Allsnow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Nam gets .10 to phl and .25+ for acy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I know but that was not a cutoff , that was a miller B . Maybe they're are confusing sharp cutoff with cut off low? I dunno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Ok,so I'm having house wall raising tomorrow, well i be seeing snow? Been reading but haven't concluded a verdict yet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 Maybe there are confusing sharp cutoff with cut off low? I dunno. lol…yeah i have no idea. Its as if weenies just forget about that storm, because we got skunked during one storm that buried dca. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Ok,so I'm having house wall raising tomorrow, well i be seeing snow? Been reading but haven't concluded a verdict yet lol What did you get yesterday???? Still want to know what mtk got bad!!! Looks like a coating as it stands right now. You want to be more south for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 This is the storm I was referring to, took place only a few days after the first one. That map is a little deceiving. We had 15" on 2/10/2010 out this way. Here is the abridged version: ...SUFFOLK COUNTY... SOUND BEACH 16.2 900 AM 2/11 NWS EMPLOYEE ROCKY POINT 15.6 1145 PM 2/10 PUBLIC HOLBROOK 15.4 1130 PM 2/10 NWS EMPLOYEE MOUNT SINAI 15.4 100 AM 2/11 NWS EMPLOYEE NORTH BABYLON 15.0 1230 AM 2/11 PUBLIC PORT JEFFERSON 15.0 1130 PM 2/10 PUBLIC COMMACK 14.7 1155 PM 2/10 PUBLIC NORTH PATCHOGUE 14.5 230 AM 2/11 PUBLIC SMITHTOWN 14.5 1200 AM 2/11 SKYWARN SPOTTER DEER PARK 14.0 700 AM 2/11 PUBLIC MELVILLE 13.5 700 AM 2/11 SKYWARN SPOTTER LINDENHURST 13.4 345 AM 2/11 SKYWARN SPOTTER MIDDLE ISLAND 13.4 1010 PM 2/10 NWS EMPLOYEE UPTON 13.4 400 AM 2/11 NWS OFFICE HOLBROOK 13.0 120 AM 2/11 PUBLIC MILLER PLACE 13.0 830 PM 2/10 PUBLIC AMITYVILLE 12.5 1000 AM 2/11 PUBLIC STONY BROOK 12.4 1130 PM 2/10 SKYWARN SPOTTER SAYVILLE 12.2 800 AM 2/11 NWS EMPLOYEE DIX HILLS 12.1 800 AM 2/11 SKYWARN SPOTTER BAITING HOLLOW 12.0 410 AM 2/11 PUBLIC HAUPPAUGE 12.0 130 AM 2/11 PUBLIC SETAUKET 12.0 1100 PM 2/11 NWS EMPLOYEE CENTERPORT 11.7 700 AM 2/11 PUBLIC LAKE RONKONKOMA 11.7 1030 AM 2/11 PUBLIC ORIENT 11.5 700 PM 2/10 PUBLIC PATCHOGUE 11.5 1050 PM 2/10 NWS EMPLOYEE EAST NORTHPORT 11.3 650 AM 2/11 SKYWARN SPOTTER WEST ISLIP 11.1 1000 PM 2/10 NWS EMPLOYEE CENTEREACH 11.0 410 AM 2/11 NWS EMPLOYEE RONKONKOMA 11.0 900 AM 2/11 NWS EMPLOYEE MELVILLE 10.0 900 PM 2/10 SKYWARN SPOTTER ISLIP 9.2 405 AM 2/11 FAA CONTRACT OBSERVER SOUTHAMPTON 9.0 720 AM 2/11 PUBLIC SHIRLEY 8.9 1110 PM 2/10 PUBLIC CUTCHOGUE 8.5 830 PM 2/10 NWS EMPLOYEE MEDFORD 8.0 1100 PM 2/10 PUBLIC RIVERHEAD 8.0 400 AM 2/11 NWS EMPLOYEE HAMPTON BAYS 7.0 900 PM 2/10 NWS EMPLOYEE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I know but that was not a cutoff , that was a miller B . Maybe not where you live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Maybe not where you live. He is talking about a cutoff low, not a sharp cut off to the precip http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/February_25%E2%80%9327,_2010_North_American_blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 omg! This is was Forky is talking about curtesy of Ray Martin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 25, 2015 Author Share Posted February 25, 2015 He is talking about a cutoff low, not a sharp cut off to the precip http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/February_25%E2%80%9327,_2010_North_American_blizzard Im banging my head on the keyboard right now..dear god Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 i was talking about feb 5... the euro shows heavy snow staying just to our south for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 i was talking about feb 5... the euro shows heavy snow staying just to our south for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I saw the damage from that on LI, it was crazy. And to think, in Philly we got snow!It was by far the worst wind event I remember at home next to Sandy. Trees and power lines were snapping everywhere- we really lucked out that the worst didn't coincide with high tides. Parts of LB had no power for a week. If I remember correctly, we were only under a wind advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 It was by far the worst wind event I remember at home next to Sandy. Trees and power lines were snapping everywhere- we really lucked out that the worst didn't coincide with high tides. Parts of LB had no power for a week. If I remember correctly, we were only under a wind advisory. Yeah ,that was tied for the second most impressive wind event for Long Beach after Sandy that I can remember. Sandy #1 11/11/95, 3/13/10 #2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Yeah ,that was tied for the second most impressive wind event for Long Beach after Sandy that I can remember. Sandy #1 11/11/95, 3/13/10 #2 How was Dec. 1992 there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 How was Dec. 1992 there? The tidal flooding was the big story and the wind damage ranked just behind 3/13/10 and 11/11/95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The tidal flooding was the big story and the wind damage ranked just behind 3/13/10 and 11/11/95. Not familiar with 11/11/95 was that a storm onshore wind event? If it's the one I'm thinking about they had to plow ocean parkway from drifted sand big time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Eps looks nice for the midweek storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Upton now has a coating to an inch for nyc area for tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mranger48 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Eps looks nice for the midweek storm Same setup as the op just further north? