FLO Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 18z RAP while still agressive, is trying to back off down this way now with amounts per accumulation maps. Shawn think us poor ppl in CAE are the only ones watching the RAP. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 The 21z SREFs might be a tick wetter in some areas, though largely the same, I think. In any case, WOOF. All of NC outside of the mtns is 1"+ on QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 New movement back to showing MAXS into the upstate area again on the 18Z. Yes, please be onto something Let the RAP be onto something for once! That's a massive amt of snow for such a short duration. Dynamics are going to be insane with this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JacobNC Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Let the RAP be onto something for once! That's a massive amt of snow for such a short duration. Dynamics are going to be insane with this setup. LOL. 30+ in Pittsboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Why are the 850s positioned like this? East Atlanta metro is getting screwed...I've been under some heavy returns too, but it's rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 You gotta check this out if you're a skew t fan. 3am rap sounding at rdu for 1 hour. THe hour before this show's .7 but the sounding looks closer to sleet or zr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 All of NC outside of the mtns is 1"+ on QPF How about this track? Yum... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxKnurd Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Those are just ridiculous totals for an event of this total duration. Wish I was on my way home right now instead of Friday. The moisture I'm seeing on simulated radar images is impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 HOLY CRAP. 21z SREF mean is over 11" here. WOW. Every single member is over 5" except one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 SREF plumes for RDU went nuts. Up to 12" mean. 5 members >15", only 4 members <6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 SREF mean for KSPA is now 9.17". A large cluster is around the 9-11" mark. 7 members 10"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Dynamics man. Not out of the ordinary for an upper low to produce rapid enough rates to overwhelm the column. It's interesting this particular 500mb low is causing this though, considering it is opening up over the tn valley. Usually these kinda totals only happen under closed lows. If that verifies, i will be stuck for a bit. LOL. 10-15 inches, but with a sharp dropoff to nothing just south of Sumter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Raine1212 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 A little sleet mixing in with rain here, that was not suppose to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The crappy SREF mean is up 2" to 9.70". All but one over 5". HOLY CRAP. 21z SREF mean is over 11" here. WOW. Every single member is over 5" except one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 HOLY CRAP. 21z SREF mean is over 11" here. WOW. Every single member is over 5" except one. looks like the arw panels won Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think thundersnow in inevitable. Taking a nap now so I can hear it all night. Maybe I will be able to bring out my inner Cantore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 SREF plumes for RDU went nuts. Up to 12" mean. 5 members >15", only 4 members <6". It was a touch colder and wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JQPublic Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 As far as soil temps go, in Durham we see 40 degrees right now. At start of precip yesterday it was about 37. Not going to be much different. At start of precip yesterday it was 24 and dropped to 21 while snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The Euro crosses at 998 mb NW of CHS. Just a polite 50-75 mile NW jump at zero hour. I don't buy that jump and don't buy the SFC low coming inland to my NW. We're 6 degrees lower than forecAst and rain looks to solidly lock some cool surface temps during this storm (dropping back into the upper 30's). The EURO has been doing this all winter and will most likely see thw SFC low end up further east and a little south of that latest prog. The baroclinicity still remains decently far enough offshore the Carolinas and i don't see that much of a migration north which helps you upstream in those locations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Let the RAP be onto something for once! That's a massive amt of snow for such a short duration. Dynamics are going to be insane with this setup. HRRR isn't as over-the-top as RAP, but seems to have a similar mindset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 HOLY CRAP. 21z SREF mean is over 11" here. WOW. Every single member is over 5" except one. I like our position here. With the low strengthening as it makes the turn and therefore probably coming just a bit more west than modeled, we may end up with the jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 SREF mean for KSPA is now 9.17". A large cluster is around the 9-11" mark. 7 members 10"+. Can you link that website again. I wanted to pull it for GMU Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/index.php?YMD=20150225&RT=15&PRM=Total-QPF&SID=EHO&INC=ALL&NNC=&max=&min=&mZOOM=7&mLAT=34.60806610610427&mLON=-81.25713032931685&mTYP=roadmap Can you link that website again. I wanted to pull it for GMU Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Can you link that website again. I wanted to pull it for GMU Thanks http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/fplumes/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
btownheel Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think thundersnow in inevitable. Taking a nap now so I can hear it all night. Maybe I will be able to bring out my inner Cantore One of my friends gave me a hard time about the fact that I would act like Cantore if thundersnow happened (I've seen it once, pretty cool, but I didn't lose my mind or anything). If it happens tonight, I'm def having the fiance' film me out in it doing his dance/speech verbatim... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triadwx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 HOLY CRAP. 21z SREF mean is over 11" here. WOW. Every single member is over 5" except one. That grouping from 16-19" though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 2nd biggest grouping for CLT is a foot plus. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 At start of precip yesterday it was 24 and dropped to 21 while snowing. Soil temps, not air temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 SREF. Juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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