WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Guess who will be in the AM AFD? lol This is when you need to say "it's not coming north" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'd much rather this thing not warm up and rain enough that it leaves me with an inch of grayish icy stuff with the tops of the grass sticking out. Either let the snow stick around or be gone. That said, I'll take 3-5" with a bit of a glaze if that's the best we can do. It'll be gone for good in a couple weeks anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This is when you need to say "it's not coming north" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Guess who will be in the AM AFD? lol Should be fairly clear by then. Guidance was tight at 12-18z. I don't expect much divergence at 0z. Ive said that before though...lol. But we're pretty close in now. Would 2-4" with the possibility of sleet/zr justify a wsw? It's a grey area of criteria but I think a combo like that does it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Wpc seems to focus on the far n/w burbs for anything higher than 2". no surprise there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Should be fairly clear by then. Guidance was tight at 12-18z. I don't expect much divergence at 0z. Ive said that before though...lol. But we're pretty close in now. Would 2-4" with the possibility of sleet/zr justify a wsw? It's a grey area of criteria but I think a combo like that does it? Sounds more advisory type stuff unless the ice is greater than 1/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Should be fairly clear by then. Guidance was tight at 12-18z. I don't expect much divergence at 0z. Ive said that before though...lol. But we're pretty close in now. Would 2-4" with the possibility of sleet/zr justify a wsw? It's a grey area of criteria but I think a combo like that does it? Doubt you're getting a watch...and if you do, it'll be a token watch that'll be an advisory in like 12 hours anyway. Hopefully 0z will change hearts and minds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Sounds more advisory type stuff unless the ice is greater than 1/4 A watch sounds more fun to issue Good luck with the AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Sounds more advisory type stuff unless the ice is greater than 1/4 Gotchya. I'll root for 5"+ for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 at 24 hrs., heights in the east are a hair lower but the 5H out west looks a hair more amped so heights out in the Rockies are a hair higher....my guess is the vortex in SE Canada a hair stronger which is holding heights in the east down vs. 18 z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM looks more amped early...see how it plays out I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 at 24 hrs., heights in the east are a hair lower but the 5H out west looks a hair more amped so heights out in the Rockies are a hair higher....my guess is the vortex in SE Canada a hair stronger which is holding heights in the east down vs. 18 z So much hair, so little time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM already looks stronger and further north with the surface low, will be warmer and wetter than 18z, but the thump might be stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM already looks stronger and further north with the surface low, will be warmer and wetter than 18z, but the thump might be stronger. agree, but more amped rarely turns out better in these parts....we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Precip makes it into DC around or just after 15z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Thump looks like it will slide to our north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It's way north with the heavier precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It's way north with the heavier precip like I said, more amped rarely works out for our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Congrats KY/OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Just in time to bust JB2s bad snow map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 42 looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 hopefully, it's just the NAM being the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Haha... Holy cow is it wetter here. And just as likely wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 like I said, more amped rarely works out for our area Un-Nam'd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 hopefully, it's just the NAM being the NAM Remember last time we said that this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staged Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I think we might be ok here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 glad to eat my words if it means more snow crazy solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Looks like RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Damn,,,the NAM looks good...hard to tell if there is low level warmth...will have to check Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 850's look good, precip great, 2m temps cold, thickness iffy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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