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Not familiar with 11/11/95 was that a storm onshore wind event? If it's the one I'm thinking about they had to plow ocean parkway from drifted sand big time 11/11/95 was probably the strongest cutter that I experienced living in Long Beach. The wind direction started SSE and peaked SSW sustained around 50 and gusts to 75 mph right along the frontal passage. National blvd through the west end lost power for 24 hrs with numerous trees and power lines blown down. It was very well forecast by the NWS and they had a high wind warning out in advance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 11/11/95 was probably the strongest cutter that I experienced living in Long Beach. The wind direction started SSE and peaked SSW sustained around 50 and gusts to 75 mph right along the frontal passage. National blvd through the west end lost power for 24 hrs with numerous trees and power lines blown down. It was very well forecast by the NWS and they had a high wind warning out in advance. That's the exact storm I was thinking of. I was 13 but remember lots of trees down in wantagh and the ocean parkway sand thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Latest ruc has a few inches tonight for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 Can someone make a separate thread for sun or is it to early??? It's starting to get confusing with everything in this one thread!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think I know the answer to this but...what do you folks think the chances of this southern storm making that 100 mile jump north due to it intensifying faster than forecast and or phasing with that clipper in the midwest? The models keep bumping this storm northward. The low appears to be deepening quickly...6 mb in last 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 I think I know the answer to this but...what do you folks think the chances of this southern storm making that 100 mile jump north due to it intensifying faster than forecast and or phasing with that clipper in the midwest? The models keep bumping this storm northward. The low appears to be deepening quickly...6 mb in last 6 hours. First off if that were to happen, then we'd be talking about a massive model failure. The low is stronger though and further north according to the SPC page so a few ticks north are possible. The gfs is way off and shouldn't be used due to a much weaker, further SE initialization of the low. I still think a dusting is possible with a best case scenario of around an inch. If the best case scenario were to verify then it would be really good for SNJ especially around Atlantic City/Cape May who would get 6"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 The models show that clipper in the midwest falling apart. I think the most would be 1-2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 First off if that were to happen, then we'd be talking about a massive model failure. While I agree with you, a massive model failure is not all that uncommon as of late. I could see a 50 mile northward jump, but I believe 100 would be pushing it. To be fair, 50 miles is within the standard of deviation for model error. I'd be more worried about the fifty mile jump and a more robust NW precip field. However, dew points and RH isn't great, so it would be a bit harder pressed to get meaningful precip into the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 What was the outcome in 2010?? There were three major snowstorm is February 2010...the first...seemingly the best remembered...even though it had the least impact in NYC...put down huge snows south & west of NYC...but from NYC north & east it was mostly dry. The second event was a major snowstorm a few days later in the NYC metro area...though it was mostly during the daylight hours and urban areas like NYC itself had some rain mixed in...holding down accumulations...in the countryside it was mostly snow...I recall a strange break midway through...seeing about 8 inches out here in the morning...then the noon break...then seven more inches in the afternoon / early evening. New England mostly missed it. The third storm, at the end of the month, was a rain to snow event with a bizarre track...the offshore Low hooked west and into LI Sound...bringing cold west winds to its south (over NYC & LI) and snow...but up over Connecticut...they had east winds (with the low moving to their south / the counterclockwise flow around low pressure) and there it was mainly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted February 25, 2015 Share Posted February 25, 2015 GFS looks similar to 12Z for later next week, some snow to rain (maybe ice with a high just NE of the area) looks nothing like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.