gkrangers Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 or some wacky GFS solution to let that happen. So basically everything is on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 84 ridge axis looks good, also to note the s/w is slower compared to 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 90 has a sub 1016 low over northern la lgt to mod precip over ill into indiana with mod precip along missisissippi river Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Thanks and yeah it's going to be a real interesting storm to follow. Considering the potential on the table here, we definitely have a shot at making history in a strong La Nina event. IIRC, there's never been a 10"+ snow event in NYC during the winter of a strong la nina. March 18th-19th 1956 was a KU but that happened in meteorological spring. According to Mt. Holly's AFD there has only been one 10"+ snow event in Philly during a moderate or strong la nina: December 25-26, 1909 (coincidentally the same dates that we're looking at lol). This would be amazing and historic if this storm delivers to its full potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 at 78 check out the ridge nosing it's way up into Canada. def more ridging out ahead of the system compared tp 18Z less confluence allowing this it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 96 northern stream is diving down now, sub 1016 low over northern al Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 Phase occuring at 90-96 hrs...a bit of a different H5 depiction but this still looks good. It's turning the corner quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 Ridge looks amazing at 96-102 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 102 sub 1012 low over knoxville tn, lgt precip to hagerstown to chambersburg line, lgt to mod precip sw pa and ohio...northern stream really starting to get involved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 108 hrs closed H5 low over the OH Valley/Great Lakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 96 northern stream is diving down now, sub 1016 low over northern al Thanks guys for a great thread. John, Iso, others - fantastic job. Tombo - great work on the model play by play. On that note this 00z seems a hair slower than 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 105 sub 1012 low over west central nc...lgt precip knocking on phl doorstep , lgt to mod precip just west of dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 yea, it's already starting to close off. It's phased quite well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 Still closed at 111 hrs...prepare for liftoff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 111 phasing beginning... sub 1008 low on enc...lgt precip nyc south...lgt to mod phl to to dc through delmarva to se va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Still closed at 111 hrs...prepare for liftoff... you ain't kidding John.. This thing is looking pretty epic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzardo Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Still closed at 111 hrs...prepare for liftoff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 114 sub 1004 over corolla nc,lgto precip everywhere lgt to mod over se va and delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 Coming up the coast at 120...very slowly...CCB still developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 GFS is looking really beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 120 sub 1000 low 50-75 miles east of mouth of ches bay...lgt to mod precip over delmarva and phl..mod on coast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 123 rapid deepening off the NJ coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 sub 996 75-100 miles east of cape may... lgt to mod precip lancaster to reading to abe to nyc south...mod precip phl south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 126 hrs its south of the Twin Forks..huge hit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 129 hrs is going to cause everybody on this board to pass out...unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 hr 123 sub 992 100 miles east of toms river mod precip phl to nyc....lgt to mod lns to rdg to stroudsburg to white plains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 Where do you guys get this info so quickly, is it a paid site? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 nice! it was a bit of a lag to start seeing that CCB develop, but this thing's got it going on now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 21, 2010 Author Share Posted December 21, 2010 This run absolutely buries NYC at 126-132...the CCB and deform banding is absolutely ridiculous. The surface low is 988mb off Block Island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 21, 2010 Share Posted December 21, 2010 sub 988 ese of tip of li...li crushed and nyc...mod precip phl to nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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