MJO812 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Next week looks rainy. Hope it changes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Secondary 996mb south of LI, heavy rain for LI. Snow well inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Next week looks rainy. Hope it changes Looks like 2-3" of rain on the latest GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Looks like 2-3" of rain on the latest GFS. Wow, although rain now, that 2nd wave looks very interesting, the cutter and the pressing high argue for that wave to be forced somewhat to the south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Wow, although rain now, that 2nd wave looks very interesting, the cutter and the pressing high argue for that wave to be forced somewhat to the south...This is not even close to a snowstorm setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 This is not even close to a snowstorm setup Disagree, arctic high pressing south to the west and another low to our N/NE advecting cold air into the area as a frontal wave rides N/E...watch for this to change as time goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Disagree, arctic high pressing south to the west and another low to our N/NE advecting cold air into the area as a frontal wave rides N/E...watch for this to change as time goes on.Youre entitled to your opinion but imo this is not a snowstorm for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Youre entitled to your opinion but imo this is not a snowstorm for us A week out so you make an argument for both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Just a remarkably cold pattern in place when NYC goes with no 45 degree high days from 1/6 to 3/3. This would be the first 45 degree or higher potential for NYC. 1934 went up to 63 degrees in early March after the solid cold...It's March and a warm day here and there is normal... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 This is our snow pack wiper, it'll cause a catastrophic disaster in NE, and it'll signal in spring. The secondary wave is the only thing worth noting and will see how far to the east the frontal boundary will shift. It could provide additional rain or maybe some frozen the jury is still out on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 This is not even close to a snowstorm setup Its ironic because that's what you said with the last cutter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Its ironic because that's what you said with the last cutter.So did a bunch of others, difference this time, we have a strong -PNA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 1934 went up to 63 degrees in early March after the solid cold...It's March and a warm day here and there is normal... Looks like this Feb will end very similar to last Feb...had a low temp of 8 degrees last Feb 28th and this Saturday morning is looking similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Heard that the euro weeklies haveva brief relaxation in the pattern near midmonth before cold air returns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Heard that the euro weeklies haveva brief relaxation in the pattern near midmonth before cold air returns Courtesy of HM on twitter: " -EPO the entire run of new ECMWF weeklies through 3/29/week 4. In fact, PNA pattern intensifies week 4. " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Courtesy of HM on twitter: " -EPO the entire run of new ECMWF weeklies through 3/29/week 4. In fact, PNA pattern intensifies week 4. " What good is that going to do for us at week 4, that's the last week of March when we will have the equivalent of an August sun at the end the March, going into April? And that's assuming the euro weeklies will be correct 4 weeks away from now. According to met Coastalwx, he said weeks two and three did not look all that good anyway and he said only week 4 looked good, assuming that will even be correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Courtesy of HM on twitter: " -EPO the entire run of new ECMWF weeklies through 3/29/week 4. In fact, PNA pattern intensifies week 4. " The amazing 2005-2012 Greenland blocking pattern shifted over to the NPAC in early 2013 and keeps rolling on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chietanen Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 What good is that going to do for us at week 4, that's the last week of March when we will have the equivalent of an August sun at the end the March, going into April? And that's assuming the euro weeklies will be correct 4 weeks away from now. According to met Coastalwx, he said weeks two and three did not look all that good anyway and he said only week 4 looked good, assuming that will even be correct It was a response to Ant's comment about the weeklies, nothing more. I'm not sure why you always feel the need to debate every single comment that doesn't agree with your agenda. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Equivalent of August sun in March? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Equivalent of August sun in March? LolLmao too funny. Kinda dumb as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 -EPO doesn't have nearly as significant impact on temps in March as it does in Feb in our area though: Feb: March: Here's a neutral EPO for March: And positive: The effects appear far more pronounced in our area regardless of phase in Jan/Feb vs March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Compare that with a neg PNA for March: And Pos NAO: Seems kinda run-of-the-mill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 Wasn't last March cold and dry with the -epo? I remeber the Pv being in Canada for a while. Nyc was -4.8 last March Highest temp 66 Lowest was 11. Again we would not have temps in the 20's, more likely low 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Wasn't last March cold and dry with the -epo? I remeber the Pv being in Canada for a while. Nyc was -4.8 last March Highest temp 66 Lowest was 11. Again we would not have temps in the 20's, more likely low 40's. What were the other teleconnections doing at the time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 NAO appeared to be negative? Best I could find in a quick search: EDIT: Right around neutral it appears: 2014 1 -0.17 2014 2 1.07 2014 3 0.44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 What were the other teleconnections doing at the time? Even with the Se ridge and -Pna the -epo will off set everything. Keeping cold just to our north and warmth to our south. I honestly don't see any type of warmth this month. I could see us hitting 60 wed if all goes right.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Even with the Se ridge and -Pna the -epo will off set everything. Keeping cold just to our north and warmth to our south. I honestly don't see any type of warmth this month. I could see us hitting 60 wed if all goes right.... I could see some wild fluctuations, but of course that's pretty typical for March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 27, 2015 Author Share Posted February 27, 2015 NAO appeared to be negative? Best I could find in a quick search: EDIT: Right around neutral it appears: 2014 1 -0.17 2014 2 1.07 2014 3 0.44 I remember the storm track being real far south as the PV pretty much screwed us out of any snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 AO was kinda all over the place last March: 2014 3 1 0.656 2014 3 2 0.039 2014 3 3 0.034 2014 3 4 0.141 2014 3 5 0.032 2014 3 6 0.325 2014 3 7 0.250 2014 3 8 0.119 2014 3 9 0.091 2014 3 10 -0.148 2014 3 11 -0.344 2014 3 12 -0.132 2014 3 13 0.159 2014 3 14 0.284 2014 3 15 -0.182 2014 3 16 -0.810 2014 3 17 -0.810 2014 3 18 -0.248 2014 3 19 0.273 2014 3 20 0.340 2014 3 21 1.113 2014 3 22 1.613 2014 3 23 1.801 2014 3 24 2.066 2014 3 25 2.133 2014 3 26 1.124 2014 3 27 0.389 2014 3 28 0.660 2014 3 29 0.627 2014 3 30 0.667 2014 3 31 1.114 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 Equivalent of August sun in March? Lol August sun is not valid until mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.