Berlin1926 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 get_orig_img (76).png22z RAP still has those insane amounts (some sleet in areas) ... just won't give up. What the heck is happening in northern Vance County... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisr4419 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Snow What the heck is happening in northern Vance County... Somebody built a snow dome? That is odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The FFC forecast puzzles me greatly. The have 2-4" from Hartsfield all the way to Cartersville, no variation. Hartsfield has no chance of snow, Cartersville is going to get crushed. WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cvanderhyde Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Been at 3 - 5 for a day and a half having a hard time believing that any words from yall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobNC Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 get_orig_img (76).png22z RAP still has those insane amounts (some sleet in areas) ... just won't give up. Is there a reason why they are not projecting the large snow amounts to make it all the way to the northern OBX or VB oceanfront? Rain mixing in or just a model glitch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The FFC forecast puzzles me greatly. The have 2-4" from Hartsfield all the way to Cartersville, no variation. Hartsfield has no chance of snow, Cartersville is going to get crushed. WTF? I think they just gave up and went home. To be honest they can start cancelling some of the winter storm warned counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 What the heck is happening in northern Vance County... Probably due to the lake. It isn't modeling the snow over the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 What the heck is happening in northern Vance County... Isn't that a lake under that hole? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Yes, but note the -2 offshore Savannah! Even some rotation to the wind field. Yeah the low jumping over to that point would be awesome and really put RDU and points east back in the game....unless it goes due north from there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 850s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Yes, but note the -2 offshore Savannah! Even some rotation to the wind field. If we get a transfer, that wouldn't bode well for snow, would it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Yes, but note the -2 offshore Savannah! Even some rotation to the wind field. That's where the low is going to reform. I said earlier the Euro was out to lunch with it's inland track nw of kchs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The FFC forecast puzzles me greatly. The have 2-4" from Hartsfield all the way to Cartersville, no variation. Hartsfield has no chance of snow, Cartersville is going to get crushed. WTF? I was explaining it to my wife earlier......Snowmaggedon Atlanta 2014 has ruined all conservative forecasting around here for at least a few years or until people start forgetting what happened and being stranded in their cars for 36 hours. - Buck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 If we get a transfer, that wouldn't bode well for snow, would it? I think so CR, for your location and much of central and even portions of eastern NC. We don't want it too far north and west like inland of Hatteras like we were saying this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 That's where the low is going to reform. I said earlier the Euro was out to lunch with it's inland track nw of kchs. If it is then its would drastically alter the prediction for central and eastern NC...I am not sold on it yet but it does match the Euro/GFS consensus they held for days and would also be validation of the overamped NAM idea most had leading up to the storm......very much NYC blizzard bust like if that is the new low forming and it takes the further offshore track the Euro had yesterday and Monday..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 That's where the low is going to reform. I said earlier the Euro was out to lunch with it's inland track nw of kchs. agree mike, i dont think we see the extreme nw tracks esp west of chs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I think so CR, for your location and much of central and even portions of eastern NC. We don't want it too far north and west like inland of Hatteras like we were saying this afternoon. Thanks. I thought with reforming lows like this the thermals got all screwed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 That's where the low is going to reform. I said earlier the Euro was out to lunch with it's inland track nw of kchs. My thinking as well. Looks like it wants to jog a little north and come ashore around Pensacola and then head up toward southeast SC coast though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 agree mike, i dont think we see the extreme nw tracks esp west of chs. Temps continue to fall here. 36now and A north to northeast wind around 10. enough surface cold down here to shunt an inland track plus the intense rain rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tonysc Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Use the obs thread kthx Use the obs thread kthx You know.....I don't post very much at all on this forum, and when I do I'm always just trying to share info that I think might be of interest to a lot of people here. But I do read these boards all the time, and I see people saying all kinds of things that are totally irrelevant, but I do have the tact to just move on and not mention it. So I'll thank you to keep your remarks about anything that I have to say, to yourself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Looks like the RAP takes the LP over S GA and exits around SAV, FWIW. Same goes for the HRRR. I don't see it tracking W of CHS, either. The RAP isn't necessarily very trustworthy, but this all occurs in the next 6-8 hours, so it's probably pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Looks like the RAP takes the LP over S GA and exits around SAV, FWIW. Same goes for the HRRR. I don't see it tracking W of CHS, either. rap is sticking to its guns with those ridic totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Thanks. I thought with reforming lows like this the thermals got all screwed up. Well its not jumping like a Miller B though I don't think, its more a question of path. The slp has been slowly strengthening all day. Once it gets in the Atlantic, that rate of change should increase, abet only slightly though in this case. I don't think its going to bomb out to sub 990 for example. Didn't see that on any of the models. 996 off Hatteras though is still pretty good, we will see if it makes it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Thanks. I thought with reforming lows like this the thermals got all screwed up. Also there will be a dry slot somewhere.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Also there will be a dry slot somewhere.... The dry slot looks to be down here Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 May have spoke too soon! 1K now making a bee line to Panama City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packfan98 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 rap is sticking to its guns with those ridic totals. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 down to 1000mb, man this thing is going to cruuuush us rdu folks east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 I think taking a gfs/nam/euro blend and putting this SLP offshore about 50 miles up the coast is a good call. Look at the sfc prog and the fact that this is an open wave and not a stacked bowling ball, it will only get so far inland. The NAM is probably as far nw as it can get IMO. Going to be a fun night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.