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The AWT trend to colder obs thread 02/21-02/22


Damage In Tolland

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Marginal snow growth but man, it is pounding again. 22/20. SN/SN+

Radar blew up quickly.

Totals may not be impressive here but nice dense snow falling.

 

I could have posted this myself.

 

Heavy heavy rimed flakes.

 

Looks great.  Accumuilations will probably suck, but it's all about that look.

 

20.7/19

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how funny if the 100" mark remains untouched in Boston

 

R/S is racing north, definitely ahead of HRRR

 

as Coastal said, the crappy returns and warmth intrudes... i do think we have some room to wetbulb if we can only get better lift, and HRRR has best precipitation as the line approaches

 

0z HRRR doubles down, R/S doesn't make it much past Plymouth

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how funny if the 100" mark remains untouched in Boston

 

R/S is racing north, definitely ahead of HRRR

 

as Coastal said, the crappy returns and warmth intrudes... i do think we have some room to wetbulb if we can only get better lift, and HRRR has best precipitation as the line approaches

 

0z HRRR doubles down, R/S doesn't make it much past Plymouth

Personally, I'm gad that things are verifying north of the HRRR.

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Makes me wonder if HRRR is overdone...really didn't even have LI transitioning until more like 11pm

HRRR is running too cold right now based on obs. There is really nothing preventing this line from marching north. Unless we see precip blossom, the forcing is just too weak as Scott said to stop this. Obviously it can only go so far imo but it is ahead of where it's been modeled.
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