Scraff Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Man if the GFS follows suit, break out the bubbly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 well, if it is the colder of the 2, nobody here is going to blame you for hugging it, and I think I speak for all of us It did better than the regular NAM on Monday night, so that means it's OK to hug it, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I "think" the RGEM will look very nice/ The 48 hr. maps aren't out, but this is the 36 hr. vertical motion map. Look at the 700mb RH map in the top right.....the heavy duty RH and lift is aimed right at DCA/BWI (famous last words?) http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/769_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Mapgirl jackpot. About time.Now instead of the whining we will have to hear bragging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 48 hr. vertical motion.....sweet can't wait for surface map http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/770_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 I "think" the RGEM will look very nice/ The 48 hr. maps aren't out, but this is the 36 hr. vertical motion map. Look at the 700mb RH map in the top right.....the heavy duty RH and lift is aimed right at DCA/BWI (famous last words?) http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/769_100.gif the storm is still so far out. Plenty of north trends left to screw us:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I "think" the RGEM will look very nice/ The 48 hr. maps aren't out, but this is the 36 hr. vertical motion map. Look at the 700mb RH map in the top right.....the heavy duty RH and lift is aimed right at DCA/BWI (famous last words?) http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/769_100.gif I've got it to 36 on our fav B and W maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 48 hr. vertical motion.....swee can't wait for surface map http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/770_100.gif if it works out...the storm with the least hype becomes the storm of the year. Heavy snow baby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I've got it to 36 on our fav B and W maps... not out yet wtf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 call me skeptical but when was the last time a driving rainstorm on the models because a heavy snowstorm in one day....36 hours away from the storm:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Nice thump on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 High res looks great... Slightly off-topic, but wxbell should do a better job emphasizing gradients. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 call me skeptical but when was the last time a driving rainstorm on the models because a heavy snowstorm in one day....36 hours away from the storm:) late Feb 2007? that's the closest I can think of.... 5 days out it was 55 degree rain IIRC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Nice thump on the RGEM. man..that is targeted for weenieville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 call me skeptical but when was the last time a driving rainstorm on the models because a heavy snowstorm in one day....36 hours away from the storm:) NAM still dumps ~0.5" on us after we switch to rain, as best as I can see or estimate. Kind of a sharp gradient drop-off in precip to the west of I-95. This is in the time period 00Z Sat. night through 12Z Sunday, assuming we're going to all liquid sometime after 00Z. After 12Z Sunday, there's a light amount that falls but that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 That RGEM map looks like it would be snow after that frame as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 not out yet wtf? 12z SAT fo realz -- http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/513_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 late Feb 2007? that's the closest I can think of.... 5 days out it was 55 degree rain IIRC The psuhoffman Storm was a cutter at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Nice thump on the RGEM. Man, that low is so far west...heading to Toledo! One almost wishes there'd be a secondary developing but I don't see anything like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Man, that low is so far west...heading to Toledo! One almost wishes there'd be a secondary developing but I don't see anything like that. I went to the site and it says 0Z 2/20 isn't available yet I think that was an earlier run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 RGEM 36 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 6" of snow in six hours would be damn impressive. About as good of a front end thump as you could ask for. And even better since the precip shifts out as temps rise. 6" of snow with a crusty icy coating. I'm in. Biggest snow of the year possibly. I can agree with many on here that never in my lifetime would I expect to get a major snow with this setup, but this airmass is about as anomalous as it gets, so I guess it's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This would be good old fashioned Baltimore cement too instead of that pixie dust fairy fart crap we received in the last Storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 That RGEM map looks like it would be snow after that frame as well. It is for much of the area around the cities. That was hour 44. Here's hour 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 late Feb 2007? that's the closest I can think of.... 5 days out it was 55 degree rain IIRC Feb. 25, 2007? I don't remember all the details other than not long before it started the forecast was for ice changing to rain. It began as snow, got heavy for several hours, ended as sleet and some drizzle. We got 4-6" in DC from that. I heard something that we had an isothermal profile up to about 850-mb or something like that, very close to and just below freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 that 5H map on the upper left of the RGEM spread sure looks like the storm will cut west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 I know you don't like it, but we really need the GFS to come in showing something in the ball park IMO. It's funny how close we really are but it feels like an eternity. in prior years..48 hours is "lock it in". This year...its still chaos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 precip maps for 36 to 48 out for 00z RGEM -- http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=00&mod=gemreg&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=-99&mod2=cmc_anal&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=042&fixhh=1&stn2_type=anal&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=045 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I went to the site and it says 0Z 2/20 isn't available yet I think that was an earlier run Date stamp on that color map said 20150220 00Z, so looks current? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 This would be good old fashioned Baltimore cement too instead of that pixie dust fairy fart crap we received in the last Storm. this is what PSUhoffman wants. 6 inches of cement is better than 12 inches of dust for him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.