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The AWT trend to colder obs thread 02/21-02/22


Damage In Tolland

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  On 2/22/2015 at 10:33 PM, Max said:

Oh I believe that your instrumentation said 35.7F and that it works fine. I just think your digital thermometer might be in a bad spot to see actual daytime temperatures. 

 

 

We've already been over that realization years ago. It's not something Kevin is fond of discussing, so we rarely bring it up these days. I just believe the readings are biased a touch cold.

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  On 2/22/2015 at 10:48 PM, ORH_wxman said:

We've already been over that realization years ago. It's not something Kevin is fond of discussing, so we rarely bring it up these days. I just believe the readings are biased a touch cold.

 

What's the over/under on when the dew point discussion begins? I say May 3rd. 

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  On 2/22/2015 at 10:56 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Under...April 25th when we have our first 'bout of 80s in the interior. I'm feeling an early heat spell.

 

With such an epic snow pack melting into epic soil moisture content we'll be looking at 80F dew points "where people live and work" through August. 

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  On 2/22/2015 at 10:21 PM, CT Rain said:

lol

 

13 of those are at or below 6" and 7 are above 6". Not a perfect forecast but it wasn't something I'm going to beat myself up over. We were more bullish than any other outlets or NWS for metro New Haven and we did well there. 

Compared to what the others had, you and I did well(We had the same forecast except I had a little stripe of 4-8" far NW). Should northern Tolland/Windham have been 4-8, probably, but I don't think the public cares that much if they got 7" off a 3-6" forecast. 7" off of 1-2/1-3(which is what quite a few others had for southern areas) is a much bigger differential I think and I'm glad I didn't fall prey to that.

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  On 2/22/2015 at 11:25 PM, SR Airglow said:

Compared to what the others had, you and I did well(We had the same forecast except I had a little stripe of 4-8" far NW). Could northern Tolland/Windham been 4-8, probably, but I don't think the public cares that much if they got 7" off a 3-6" forecast. 7" off of 1-2/1-3(which is what quite a few others had for southern areas) is a much bigger differential I think.

don't think anyone besides us cares if they got 3 or 7
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  On 2/22/2015 at 11:42 PM, CTValleySnowMan said:

back down at freezing. Im estimating eyeball I lost 2.5 in the back yard.

It probably wasn't all lost, more like compacted. Compaction is not a bad thing. A denser snowpack is more resistant to solar insolation. Actually, I should say...requires more energy to melt. 

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  On 2/22/2015 at 11:53 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

What was good for us fetish pack folks is the softening on top today and then refreeze for the next 7 days helps sustain and lock a bit .

 

  On 2/23/2015 at 12:26 AM, Ginxy said:

just came in ,crusty top already, all paths iced up

yup.

Brief 7 or so hour mini-torch, and with last night brief bit of rain added to the pack we can solidify that sucker through the beginning of March.

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