wake4est Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 21z SREF plumes 7.57" mean for RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:22 AM, franklin NCwx said: Sref surface low is the same as 15z, precip maybe a little wetter farther north? Might look the same it's a good run. On 2/24/2015 at 1:27 AM, Wow said: Very similar to 15z..maybe not quite as far west in TN? I'm only comparing the 57 hr map. Comparing the SLP track at hour 60 on the 21z to the 66 on the 15z it tick SE a little, maybe 10-20 miles. Splitting hairs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The 21z SREF plumes are now up to nearly 6" at GSO... About 0.5" of that is from tomorrow's event. QPF was down by a few hundredths, but whatever mixing existed on the 15Z from amped members must be gone. The best clustering is around 6-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Mean bumped up 1/2 inch up to 8 now. About 2 inches of that is from tonights snow so more likely 6 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:32 AM, packbacker said: Comparing the SLP track at hour 60 on the 21z to the 66 on the 15z it tick SE a little, maybe 10-20 miles. Splitting hairs...lol.. 10-20 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:33 AM, superjames1992 said: The 21z SREF plumes are now up to nearly 6" at GSO... QPF was down by a few hundredths, but whatever mixing existed on the 15Z from amped members must be gone. the 15z had one member that sent a low into east tenn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:33 AM, superjames1992 said: The 21z SREF plumes are now up to nearly 6" at GSO... QPF was down by a few hundredths, but whatever mixing existed on the 15Z from amped members must be gone. If the mean is still rising then the more suppressed members are dropping away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Some of the SREF totals are also from event tomorrow. Now 2-3 for just east of RDU Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:35 AM, franklin NCwx said: the 15z had one member that sent a low into east tenn. lol, yeah i saw that one. just fixing that one is probably why the amts were a bit less in TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 For RDU the mean for the Wed/Thur deal is a little over 5.5" and it's 2.2" for tomorrow, bumped way up tomorrow. The 15z was 1" for tomorrow and 6" for Wed/Thurs, give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparkync Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:33 AM, superjames1992 said: The 21z SREF plumes are now up to nearly 6" at GSO... About 0.5" of that is from tomorrow's event. QPF was down by a few hundredths, but whatever mixing existed on the 15Z from amped members must be gone. models will waffle ass we get closer, I'm just glad its coming out out of the gulf,would love to see it amp up as it comes up the coast!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:34 AM, franklin NCwx said: lol.. 10-20 miles. 20 miles will make or break some backyards Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 21Z SREF decreased amounts for CLT ... not good trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I would generally like to see the SREFs more north at this range as that is their usual bias, amped wet and north beyond 36-48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:31 AM, wake4est said: 21z SREF plumes 7.57" mean for RDU Yep just about all of them in central and eastern NC are in that range now, pretty sweet to see them actually going up a bit as we get closer to onset usually works the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:38 AM, packbacker said: For RDU the mean for the Wed/Thur deal is a little over 5.5" and it's 2.2" for tomorrow, bumped way up tomorrow. The 15z was 1" for tomorrow and 6" for Wed/Thurs, give or take. You figure RDU will get 2.2" tomorrow? I think the SREF is overdoing. If not, may be a good indicator for Weds night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceagewhereartthou Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:06 AM, wake4est said: That's from 9 hours ago. Would be nice if for once, we could get a SNOWSTORM that wasn't a fast mover. Rainstorms last for days but snow always seems to be bookin it for some reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 NAM time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Next nam runs at 12am? Or now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:55 AM, wake4est said: Now We better see it stay amped or the red flag goes up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Let's not get out hopes up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 there's already a NW trend of the Tues storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:54 AM, TiltedStorm said: Next nam runs at 12am? Or now? 0z: 8:35pm 6z: 2:35am 12z: 8:35am 18z: 2:35pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 The nam has rdu at 26 degrees tomorrow at 1pm with 2 inches of snow on the ground lol. And i'm focusing on wednesday night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 1:40 AM, mp184qcr said: 21Z SREF decreased amounts for CLT ... not good trends. Don't get worried. I would guess it was probably due to some warmth. That happens a lot on the SREF. This is our storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TiltedStorm Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 2:06 AM, HKY_WX said: The nam has rdu at 26 degrees tomorrow at 1pm with 2 inches of snow on the ground lol. And i'm focusing on wednesday night? One storm at a time lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 2:06 AM, burgertime said: Don't get worried. I would guess it was probably due to some warmth. That happens a lot on the SREF. This is our storm. I went cold turkey on the ol' plumes last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigdog_10_2002 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 2:06 AM, burgertime said: Don't get worried. I would guess it was probably due to some warmth. That happens a lot on the SREF. This is our storm. I believe it had more to do with one of the members showing 16"+ falling off (but that is to my completely amateur eye) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 On 2/24/2015 at 2:06 AM, HKY_WX said: The nam has rdu at 26 degrees tomorrow at 1pm with 2 inches of snow on the ground lol. And i'm focusing on wednesday night? If your looking for the best "stickage" this may be the better of the two. Roads would immediately get covered tomorrow whereas the Wednesday night storm may have some issues accumulating on pavement (at first). **Already down to 30.7 here at the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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