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Feb 21-22 Storm Obs Thread


snowfan

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  On 2/21/2015 at 1:24 PM, MN Transplant said:

Blacksburg's sounding has the warm layer just above 850mb. They were bumping right up against freezing aloft at 7am.

Will be interesting to see if they change back and forth or stay all sleet. Heavy rates could go isorhermal. Hard to say down there.

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  On 2/21/2015 at 1:25 PM, weatherCCB said:

Bob, looks like we got a good chance to beat the 3.8 form early jan. Radar looks nice. My bar is 4"

What you say? Too high ?

I think 4 may be easy. Sounds like good ratio stuff falling to the west. If the first couple hours of good rates are above 10-1 we should be golden.

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  On 2/21/2015 at 1:15 PM, BaltimoreWxGuy said:

Well it doesnt make sense...the criteria should be more uniform. For warnings to surround 2 counties and those 2 counties have advisories is pointless...The NWS also dropped the ball yesterday on the issuance of advisories for just 1-2 while their point and clicks and snow maps argued for more, they later fixed the issue...Anyway I see some precip reports in NOVA...confirmation?

 

I noticed that and it looks weird, but are those two counties in the State College NWS area?  If so, that would explain it as they have higher criteria than the Phila office where those warned counties to the east are.  Looks funny tho.

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  On 2/21/2015 at 1:20 PM, Bob Chill said:

Sleet coming early doesn't surprise me. It usually does during a scouring vs damming setup.

 

 

Yeah, I mean-- some data had us snow till 4pm, I didn't check blacksburg because it's 100 miles SW< but it has me concerned for me at least. 

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  On 2/21/2015 at 1:24 PM, MN Transplant said:

Blacksburg's sounding has the warm layer just above 850mb. They were bumping right up against freezing aloft at 7am.

 

 

Yes. and it's quite a few degrees warmer than modeled. I was worried I'd miss out on the qpf all day so I'll take whatever. Some data was pretty stingy on snow just south of route 460, so I may be OK for  while. 

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  On 2/21/2015 at 1:28 PM, Eskimo Joe said:

Does anybody remember last December or the December before (I think it was Sunday the 8th) there was a snowstorm that dumped about 8" - 12" of snow north of I-70 when initially only 4" - 6" was forecast? Does this setup look familiar?

Last year. I picked up 7.5" but it was really elevation dependent. Different set-up

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  On 2/21/2015 at 1:37 PM, FairfaxVAsnowlover said:

I like how all of the local tv mets are posting on FB saying stuff like "Breaking News, snow will start sooner rather than later"

My timing is about perfect. :D

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