TullyHeel Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Latest from WxSouth. Mentioned possible thundersnow in the Carolinas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tacoma Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 2:49 PM, Cold Rain said: We do need the NAM to back off just a touch. My area is not in good shape with this run. CLT to RDU north looks great though. Someone is getting a pile of snow.think storm will tick nw a little more today. from what I'm seeing and reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:00 PM, Poimen said: There's probably not much reason to argue over the finer details of the NAM, as it is likely too warm and too wet. Regarding temperatures, if everything holds as is with the other models, then yes, the NAM is a warm outlier....but what we don't yet know is how the other models will trend over the next 24 hr (same could be said for the NAM's trends too). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:06 PM, Lookout said: lol..yeah boy. I always depend on glenn f'n burns to keep us up to speed....the only problem is he normally is going backwards a word about the nam. it's is a good bit further north than the rest of the guidance, excluding the sref of course. at the same time the nam has the surface low along the florida panhandle or even extreme se alabama, the gfs and euro has it well down in the gulf..with the canadian and uk probably a good 75 to 100 miles further south. The difference between a paste job and nothing for much of the ATL metro. Huge implications, could be a record setting snowfall or a big fat zilch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Someone posted this on another forum. I don't know how accurate it will be. It only goes out 48 hours so the storm hasn't reached NC yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z RGEM is stronger with the ULL and a tick further NW with SLP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebaney Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 2:59 PM, WidreMann said: That's not meteorology. That's just stupid. I just spewed coffee on my computer screen. I don't ever post but cannot ignore this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 RGEM at 39... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 RGEM looks colder than the nam for alabama and Georgia . Maybe the nam is too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 12z is beefier than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:19 PM, metwannabe said: RGEM looks colder than the nam for alabama and Georgia . Maybe the nam is too warmYa think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 rgem looks great on temps and qpf, should be a good run for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 RGEM ptype - http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:22 PM, griteater said: RGEM ptype - http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Thought the rain/snow line would be further south in GA and east in NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:22 PM, griteater said: RGEM ptype - http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Looks very close to the NAM. I still think they are a both a little to amped at this range but the RGEM did get stronger and ticked NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackGrad05 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Rain/snow line just south of Wake. Our geography puts us on the border-line almost every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I'm waiting for the model center to see what's going on. Trying to dissect those crap maps makes my head hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Good grief. 25 miles one way or the other for me could mean all rain or over half a foot of snow...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 A few more ticks stronger and NW, and we're going to be in some trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 2:46 PM, Brick Tamland said: You are the only one saying rain. Ahh, but it doesn't make him wrong. It's a viable concern, especially if a prounounced trend develops. As long as someone shares the reasoning for concerns, it's all good. Better discussion = better education. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Honestly, that looks more like how the NAM precip type maps would look. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:26 PM, Cold Rain said: A few more ticks stronger and NW, and we're going to be in some trouble. If we want a big snow then we have to toe the line, just NW of the rain/snow mix will be the jackpot. Personally, I would rather take that chance then be at a safe 1-2" event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:26 PM, JoshWeather said: Good grief. 25 miles one way or the other for me could mean all rain or over half a foot of snow...lol The line has to be somewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:28 PM, packbacker said: If we want a big snow then we have to toe the line, just NW of the rain/snow mix will be the jackpot. Personally, I would rather take that chance then be at a safe 1-2" event. Dont thunk you want to be on the edge right now though. This thing could tick NW a few more times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I dont see how on earth we make it to 43 tomorrow, especially if we hold onto snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 There will be ticks northwest, that you can bet on...how much is the question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:28 PM, packbacker said: If we want a big snow then we have to toe the line, just NW of the rain/snow mix will be the jackpot. Personally, I would rather take that chance then be at a safe 1-2" event.pack is all in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:30 PM, JoshWeather said: Dont thunk you want to be on the edge right now though. This thing could tick NW a few more times If the GFS comes in like the RGEM/NAM then I will worry, but I think it will tick NW of it's 6z run but still SE of the NAM/RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TullyHeel Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:26 PM, Cold Rain said: A few more ticks stronger and NW, and we're going to be in some trouble. It will probably end up somewhere between the NAM, Euro, and GFS. It will be colder than the NAM. We will be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 3:31 PM, Bango said: There will be ticks northwest, that you can bet on...how much is the question Any ticks NW of what is showN now puts all of SC in rain and half of NC in rain. Gonna be a disappointing day for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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