Windman18 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Gfs looks great, 6-10 throughout the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Actually, I'm totally wrong, it gives 7-11" ? :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:40 PM, clskinsfan said: RGEM says dont worry. Get burried.Does the rgem look as good as the GFS just did down this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 So it looks as if the GFS respects the cold dome more than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 30 is starting to push it at DCA re sounding, but if the QPF map is right at that time period, we are dealing with asteriods and pillows of snowflakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 More in Rockville than N MD. Bob Chill for the win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:41 PM, Buddy1987 said: Does the rgem look as good as the GFS just did down this way? www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2015022018&fh=24&xpos=0&ypos=200 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 What about BWI anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 nice run but dangerously close for dc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Looks like 1-3" to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:44 PM, Ltrain said: What about BWI anyone? Looks good, about 8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:44 PM, Ian said: nice run but dangerously close for dc 30 is survivable if rates are like the GFS says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:43 PM, clskinsfan said: www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2015022018&fh=24&xpos=0&ypos=200Ummmm yea thanks for making my day!! Hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Question... why doesn't the Euro run in off hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:44 PM, Ian said: nice run but dangerously close for dc DC is like 20 miles from getting screwed but this run is sweet for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Lol leesburg04 just made 4 posts debating 1-2 or 1-3. New gfs gives him 12. Its sense of humor has been upgraded for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:44 PM, Ian said: nice run but dangerously close for dc DC always plays the dangerously close game - keep our expectations in check, and we won't be disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:46 PM, nj2va said: DC always plays the dangerously close game - keep our expectations in check, and we won't be disappointed. So we go from like 1-3 on the 18z NAM to 6"+ on the 18z GFS 18z RGEM looks like 4" to 6" 18z RGEM and 18z GFS are similar at 00z with 850 line/2mT line crossing into DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Historic arctic high pressues, even if to our east, make their own rules. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:44 PM, Ian said: nice run but dangerously close for dc agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 hmmmm, this is good too 925mb at 30 hrs r Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:47 PM, yoda said: So we go from like 1-3 on the 18z NAM to 6"+ on the 18z GFS I would rather have the GFS and RGEM on my side than the Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
infekshus Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:45 PM, interstate said: Question... why doesn't the Euro run in off hours? because europeans generally aren't as neurotic as muricans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Windman18 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:46 PM, Amped said: Lol leesburg04 just made 4 posts debating 1-2 or 1-3. New gfs gives him 12. Its sense of humor has been upgraded for sure. Just has to take the dash out between the numbers. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:44 PM, Ian said: nice run but dangerously close for dc At least you're not at 25' ASL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:44 PM, Ian said: nice run but dangerously close for dc It is but that's how these events always are. easy to get screwed and almost impossible to know ahead of time what the orientation of the initial heaiver precip band will have. The NAM takes it north of us and the GFS hits us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 The RGEM is still snow at 3Z Sunday from Purcellville west. It is a drubbing out here for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:48 PM, usedtobe said: It is but that's how these events always are. easy to get screwed and almost impossible to know ahead of time what the orientation of the initial heaiver precip band will have. The NAM takes it north of us and the GFS hits us. What's your (educated) guess on this Wes?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:43 PM, ravensrule said: More in Rockville than N MD. Bob Chill for the win. I work hard for my money. It's hard to take this run seriously. It's too good for a knife edge setup. I'm just glad it doesn't look like the nam brothers. Live to see another suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 9:47 PM, yoda said: So we go from like 1-3 on the 18z NAM to 6"+ on the 18z GFS 18z RGEM looks like 4" to 6" 18z RGEM and 18z GFS are similar at 00z with 850 line/2mT line crossing into DC Very tricky forecast - all depends on where the slug of precip heads. I think 2-4" for DC is a good call right now. If we all expect 6"+ in DC, we're ripe for disappointment since we've seen these "close calls" work out against us (DC peeps) before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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