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End of February/ Early March Discussion Thread 2015


Allsnow

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The 6z NAM looks like actually 1.5" qpf, however it's not nearly all or mostly snow. It shows about 3-6" I think from DC-BOS

it is mostly snow besides the first few hours and it is more than 3-6 for our area...

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The Euro ensembles continue to progress the ridge to near the Great Lakes region day 11-15

as the weeklies have been hinting at for some time. But an area of stubborn cooler anomalies

still persist over the Northeast. With the the potential for near record cold later this week, it

will certainly represent a relative moderation in temperatures.

 

Euro day 11-15 freebie provided by Stu Ostro 

 

https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/572237261993082880

 

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The Euro ensembles continue to progress the ridge to near the Great Lakes region day 11-15

as the weeklies have been hinting at for some time. But an area of stubborn cooler anomalies

still persist over the Northeast. With the the potential for near record cold later this week, it

will certainly represent a relative moderation in temperatures.

Euro day 11-15 freebie provided by Stu Ostro

https://twitter.com/StuOstro/status/572237261993082880

B_D-h53VEAEXqAg.png

With the record cold we had, the SSTS just offshore are way below normal. I think it's going to be epic backdoor cold fronts this spring for coastal areas with that low level maritime air pushing in off the atlantic
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With the record cold we had, the SSTS just offshore are way below normal. I think it's going to be epic backdoor cold fronts this spring for coastal areas with that low level maritime air pushing in off the atlantic

 

The mean trough position over the NE has been really dominant since October with a brief break in December. 

You can see the idea of the trough returning in the Euro and CFS weeklies for later this month as the EPO

is forecast to go negative yet again. It's a further east ridge and trough progression from last year.

 

http://www.weatherwest.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/output_MSU19Z.gif

 

Euro week 4

 

https://fox12weather.files.wordpress.com/2015/02/500za_week4_bg_na5.png

 

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