walloping so more of us can have pleasant memories. But then I always shared crayons in kindergarten, only to have some come back half chewed. Best of luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 RGEM was a crush job for west central GA. And only 48 hours out...may be more east as that moisture keeps moving... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Looks close to the nam at 48, 1005 towards the fla panhandle and extensive precip into TN. Look at the difference back in MS and SWRN TN though...the NAM is so much more wrapped up at 500 and holds precip back more with the ULL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 FYI the UK office had a power outage today, if the UKMET is running late do not be alarmed, I have not been told anything official but do know they had an outage 6-8 hours ago and supposedly everything is back to normal so I would expect it would run on time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Look at the difference back in MS and SWRN TN though...the NAM is so much more wrapped up at 500 and holds precip back more with the ULL It's not as held back with the energy but it isn't the gfs, just an example to toss the super weak gfs while ukmet/nam/euro all have a more amped solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 It's not as held back with the energy but it isn't the gfs, just an example to toss the super weak gfs while ukmet/nam/euro all have a more amped solution. I would agree the GFS is likely further from reality, its amazing how badly it did with tonight's event in GA/SC...it literally had nothing on its runs as recently as 24 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deltadog03 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The RGEM being where it is at 48 hours is a concern I think for people in WRN NC or VA who want big snows, I have rarely seen the RGEM ever be more suppressed than most other guidance in that range and end up turning around and going amped, its almost as reliable as seeing the NAM flat at 84 hours vs other guidance, it usually means said storm system is going to be flat in the end. great points!! I just can't see this being that strong like the NAM. I will be curious to see what the CMC and Doc do tonight. I think if they look about the same or a smidge further south...WSW need to be flying off the shelf over I-20 tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I would agree the GFS is likely further from reality, its amazing how badly it did with tonight's event in GA/SC...it literally had nothing on its runs as recently as 24 hours ago. Yeah it's been having it's issues. Euro/ukmet will really tell which trend is more likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The RGEM is just laughable. Can anyone take this model seriously ? It shows a ton of snow very far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 great points!! I just can't see this being that strong like the NAM. I will be curious to see what the CMC and Doc do tonight. I think if they look about the same or a smidge further south...WSW need to be flying off the shelf over I-20 tomorrow am. The CMC has been as bad as the gfs lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 FYI the UK office had a power outage today, if the UKMET is running late do not be alarmed, I have not been told anything official but do know they had an outage 6-8 hours ago and supposedly everything is back to normal so I would expect it would run on time What time does the UKMET usually come out ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 great points!! I just can't see this being that strong like the NAM. I will be curious to see what the CMC and Doc do tonight. I think if they look about the same or a smidge further south...WSW need to be flying off the shelf over I-20 tomorrow am. The CMC should be similar to the RGEM, most of the time they are close in agreement inside 72 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The RGEM is putting a lot of stock into the storm tomorrow, as well. Seems a little overdone there to me, unless I get a sudden surprise 1-3" tomorrow... That might affect things down the line. It was good to see the 00z GFS increase its precip shield, if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 What time does the UKMET usually come out ? It comes out here at 1140-1145 generally, there are some sites I think that it comes out around now or 1130 but most people don't know which ones LOL, I know I do not.... http://meteocentre.com/models/models.php?lang=en&map=na&mod=ukmet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The CMC should be similar to the RGEM, most of the time they are close in agreement inside 72 hours. That would be a north trend though, 12z had precip along the TN/GA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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