sparklecity Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Radar in the upstate looks like it's beginning to pivot and the bands intensifying out west. Here we go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Atlantic low forming now. Off shore *between* Savannah and Charleston. Maybe a little ahead of schedule? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebaney Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 RAH saying north of 64 could see 2 inches per hour for several hours. I am exactly 1/2 mile north of Hwy 64. Can hear the traffic from my house. I guess I will see if the line is literally along it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Raleigh: HAZARD TYPE...HEAVY SNOW IN THE PIEDMONT... AND A MIXTURE OFSNOW AND SLEET AT TIMES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW ALONG AND NORTH OFHIGHWAY 64... THIS INCLUDES 5 TO 8 INCHES IN THE TRIAD... AND 8TO 12 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST PIEDMONT INCLUDINGTHE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE TRIANGLE AREA. THE MIXTURE OF SNOWAND SLEET WILL REDUCE ACCUMULATIONS OVER THE SOUTHERNPIEDMONT... NORTHWEST SANDHILLS AND PORTIONS OF THE COASTALPLAIN TO BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Atlantic low forming now. Off shore *between* Savannah and Charleston. Maybe a little ahead of schedule? Most of the modeling showed this as an elongated low as it got into the Atlantic, so I don't think so. Looks like it's really starting to take on more of a NE trajectory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The storm looks a lot more focused on the eastern half of NC and most of SC now...must be because the low is transferring to the Atlantic. It looks far less organized than it did when it was still in the gulfm though the bands are very heavy in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Most of the modeling showed this as an elongated low as it got into the Atlantic, so I don't think so. Looks like it's really starting to take on more of a NE trajectory. So is this good, or bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Radar in the upstate looks like it's beginning to pivot and the bands intensifying out west. Here we go! yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Atlantic low forming now. Off shore *between* Savannah and Charleston. Maybe a little ahead of schedule? that's looks WAY east of all the model guidance and I like it, I am flirting with the line to much here and need the 850's to get south and stay there cause the snow is piling up and I really need it to stay all snow lol..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I am exactly 1/2 mile north of Hwy 64. Can hear the traffic from my house. I guess I will see if the line is literally along it.The highways do contribute to precipitation type. It is known, Khaleesi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The storm looks a lot more focused on the eastern half of NC and most of SC now...must be because the low is transferring to the Atlantic. It looks far less organized than it did when it was still in the gulfm though the bands are very heavy in NC. Yeah the 5h low has weakened dramatically and the coastal really hasn't organized yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Downeast, I don't think that's out of line with the models. There may be a slight depression there, but otherwise, the main lobe of low pressure is along the FL/GA border, as the models predicted. We won't really know if the low forms there or further west until later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The storm looks a lot more focused on the eastern half of NC and most of SC now...must be because the low is transferring to the Atlantic. It looks far less organized than it did when it was still in the gulfm though the bands are very heavy in NC. Notice those lines beginning to pivot back across Tennessee and Ala. They have to go somewhere...generally speaking, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Most of the modeling showed this as an elongated low as it got into the Atlantic, so I don't think so. Looks like it's really starting to take on more of a NE trajectory. Yes, its a good point. It has certainly become elongated as it transitions from the GoM to the Atlantic. By 2 it should be fully in the Atlantic, and that's consistent with the guidance. I notice some pivot now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 that's looks WAY east of all the model guidance and I like it, I am flirting with the line to much here and need the 850's to get south and stay there cause the snow is piling up and I really need it to stay all snow lol..... Its looking good! We need it to sit there and stew awhile! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I have to imagine the precip. shield will consolidate more over the next few hours, pivots and bands become more N/S oriented. The heaviest bands will still be in the eastern half of NC where the insane rates are, though the "deformation band" or comma cloud will probably produce some decent back end snow for upstate SC or parts of western Piedmont(Charlotte areas) as long as it's cold enough. You can see the comma cloud's left overs in N GA now based on the radar. That could consolidate into one healthy band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I think am starting to see more eastward movement to the low and a lessening of precipitation in the western piedmont that may spell trouble for our 5-6 inches as it (the new low) moves off quickly to the NE and the RAP looks like it might be as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Latest HRRR additional snowfall (Minus a few inches) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drfranklin Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Latest HRRR additional snowfall is that an additional 4-5 inches for the upstate? would that be from the pivoting mesoscale bands? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheapdad00 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 So is that an additional 18-24 near you and Brick? Latest HRRR additional snowfallacsnw_t6sfc_f15 (1).png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 is that an additional 4-5 inches for the upstate? would that be from the pivoting mesoscale bands? I tend to subtract what has fallen in the last 1 to 2ish hours from it... but if nothing has fallen, that's what it is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 So is that an additional 18-24 near you and Brick? Something like that... probably more like 10 in reality though. Still impressive. Checking out 850s now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Latest HRRR additional snowfall (Minus a few inches) get_orig_img (77).pn This is what the radar should look like, if the HRRR is true. This is what the radar actually looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Latest HRRR additional snowfall (Minus a few inches) get_orig_img (77).png in addition from now as zero hour or aggregate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 in addition from now as zero hour or aggregate? subtract this amount of snowfall and thats the additional accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 This is what the radar should look like, if the HRRR is true. This is what the radar actually looks like. Looks pretty close. The GSP radar sucks, generally, so I wouldn't get too upset about the exact color match there. The band structure is more or less right, and it looks great over central and eastern NC/SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Looks pretty close. The GSP radar sucks, generally, so I wouldn't get too upset about the exact color match there. The band structure is more or less right, and it looks great over central and eastern NC/SC. Hoping this comma-head does some magic . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebaney Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The highways do contribute to precipitation type. It is known, Khaleesi. okay i don't get that nevermind I do. mine was sarcasm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 It looked to me like the RAP totally lost the back side energy. Should it do anything or is it going to completely die? TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Latest HRRR additional snowfall (Minus a few inches) get_orig_img (77).png So about a foot here in total? Doubt it happens, but I'm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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