TKFJ Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 ccb ftw CCB on steroids. WOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 is that a 24hr panel of precip from 120-144? ccb ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 ccb ftw Taken the GGEM verbtaim, it's a wind whipped blizzard up and down the middle atlantic coast, with 1-2 foot snowfall totals... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Did both the GFS and GGEM depict a Miller A? there are people who know more than me, but I would say the GFS looks more like a hybrid miller a-b.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 is that a 24hr panel of precip from 120-144? 12h 132- 144 heres 132 (120-132) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 is that a 24hr panel of precip from 120-144? no 12 hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 no 12 hr tombo you have the ukie yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 going off my somewhat-trained eye, it looks like 0.98 - 1.28" QPF on the 0z GGEM for Philly. Would be more for NY extrapolated out to hr 156, maybe more for PHL too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 tombo you have the ukie yet? no, not yet, usually the ones on meteocentre that i have come out around 1. I know there is a set of maps that has it out to hr 144, its those really colorful maps that u have to turn your head to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The GGEM is showing in excess of 1" liquid equivalent from coastal Virginia to Maine, with much of it snow along the I-95 corridor. Snow also extends fairly far west, especially into EPA, ENY, and WNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 no, not yet, usually the ones on meteocentre that i have come out around 1. I know there is a set of maps that has it out to hr 144, its those really colorful maps that u have to turn your head to look at. Yeah i used to have those links but cant see to find them. Great night on guidace so far NYC QPF GFS : 1.25" GGEM: 1.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 It seems like the timing is going to make the difference between huge hit and a modest brush. In this case, the slower scenario would allow the storm to amplify and blow up closer to the coast, but the fastest scenario (gfs) still manages to give us a good hit I'm thinking the timing will be somewhere in between the two, definitely staying up for the Euro tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 thanks- i realized that was a stupid question abt 30 secs after I posted it... 12h 132- 144 heres 132 (120-132) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 thanks- i realized that was a stupid question abt 30 secs after I posted it... No worries., Ace. What a week this wil be! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 It seems the time-frame would be Christmas afternoon through the day after for this storm, am i correct in making that assumption? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 going off my somewhat-trained eye, it looks like 0.98 - 1.28" QPF on the 0z GGEM for Philly. Would be more for NY extrapolated out to hr 156, maybe more for PHL too speaking of LMolineuxLM1, i wonder how much thundersnow will happen in broomall this year Sorry, i know, off topic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 This would be a good storm for me before moving to Lyndhurst in January! If and only if she verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 speaking of LMolineuxLM1, i wonder how much thundersnow will happen in broomall this year Sorry, i know, off topic hes in brookhaven, get it right lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 It seems the time-frame would be Christmas afternoon through the day after for this storm, am i correct in making that assumption? Thats been the trend the last day..late morn to afternoon start up here perhaps making this more of a boxing day storm than christmas day storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collegestudent11 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 The model consistency is much better so far, and about 42 hours from the shortwave entering. I noticed that in today's discussion it noted that there was data that was being obtained from that area via airplanes. Any word on that information? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 GFS ensemble mean still boring: http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12096.gif http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12108.gif http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12120.gif http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12132.gif http://raleighwx.ame...emblep12144.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 amazing post- easy to understand...and most important I hope your analysis is correct Thanks Ace! I hope this event works out for all of us as a big storm on Christmas would be a much needed reward after the cold/dry December we've experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 WOOOW. What a beast on the GEM, I had a feeling this would happen. That phase with northern stream does wonders, I'll say! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 just for shats and giggles, here is the ukie at hr 72 h5 map, potent s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Remember folks, consistency in the models is key the next several days. Would be great to have a GFS/UKIE/EURO/GGEM dream team, that's for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Remember folks, consistency in the models is key the next several days. Would be great to have a GFS/UKIE/EURO/GGEM dream team, that's for sure! I second that!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Manny Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Remember folks, consistency in the models is key the next several days. Would be great to have a GFS/UKIE/EURO/GGEM dream team, that's for sure! If Euro and Ukie come through, first wave of consensus this far out this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 at gfs and GGEM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 the 0z euro has started Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 the 0z euro has started Post time. would be nice to swep the 00z for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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