BIG FROSTY Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yeah I got to travel to eastern part of the state tomorrow, this snow has caught me off guard if it's 1-3 inches or something like that. I knew there was a chance of seeing some, but really wasn't expecting accumulations! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The Australian is on board... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Divine Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 hopes this holds true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:21 AM, BIG FROSTY said: Yeah I got to travel to eastern part of the state tomorrow, this snow has caught me off guard if it's 1-3 inches or something like that. I knew there was a chance of seeing some, but really wasn't expecting accumulations! Call me if you need me or Grimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 WRAL still not buying it for Raleigh. <50% chance of 2" of snow Wed/Thurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:04 AM, mp184qcr said: TAKE THIS TO THE BANK!!! im saving this image. pretty to look at even if it busts. Only 7 inches bro, nothing to sneeze at but not exactly big dog level. Now the eta (modern day nam) meteogram the night 48hrs before December 2000 would have been something to save. Even though it busted.... BTW, the GFS tends to move in trends. I have hardly ever seen it completely jump to a different solution in 1 run in the SR. So I would bet you will see the QPF fields become more favorable as we get closer to 0 hour. Mostly due to the fact the 5h vort will trend stronger. The gfs has a tendency to shear out these stj vorts too quickly aloft when we have southern sliders. It generally over does the polar jet influence. That reduces the dynamics and resultant preicp. Patience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Goose , who always stops by and other Mets dropping by our forum, thanks from evetyone. Phil usually slips back around go time most events. We all appreciate your input. Know this is banter, but I'm speaking for all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 GSP calling for 0.47" of precip for charlotte. That aint too bad!! It's wayyy up from earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 NAVGEM is a beast still, usually that would worry the RDU folks but with the GFS 250 miles south of it at 48 hours we are scratching our heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Most system have been a little wetter than advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:21 AM, SnowGoose69 said: The Australian is on board...Wow.. This is my 4th winter on Amwx and this is the first time I've ever heard of that model. The more you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Until things settle down, ride with the Euro Ensemble Mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:21 AM, SnowGoose69 said: The Australian is on board... oh my! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:31 AM, ILMRoss said: Wow.. This is my 4th winter on Amwx and this is the first time I've ever heard of that model. The more you know. I've never heard of it and I've been doing this stuff for six years now, LOL... BTW, DT posted an article on his site about this, FWIW: http://www.wxrisk.com/about-feb-25-26/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:31 AM, ILMRoss said: Wow.. This is my 4th winter on Amwx and this is the first time I've ever heard of that model. The more you know. Not one of my Met professors ever mentioned it also. your not the only one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamsputnik Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:31 AM, ILMRoss said: Wow.. This is my 4th winter on Amwx and this is the first time I've ever heard of that model. The more you know. There is a pretty solid Bureau of Meteorology down there. Posting as an Aussie living in Atlanta who had never seen it actually snowing before he moved here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Looks like the 00z GGEM is going to be more N/W compared to the 12z run based on early indicators. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:41 AM, superjames1992 said: Looks like the 00z GGEM is going to be more N/W compared to the 12z run based on early indicators. Yep looks better oriented...hard to tell though without seeing the 5h maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:32 AM, griteater said: Until things settle down, ride with the Euro Ensemble Mean Pretty much matches OP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 CMC joins the other models. Nice deform band on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 CMC looks great. I like the track and strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:46 AM, burgertime said: CMC joins the other models. Nice deform band on it. Yep. Not a huge storm, but a nice 3-6" for most of NC and it really hamers I-20 in the Deep South. Beautiful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 UK pretty much held,a hair SE if any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 4:47 AM, superjames1992 said: Yep. Not a huge storm, but a nice 3-6" for most of NC and it really hamers I-20 in the Deep South. Beautiful! yeah, follows the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
5statewx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 00z UKMET Holds course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The 00z UKMET is pretty similar (the position at hr 60 is smack dab on top of the 12z run). It's a little further south in the Gulf, so probably a better hit down there than the 12z run. Great hit for many... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GlaringSun Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 CMC gives 6 inches for my area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 UKMet is a little less with precip, and not as expansive to the northwest, but not a big difference. Not quite as sharp with the wave. Sfc low is pretty much identical to last run, just south of Hatteras. Thickness looked a tick warmer, but don't have 850 temps now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 CMC is a really good run for the ATL weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILMRoss Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Does anyone think there could be a tongue of overrunning precip that shoots out a few hours before the models predict? I know that was discussed a lot last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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