MJO812 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Euro mean is wintry moving along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Lol the euro ensembles keep a -epo in place through mid March. Still have a -pna and +nao/+ao. But the incredibly persistent epo blocking is what is important if the 12z ensembles are correct.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Lol the euro ensembles keep a -epo in place through mid March. Still have a -pna and +nao/+ao. But the incredibly persistent epo blocking is what is important if the 12z ensembles are correct....I've never seen an atmospheric pattern so persistent, ever. Incredibly it's going on it's third year now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I've never seen an atmospheric pattern so persistent, ever. Incredibly it's going on it's third year now. If only it could remain forever.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I've never seen an atmospheric pattern so persistent, ever. Incredibly it's going on it's third year now. If what Forky posted is right then this will be the norm rather than the exception moving forward regarding persistent patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 How does next Wednesday night and Thursday (Purim) look on the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 I've never seen an atmospheric pattern so persistent, ever. Incredibly it's going on it's third year now.Imho, it's the sst's being so persistent. The persistent atmosphere is a byproduct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 How does next Wednesday night and Thursday (Purim) look on the models?What is purim? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 What is purim?A Jewish Holiday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 If what Forky posted is right then this will be the norm rather than the exception moving forward regarding persistent patterns.Yeah that was a fascinating read and further supports Dr. Francis' theory. It could be a case where the ridge sets up in another location in the future and causes a different pattern but one of similar length. It'll be fascinating to track this over the next few years to see how things transpire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Imho, it's the sst's being so persistent. The persistent atmosphere is a byproduct.Maybe so, but it's a chicken-or-egg situation. Is the main driver the sst's causing the atmosphere to react or the atmosphere causing warming of the sst's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 What is purim? Jewish halloween Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Jewish halloweenSort of. It's the celebration of their deliverance from the Persian Empires' plot (from the King) to eliminate the Jewish people. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Maybe so, but it's a chicken-or-egg situation. Is the main driver the sst's causing the atmosphere to react or the atmosphere causing warming of the sst's?I will actually respond to this a bit later when I'm off duty and can access my records on my laptop at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 24, 2015 Author Share Posted February 24, 2015 18z gfs is snowy for Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 might be some snow around here soon.i see the lowlevel mositure streaming up as the front approches..and the echos are already popping up over l.i..interesting to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Overcast here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 18z gfs is snowy for MondayReally it's more Sunday night threat right now. Less than a tenth falls after 12z. Could make for a nasty AM commute on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Big time cutter incoming on Tuesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Some slop Tuesday morning and then quickly over to rain Tuesday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Going for the 980's. We rain and torch. Flooding problems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 986mb SW of Toronto Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Big time cutter incoming on Tuesday night. Yea we'll see how that plays out. The pattern will be a bit different than before so it's possible but I'm going to go with the seasonal trend right now. We might have a cutter but a much weaker version of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 981mb near Toronto. Torch all the way into Canada. Rivers bursting from DC to Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yea we'll see how that plays out. The pattern will be a bit different than before so it's possible but I'm going to go with the seasonal trend right now. We might have a cutter but a much weaker version of it.Unless the s/w really amps up, which I don't see as we still have such a progressively screaming pattern, the solution will change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 981mb near Toronto. Torch all the way into Canada. Rivers bursting from DC to Boston. A week later watch it verify as a puny 1016 mb low passing over us or just to our north with a half inch of rain/mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 1-2" of rain and upper 40's. Not a total disaster but ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Since we were discussing climate change a bit and the relentless pattern, I thought this article was interesting. http://m.bbc.com/news/science-environment-31604953 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 1-2" of rain and upper 40's. Not a total disaster but ugly. Itll change 10 times anyway most likely....but still about 1-3" snow and ice/sleet on the front in addition to the 1-3" of Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 24, 2015 Share Posted February 24, 2015 Yea we'll see how that plays out. The pattern will be a bit different than before so it's possible but I'm going to go with the seasonal trend right now. We might have a cutter but a much weaker version of it.The difference is that we have a -PNA now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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