eurojosh Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:08 AM, FairfaxVAsnowlover said: ok, gotcha. No, I really don't think you do.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:09 AM, eurojosh said: No, I really don't think you do.... Well I'm 17 so what do I know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:11 AM, FairfaxVAsnowlover said: Well I'm 17 so what do I know? If you're seriously saying that, then the answer is, a lot more than I did at 17...! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:05 AM, mitchnick said: wow! over .75" has fallen as snow on the GEM at 30 hrs.! http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem®ion=eus&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2015022100&fh=30&xpos=0&ypos=228 what a shi'ite model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 GGEM snow map thru 30 hoursw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:14 AM, Ian said: what a shi'ite model just became my favorite model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:01 AM, mitchnick said: for your own good, no....only Jeb can explain it lmao - being an avid reading here for 13 years.... could we perhaps equate it to the proverbial German automobile assembly line worker experiencing fahrvergnugen on the autobahn, but with feet instead of a car? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Keep in mind that the ratios may be lower than 10:1 so you might have to subtract an inch or two from the tropical tidbits snowfall maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:18 AM, FairfaxVAsnowlover said: Keep in mind that the ratios may be lower than 10:1 so you might have to subtract an inch or two from the tropical tidbits snowfall maps wait.....you want us to subtract from the snow maps????? I don't think you'll ever meet Jeb now....nope, never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:08 AM, WVclimo said: Seeing that dry notch in western Md. extending down to here on every model never gets old. Not complaining, but it seems like our area has been screwed one way or another in every storm this winter. Just seems to be the theme this year. Hard to believe DC has more snow this season than mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 4:53 AM, Yeoman said: you and your composite radars... put the vodka down...that's Base Reflectivity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:22 AM, mitchnick said: wait.....you want us to subtract from the snow maps????? I don't think you'll ever meet Jeb now....nope, never If it makes you feel any better, the GGEM has a major snowstorm on the 28th which is what some other models have been showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:29 AM, FairfaxVAsnowlover said: If it makes you feel any better, the GGEM has a major snowstorm on the 28th which is what some other models have been showing. i know, I saw I'm just having fun....please don't take anyone on this Board seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:00 AM, FairfaxVAsnowlover said: Can someone please explain to me what a jebwalk is? and who jeb is? or what jeb is? Thanks I'm Jeb. When I go out for a walk in the snow, I am doing something known as a 'jebwalk' lol. I usually have headphones on, blasting a song that reminds me of past KU blizzards in the Washington DC region. Basically, any walk that you do when you are having fun doing it, is a jebwalk. Walks on the beach in July are jebwalks. Walks on the beach in tropical storm force winds are jebwalks. Walks in Weymouth, Massachusetts in 11 degree conditions in a thundersnow with near zero visibilities and 8 inch an hour snow rates, are jebwalks, as are walks outside in any conceivable weather condition lol. Last night I enjoyed a leisurely jebwalk in 8 degree weather, while blasting songs on my headphones that reminded me of past snowstorms lol. Later on today, many of you will be crushed by heavy snow rates. You will feel the intense need to go outside and experience the snow. When you do, you will be going on a jebwalk. If you can, bring headphones along for your walk. Play songs that remind you of past snows. You will find that to be a blast. You can enjoy an excellent jebwalk without headphones, but if you want the full effect, blast your headphones while you walk in the snow. Slide on ice patches like I do! Start an optional snowball fight! Get the entire neighborhood involved if you can! Simply stated, a jebwalk is any walk outside in any weather you find enjoyable. It's simple, and fun. Thats all there is to it! Enjoy the storm later today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 We need that storm to verify On 2/21/2015 at 5:31 AM, mitchnick said: i know, I saw I'm just having fun....please don't take anyone on this Board seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Expat Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:34 AM, Jebman said: I'm Jeb. When I go out for a walk in the snow, I am doing something known as a 'jebwalk' lol. I usually have headphones on, blasting a song that reminds me of past KU blizzards in the Washington DC region. Basically, any walk that you do when you are having fun doing it, is a jebwalk. Walks on the beach in July are jebwalks. Walks on the beach in tropical storm force winds are jebwalks. Walks in Weymouth, Massachusetts in 11 degree conditions in a thundersnow with near zero visibilities and 8 inch an hour snow rates, are jebwalks, as are walks outside in any conceivable weather condition lol. Last night I enjoyed a leisurely jebwalk in 8 degree weather, while blasting songs on my headphones that reminded me of past snowstorms lol. Later on today, many of you will be crushed by heavy snow rates. You will feel the intense need to go outside and experience the snow. When you do, you will be going on a jebwalk. If you can, bring headphones along for your walk. Play songs that remind you of past snows. You will find that to be a blast. You can enjoy an excellent jebwalk without headphones, but if you want the full effect, blast your headphones while you walk in the snow. Slide on ice patches like I do! Start an optional snowball fight! Get the entire neighborhood involved if you can! Simply stated, a jebwalk is any walk outside in any weather you find enjoyable. It's simple, and fun. Thats all there is to it! Enjoy the storm later today! THANK YOU JEBMAN! