stormtracker Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:54 PM, mitchnick said: parts of KY get hit pretty hard too on the NAM Randy where are you going and I'll get you the text output Louisville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:00 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: We'll call you Nostradamus if the NAM is correct. I always think of a sinus condition when I see that name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:00 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: We'll call you Nostradamus if the NAM is correct. Snowstradamus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:59 PM, mitchnick said: BWI http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Kbwi.txt DCA http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Kdca.txt IAD http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Kiad.txt Would be upper 30s on Sunday for the peak temps. Definitely colder than before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 They should get some mix. Anyway, hit up the 'Grape Leaf' if you like Mediterranean food. Good sh. On 2/19/2015 at 3:00 PM, stormtracker said: Louisville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:02 PM, H2O said: Snowstradamus Oh, booooo!! And I mean that in a good way...groaning at a pun means it's a good one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:00 PM, stormtracker said: Louisville .40" qpf falls and 90%+ is snow then some light rain and 33 degrees (.12") oh yeah, use this one http://68.226.77.253/text/NAM80km/NAM_Klou.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:00 PM, yoda said: 12z HI-RES NAM, for those who wish to know, snow falling at 51 and 54 Snowing at 57... 60 is going to look nice... too bad its 60... 2-3" looks like ETA: Well nice as in ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:00 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: We'll call you Nostradamus if the NAM is correct. Not Snostradamus? ETA: Ninja'd by H2O Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/18/2015 at 2:21 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: I'll bet it will be colder than the models are showing now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:05 PM, WinterWxLuvr said: That guy was wrong like twice before though. He's a hack. I'd unsubscribe if I were you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 looks like another round from VA headed NE late Sunday night on the NAM cold air is filtering back in but it will be close http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=084ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_084_sim_radar.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=sim_radar&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150219+12+UTC&imageSize=L&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:06 PM, stormtracker said: That guy was wrong like twice before though. He's a hack. I'd unsubscribe if I were you. I can consult for a small fee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:06 PM, stormtracker said: That guy was wrong like twice before though. He's a hack. I'd unsubscribe if I were you.are u going to meet up with louwxman? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 No sleet bomb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:07 PM, Ji said: are u going to meet up with louwxman? I'm interviewing for a job to be his boss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:09 PM, leesburg 04 said: No sleet bomb? still time for rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:19 PM, H2O said: still time for rain I'm telling mom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:53 PM, stormtracker said: Ha...I knew this would happen. Will be in Kentucky tomorrow through Monday. I hope yall get it. I like the trends...Can't say I'm not shocked...I thought this was a goner. Heading to Albany tomorrow. May end up bumping the drive home to Monday. Figures... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:04 PM, yoda said: Snowing at 57... 60 is going to look nice... too bad its 60... 2-3" looks like ETA: Well nice as in ice 60hrs is sleet for dca and probably iad though the latter's warm layer is less than 1C which if it were perfect would still be snow or a mix of snow and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 1:17 PM, snowfan said: When I first read that I swore it read as.....'he's guaranteed to give at least 6 inches'. I was like Oh of that you could be sure . No slant sticking needed there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:29 PM, usedtobe said: 60hrs is sleet for dca and probably iad though the latter's warm layer is less than 1C which if it were perfect would still be snow or a mix of snow and sleet. do you have to write a different article today than yesterday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:57 PM, Ji said: especially by a weak area of low pressure That's the key. When models showed strong ccw circ with lp to the west and strong cw from the hp off the coast, it was the perfect way to punch arctic air in the face. Weaker/sheared is the ticket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:40 PM, Bob Chill said: That's the key. When models showed strong ccw circ with lp to the west and strong cw from the hp off the coast, it was the perfect way to punch arctic air in the face. Weaker/sheared is the ticket. Yes because we have a moist return flow in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:40 PM, Bob Chill said: That's the key. When models showed strong ccw circ with lp to the west and strong cw from the hp off the coast, it was the perfect way to punch arctic air in the face. Weaker/sheared is the ticket. you remember a few days ago when i said the Euro gave us 5-6 inches but Yoda said he didnt see any storm because there was no L on the map. Yea..we kind of need that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:40 PM, Bob Chill said: That's the key. When models showed strong ccw circ with lp to the west and strong cw from the hp off the coast, it was the perfect way to punch arctic air in the face. Weaker/sheared is the ticket. Yeah, that high off the coast was a killer. I have only looked briefly, but is that high a bit further north than earlier modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:41 PM, Ji said: you remember a few days ago when i said the Euro gave us 5-6 inches but Yoda said he didnt see any storm because there was no L on the map. Yea..we kind of need that Yup...that's more along the lines of how those solutions looked a few days ago (the ones that were good). Hopefully the models are trending back to that general idea and that it's correct. And not just the NAM, LOL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:41 PM, Ji said: you remember a few days ago when i said the Euro gave us 5-6 inches but Yoda said he didnt see any storm because there was no L on the map. Yea..we kind of need that We seem to be backing back into that scenario again. Its not because the arctic air is holding stronger as much as modeled h5 is easing off the amp pedal. Still skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:43 PM, Always in Zugzwang said: Yup...that's more along the lines of how those solutions looked a few days ago (the ones that were good). Hopefully the models are trending back to that general idea and that it's correct. And not just the NAM, LOL!! GFS is already looking rather wet to our SW by Friday 7PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 3:45 PM, Bob Chill said: We seem to be backing back into that scenario again. Its not because the arctic air is holding stronger as much as modeled h5 is easing off the amp pedal. Still skeptical. NAM 5H at 39 hrs. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=039ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_039_500_vort_ht.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150219+12+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model GFS 5H at 39 hrs......hmmmm http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=039ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_039_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150219+12+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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