Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 My thoughts: Cold air damming is always underplayed on the models. If NAM/RGEM track play out we have a legit 6'' + on our hands with ice issues to follow. My weenie senses are starting to tingle There is no damming. Having cold wedged to GA just delays the escape long enough. A record breaking cold airmass can still work out when the high responsible is heading to Bermuda. This setup will happen again like never. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 there is one red tagger looking at this thread right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Can we bring up sun angle yet? Going to need good rates.. who am I kidding. We've got ourselves a frozen tundra out there. Sun angle only becomes a problem March 7th I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 RGEM isn't done with precip at 48 hrs, the run just ends this is the precip type map at 48 hrs....some more snow then a fair amt. of rain I would guess from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 RGEM isn't done with precip at 48 hrs, the run just ends this is the precip type map at 48 hrs....some more snow then a fair amt. of rain I would guess from this You will know for sure at 6Z when it goes out to 54, see you at 4:20. Get that coffee brewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 there is one red tagger looking at this thread right now What's a red tagger? Weather related discussion: If it does change over to rain, will the ground be cold enough for quasi zr? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 There is no damming. Having cold wedged to GA just delays the escape long enough. A record breaking cold airmass can still work out when the high responsible is heading to Bermuda. This setup will happen again like never. terrible High....awful NAO... horrific AO.....lets get that winter storm watch up before someone realizes this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 You will know for sure at 6Z when it goes out to 54, see you at 4:20. Get that coffee brewing. that's commitment.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 You will know for sure at 6Z when it goes out to 54, see you at 4:20. Get that coffee brewing. no way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 What's a red tagger? Weather related discussion: If it does change over to rain, will the ground be cold enough for zr? Red tagger = meteorologist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 What's a red tagger? Weather related discussion: If it does change over to rain, will the ground be cold enough for zr? Help Ji with his mm problem and i am sure he will help you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'm amazed the Canadian dude with the black crayon can draw those rgem maps every 6 hours. Maybe if the rgem was only run twice a day he would have more time to make them readable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I cant believe a cutter is gonna end up being my biggest storm of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 terrible High....awful NAO... horrific AO.....lets get that winter storm watch up before someone realizes this Proves all that s*** is meaningless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 no way Don't make me ring your house at 4 a.m.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'm amazed the Canadian dude with the black crayon can draw those rgem maps every 6 hours. Maybe if the rgem was only run twice a day he would have more time to make them read readable Eh, that's a good idea. I can't believe they are not embarrassed to put that crap out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'm amazed the Canadian dude with the black crayon can draw those rgem maps every 6 hours. Maybe if the rgem was only run twice a day he would have more time to make them read readable yeah, but look at how perfectly he/she places the dots in the areas of precip....what hand-eye coordination he/she must have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yuki neko Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I was just gonna say...this is a really odd setup where we're just hoping for timing. And depending on the tenacity of a record breaking cold airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 everyone opened their rear and crapped on the RGEM model on Monday night. Now everyone is hugging it like its Charmin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I cant believe a cutter is gonna end up being my biggest storm of the year 9 times out of 10 that would mean the winter was historically awful and you saw a front end flurry.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Proves all that s*** is meaningless in the end...if its cold and their moisture...it snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Well, if we can that precip in fast, then we could be in business with this event. Certainly is interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 everyone opened their rear and crapped on the RGEM model on Monday night. Now everyone is hugging it like its Charmin And let's remember it was not great with Monday night. I need at least the Goofus and Ukie to show this to feel comfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 everyone opened their rear and crapped on the RGEM model on Monday night. Now everyone is hugging it like its Charmin Screw the rgem. I'm hugging nam4k. Coldest and snowiest man. Rgem sucks tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 And let's remember it was not great with Monday night. I need at least the Goofus and Ukie to show this to feel comfortable. UKIE has been solid... it hasn't changed much over its past few runs for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Rgem is going to rain like a mofo after the flip. Not a fan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 his confirms, if you really needed it, the other maps posted on the RGEM precip type Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Screw the rgem. I'm hugging nam4k. Coldest and snowiest man. Rgem sucks tonight. ? It was a great run for the cities for the snow blitz- better than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Rgem is going to rain like a mofo after the flip. Not a fan. the only thing I thought was by the time it switches, the storm is to our NW and the return flow would be sending temps back down like that one? :weenie: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 i was just extrapolatingLol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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