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:22 AM, mitchnick said: wait.....you want us to subtract from the snow maps????? I don't think you'll ever meet Jeb now....nope, never Frigid the other night and it looked great aloft for big flakes but just kept doing the .25"ph thing forever. Based on that I wondering what next weird thing is up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 For DC, these are rough estimates, using 10:1 ratios...I could see the case for higher (cold/fatties) and lower (sleet mixing in). 0z NAM - flip time - 6pm, Snow - 3" 0z GFS - flip time - 6:30 pm, Snow - 5.5" 0z GGEM - flip time - 9pm - Snow - 6.5" 0z UKMET - flip time - 7pm - Snow - 3.5" 0z 4kNAM - flip time - 6pm - Snow - 2" 0z RGEM - flip time - 7pm - Snow - 5.5" If you take out the high/low "outliers", you get 4.4"....If the euro comes in strong I could see 3-5" for DC as a reasonable forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=LWX&issuedby=LWX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off PRECIP WILL GRADUALLY CHANGEOVER TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET/FREEZINGRAIN LATE SAT NIGHT INTO THE EARLY MRNG HRS SUN - FROM SOUTH TONORTH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:08 AM, WVclimo said: Seeing that dry notch in western Md. extending down to here on every model never gets old. And never verifies. Come on we have been in this game many times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 FYI, euro came south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:34 AM, Jebman said: I'm Jeb. When I go out for a walk in the snow, I am doing something known as a 'jebwalk' lol. I usually have headphones on, blasting a song that reminds me of past KU blizzards in the Washington DC region. Basically, any walk that you do when you are having fun doing it, is a jebwalk. Walks on the beach in July are jebwalks. Walks on the beach in tropical storm force winds are jebwalks. Walks in Weymouth, Massachusetts in 11 degree conditions in a thundersnow with near zero visibilities and 8 inch an hour snow rates, are jebwalks, as are walks outside in any conceivable weather condition lol. Last night I enjoyed a leisurely jebwalk in 8 degree weather, while blasting songs on my headphones that reminded me of past snowstorms lol. Later on today, many of you will be crushed by heavy snow rates. You will feel the intense need to go outside and experience the snow. When you do, you will be going on a jebwalk. If you can, bring headphones along for your walk. Play songs that remind you of past snows. You will find that to be a blast. You can enjoy an excellent jebwalk without headphones, but if you want the full effect, blast your headphones while you walk in the snow. Slide on ice patches like I do! Start an optional snowball fight! Get the entire neighborhood involved if you can! Simply stated, a jebwalk is any walk outside in any weather you find enjoyable. It's simple, and fun. Thats all there is to it! Enjoy the storm later today! Hey Jeb, nice of you to give him a detailed explanation. I recall a similar one you gave a number of years ago when I was also trying to figure out wth a Jebwalk is... Just curious, what do you listen to? Perhaps something like, "Trampled Under Foot", or "DireMaker" or "Dazed and Confused" (all by Zeppelin), or maybe "Stranglehold" by Nugent? Hope you cash in on this one so you can add a new song to your playback list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:52 AM, WestminsterDeathband said: FYI, euro came south With the precip or the 850 line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 flip is around 0z for DC, around 0.5" has fallen. Not sure who else is around...I'll answer any backyard questions if you want...just might take me a couple minutes to come up with a confident answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StudentOfClimatology Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Euro colder than the GFS @ 00z..850mb line hasn't even reached Wes yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:57 AM, WestminsterDeathband said: flip is around 0z for DC, around 0.5" has fallen. Not sure who else is around...I'll answer any backyard questions if you want...just might take me a couple minutes to come up with a confident answer Wow, you got back on that pony pretty quickly. Thanks! Flip to FRZ or RN? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 in euro we trust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:57 AM, eurojosh said: With the precip or the 850 line? precip max is further south...I'll post a few maps..give me a few minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 5:58 AM, StudentOfClimatology said: Euro colder than the GFS @ 00z..850mb line hasn't even reached Wes yet. but 925 is and 900 is probably even warmer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Thanks Matt. Looks like nam is real outlier as we suspected. we appreciate the play by play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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