IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Things could certainly change before then but the GFS has rain all day Tuesday and more rain for the end of the week with the gradient pattern and active Southern stream. Looks like around an inch of rain on Tuesday and then more rain moving back in by Wednesday night. Second storm could be wetter than the first one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 So much any snowflakes today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The gfs shows things would get ugly for a lot of places. There's a ton of liquid in that snowpack up north and eventually a cutter will happen. If the gfs is right it will be a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The gfs shows things would get ugly for a lot of places. There's a ton of liquid in that snowpack up north and eventually a cutter will happen. If the gfs is right it will be a disaster. The one major drawback to having an epic winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 ggem is further east with the arctic high for next week so we get a more sheared out look... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 ggem is further east with the arctic high for next week so we get a more sheared out look... It's going to be rainier than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 If those rains do come that is the beginning of a pattern change towards spring especially for NYC and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Mid 990's low that runs through E PA. Rain, brief dry slot, and then more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 It's going to be rainier than the GFS. Its just above .75 at 00z thursday, don't know what ur looking at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Light snow/ Ice to rain on the GGEM. Further east and colder to start than the GFS. Less rain than the GFS. Long ways to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 If the GGEM verifies, better start building the ark now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 If those rains do come that is the beginning of a pattern change towards spring especially for NYC and south. Really? I see a lot of cold air behind the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Its just above .75 at 00z thursday, don't know what ur looking at By Thursday night we're over 1.5" of rain with much more just to the NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 The follow up storm on the gfs is only rain for costal sections….that could easily end up colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Over 2" of rain for all of Northern PA and into NW NJ. Over 5" of rain for parts of the Ohio Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 The follow up storm on the gfs is only rain for costal sections….that could easily end up colder All of the storms next week can end up colder if the pv is in the right spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 By Thursday night we're over 1.5" of rain with much more just to the NW. Not that bad we get a long break in-between and its just a cold front on the second part…..no use in getting into to much detail. You have been telling people to build a ark the last 2 weeks and nothing has happen yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Not that bad we get a long break in-between and its just a cold front on the second part…..no use in getting into to much detail. You have been telling people to build a ark the last 2 weeks and nothing has happen yet. This is the first time that I have hyped a rainstorm this year. Mentioning that a cutter with this amount of snow on the ground would cause issues is common sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 It's going to be rainier than the GFS. lol nice edit…its not wetter then the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Guys, Monday is prob a 3 to 6 event around the area . Why anyone would speculate on Wed Thrs Fri of " next weeks ": SLP placement and a R/S line has not learned their lesson this winter . Focus on Monday and how that system exits the area . The exact track and deepening will have a big impact on where low 2 and 3 track . There is still a cold press through the lakes and one should very cautious about anything in this pattern post day 4 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 26, 2015 Author Share Posted February 26, 2015 This is the first time that I have hyped a rainstorm this year. Mentioning that a cutter with this amount of snow on the ground would cause issues is common sense. You hyped rain for last saturday night and we never got above 32, then you started building a ark for sunday night. Now you have moved on to Wednesday event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 We rain on the GGEM from hr 129 to 153. Then break from 153 to 162 and then rain until hour 180. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 lol nice edit…its not wetter then the gfs The only difference is that the higher totals are further North on the GGEM. And the GFS numbers are inflated because more of that is snow on the GFS than the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Flurries at lga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 You hyped rain for last saturday night and we never got above 32, then you started building a ark for sunday night. Now you have moved on to Wednesday event! Did it not rain on Saturday night? I haven't made any posts regarding Sunday night and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 We rain on the GGEM from hr 129 to 153. Then break from 153 to 162 and then rain until hour 180.im not saying rain is not going to happen but this timeframe is just fantasyland. I know you want your rain yanks and it's probably going to happen soon but long ways out. Oh by the way my comment got deleted last night when I said that we'll get light snow an inch was possible I said and of course I got bashed by siritokealot and they deleted my comment. I'm tired of people on here just disapproving my meteorology knowledge. Just have some respect I respect your opinion, & I would appreciate it if you also respect my opinion. It's a weather forum for Petes sake. Can't we just we get along!Saturday night it didn't rain, it was snow to freezing rain sleet slop than back to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 All of the storms next week can end up colder if the pv is in the right spot.Next week we will be in an RNA pattern, it's a lot different than what we have seen over the last month. Without any Atlantic and arctic blocking, it could easily verify as a rain event even with a -epo. The SE ridge is making a comeback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Did it not rain on Saturday night? I haven't made any posts regarding Sunday night and rain. Huh ? There was 4 to 6 inches throughout the entire area of snow that changed over to FRZ then back to snow . You were certain " cutters are gona cut " and we were going to rain . I argued that it was a frozen event and that it would trend colder That is in no way a win for you ,but it was a bad bust from 5 days out . I can pull our posts . Not picking on you , but please don`t you care claim victory after you were sure that was rain , and we said no . 4 to 6 changing to FRZ back to snow was what happened . You hyped rain . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Huh ? There was 4 to 6 inches throughout the entire area of snow that changed over to FRZ then back to snow . You were certain " cutters are gona cut " and we were going to rain . I argued that it was a frozen event and that it would trend colder That is in no way a win for you ,but it was a bad bust from 5 days out . I can pull our posts . Not picking on you , but please don`t you care claim victory after you were sure that was rain , and we said no . 4 to 6 changing to FRZ back to snow was what happened . You hyped rain . Did it not rain on Long Island? I swear, saying rain around here during Winter is treated like saying the F word in Church. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 26, 2015 Share Posted February 26, 2015 Flurries at lga I'm in Brooklyn. Nothing here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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