Carvers Gap Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 This band certainly has my attention. Will the models bust in our favor this time??? Some kind of bust is happening right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Will the models bust in our favor this time??? Some kind of bust is happening right now. I think that a lot of the really heavy returns on the north side of I-24 are mixed with sleet. Looking at radarscope, I think the DBZ values are just too high for it to be all snow. If we have any members in the Manchester - Murfreesboro area maybe they can confirm. Could be super heavy snow, but I'm skeptical . I did get sleet here when the southern edge moved through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Will the models bust in our favor this time??? Some kind of bust is happening right now. I think its possible. Freezing line is still down as far south as Birmingham. If when the broken area of precip behind the band thats working north now hits Chattanooga, and still falls as snow... Then I will get excited and believe the RAP of more snow than freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The HRRR is now showing more snow in East TN. Several hours of snow and then frozen precip all night. It has definitely trended colder and juicier as the day has progressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I've just entered the band on the very north end and it has picked up dramatically! I'm where the red star is on the attached pic, and i'm getting quarter sized flakes and falling quite hard, I can't wait until the heavier returns still 40 miles to my south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I've just entered the band on the very north end and it has picked up dramatically! I'm where the red star is on the attached pic, and i'm getting quarter sized flakes and falling quite hard, I can't wait until the heavier returns still 40 miles to my south! Whooo hooo that is good news! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Seeing my first flurries/light snow of the day right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Only 15 minutes... covered everything snow flakes are up to half dollar size. Coming down at an impressive rate! Already have over half an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I think that a lot of the really heavy returns on the north side of I-24 are mixed with sleet. Looking at radarscope, I think the DBZ values are just too high for it to be all snow. If we have any members in the Manchester - Murfreesboro area maybe they can confirm. Could be super heavy snow, but I'm skeptical . I did get sleet here when the southern edge moved through. Probably should have specified. The dwindling amounts pre-switchover on the models appear to be wrong. I think we get more frozen precip, maybe much more, than the models predicted yesterday. Most likely in the form of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Only 15 minutes... covered everything snow flakes are up to half dollar size. Coming down at an impressive rate! Already have over half an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWonderland Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Thanks, Stove. I'm aware that Robert is a reputable met. That's why I mentioned that I trust him. Did not know about the other. It is snowing beautifully in Oak Ridge right now! Just to clarify in case you didn't know, WxSouth is Robert Gamble, a well respected meteorologist that is an expert on this area. WxEastern is just a dude with no professional training that likes to post things on the internet. Keep that in mind when you are weighing their opinions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Latest HRRR: I'm down to 17 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 25 here and the road got insta-white just from the light to moderate parts out in front of the main band. Surfaces are still ultra cold, gonna be an interesting night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 passed the 1" mark, at 1.25" and still snowing heavily. No sleet mixed as of yet nearing the back of the band now its coming down even harder than earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 That band has passed me and after the radar returns return to nothing, I am getting grapple again mixed with flurries. Question is do we return to snow after that band... Moisture is really filling in, so we'll know soon if the band moving north is the battle zone between precip types. BTW same as chatt reports looks like 1.5" in that band roughly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just now starting to snow here. 21 degrees. The band looks a little worse for wear VS earlier but it may be more reflective of radar coverage where it's at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just now starting to snow here. 21 degrees. The band looks a little worse for wear VS earlier but it may be more reflective of radar coverage where it's at. This I'm about to see what it's made of here in about 5 or 10 minutes. Reb reporting heavy with half dollars in Maryville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaxjagman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Good luck to you guys,i just want it to warm up and change over,by the looks the 850MB winds are fixing to kick in,i want my power..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I'm in the thick of that band now. Solid moderate snow, heavier at times, dimes and nickels with some quarters mixed in, very little wind. Probably not the intensity that Shawn experienced but very nice none the less. Maybe a quarter inch so far on roads and everything so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just getting under a piece of the precip thats south of the band and getting light to moderate sleet , mixed with freezing rain.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I don't know if it has any bearing but our low temp is about 7 degrees lower then the initial forecast at KTRI, at least according to WCYB, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I don't know if it has any bearing but our low temp is about 7 degrees lower then the initial forecast at KTRI, at least according to WCYB, According to Radarscope it's just now starting to change over to rain in the Memphis area. Seems the cold air is slower to retreat than models showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I don't know if it has any bearing but our low temp is about 7 degrees lower then the initial forecast at KTRI, at least according to WCYB, Yeah I'm down to 15. Temp keeps dropping. Dew point is 6. Going to be a very interesting overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Over a half inch now, still coming down moderately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bango Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Yeah I'm down to 15. Temp keeps dropping. Dew point is 6. Going to be a very interesting overnight. Indeed, as I left for dinner it was noticeably cold, flipped on my phone and said 14-15. I think we were forecasted for a low of 23 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawnEastTN Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 MRX update: FXUS64 KMRX 210340AFDMRXAREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN1040 PM EST FRI FEB 20 2015.DISCUSSION...BAND OF MODERATE SNOW HAS MOVED NORTHEAST FROMSOUTHEAST TENNESSEE AND THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU INTO CENTRAL EASTTENNESSEE AND THE NORTHERN PLATEAU WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OVER A FEWHOUR PERIOD OF AN INCH TO UP TO ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES. SOMEFREEZING RAIN HAS ALSO BEEN REPORTED THE PAST FEW HOURS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE SNOW BAND. TEMPERATURES ARE MOSTLY IN THE 20S WITHCOLDER NORTHEAST LOCATIONS IN THE TEENS. HAVE UPDATED THE FORECASTTO INCREASE POPS IN SE TN MOUNTAINS AND SW NORTH CAROLINA AND LOWERTHE PROGRESSION A FEW HOURS IN THE EXTREME NORTHEAST WHERE DRIERAIR MASS WAS STILL IN PLACE. BEHIND INITIAL BAND PRECIPITATION WASFILLING IN ACROSS MIDDLE TN AND NE AL WITH FREEZING RAIN AND SLEETTHE DOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE. AFTER A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATIONACROSS SOUTHEAST SECTIONS THE SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN WILL MOVE INTO THAT AREA THE NEXT FEW HOURS.FORECAST OTHERWISE LOOKS ON TRACK WITH MOSTLY SLEET AND FREEZINGRAIN FOR THE SOUTHEAST SECTIONS AS THE SNOW BAND HAS ALREADY MOVEDTHROUGH AND AS SNOW DEVELOPS IN THE NORTHEAST IT MAY BECOME HEAVYBEFORE CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT OR EARLYSATURDAY. WILL UPDATE WINTER STORM WARNING SHORTLY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 After nearly an inch of snow, I've now transitioned over to a sleet/freezing rain/snow mix coming down at a good rate. This is going to get messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 After nearly an inch of snow, I've now transitioned over to a sleet/freezing rain/snow mix coming down at a good rate. This is going to get messy. Ugh. I was hoping for more sleet down here from the next round, but it Knoxville is already seeing ZR, I doubt I have much of a shot at IP down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The band is now moving west to east over my area and it's snowing heavily still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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