weathafella Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Jerry, earlier I asked where .5 line was on Euro, apparently Quincy needs glassesaThat must be the ultra high res. regular euro was different. Check your pm in a minute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 It's going to be really close at BOS..might even flip if echoes lighten up or something like that, but they should be mostly snow I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Boston metro folks... Guesses on when / if Boston breaks 100"? I'm thinking 9pm latest May be hard to officially tell given PNS intervals If only our PNS was touched more frequently, we wouldn't be at the mercy of those intervals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 If only our PNS was touched more frequently, we wouldn't be at the mercy of those intervals. Post #2000 was a good one lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Lol..pickles can't get PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Barry Burbank upped totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Whatever Euro data is being used is way off. The high res I'm looking at is much warmer (mid-40s) in the valleys later Sunday and only gives Boston 0.46" (proper) to 0.50" (sound end). About 0.42" ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Looking at CC over central Delaware, looks like 925 0C corresponds well with S/R line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Whatever Euro data is being used is way off. The high res I'm looking at is much warmer (mid-40s) in the valleys later Sunday and only gives Boston 0.46" (proper) to 0.50" (sound end). About 0.42" ORH. The standard res is different. Why is it way off? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The standard res is different. Why is it way off?Maybe the base maps are off, I don't know. Otherwise it's probably the 0.5 degree vs. the 0.125 degree ECMWF. Kind of how the 12km NAM can be much different than the 4km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Nice backbuilding on W CT radar but what is with that hideous dry slot in the Catskills region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Nice backbuilding on W CT radar but what is with that hideous dry slot in the Catskills region?Look at your regional radar. The precip over NJ is making the turn. We snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Always use local radars. Never use a regional radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just teenie weenies falling from the sky...started around 345pm, just a dusting dust off the ole weenie lights snow here Crotched mtn bound! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Always use local radars. Never use a regional radar. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Snow totals get dropped again. Third storm in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Why? It is one of the ten sacred commandments from the Book of What Works for Me Right Now. Do not attempt to leverage its tenets in a future storm; the guidelines for that one come from a different book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Why?Gives you a better idea of local movement and direction and back building. Regional makes things look way too progressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Why? Just some of the Rev's Commandments Thou shall not forecast taint Thou shall not report dews less than 70 after June 1 Thou shall not use BDL to report temps from Nov1 to Mar 31 Thou shall not use ORH to report temps/dews from April 1 to October 31 Thou shall toss thy model that showeth the tolland mount getting a relative minimum Thou shall render any non snowy post in winter as "unreadable" Thou shall manicure thy snow piles Thou shall be a sleep by 9:59pm Latest Thou shall tweet snowiest tweets Thou shall measure thy snow with thy angle of ruler to ground of 45 degrees for maximum forecast confirmations JK on the last one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Heavy heavy st the pit. Not too shabby at friendlys either. Maybe I should get a dribble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Gives you a better idea of local movement and direction and back building. Regional makes things look way too progressive If I wanted local movement I'd look at local NEXRAD. If I wanted overall movement it's logical to look at regional or national composite and satellite. Every major storm was well forecasted this way. I always have a local and regional loop going during all events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 as discussed, upstream trends looking better for Boston metro better totals expanded southeast (while Max still gets max) we'll see how the 925T line advances but I don't think it reaches Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 as discussed, upstream trends looking better for Boston metro better totals expanded southeast (while Max still gets max) we'll see how the 925T line advances but I don't think it reaches Boston StormTotalSnowRange_5pm.png AWD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 AWD?ASOUD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Just some of the Rev's Commandments Thou shall not forecast taint Thou shall not report dews less than 70 after June 1 Thou shall not use BDL to report temps from Nov1 to Mar 31 Thou shall not use ORH to report temps/dews from April 1 to October 31 Thou shall toss thy model that showeth the tolland mount getting a relative minimum Thou shall render any non snowy post in winter as "unreadable" Thou shall manicure thy snow piles Thou shall be a sleep by 9:59pm Latest Thou shall tweet snowiest tweets Thou shall measure thy snow with thy angle of ruler to ground of 45 degrees for maximum forecast confirmations JK on the last one Lol. Hilarious. 28.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 as discussed, upstream trends looking better for Boston metro better totals expanded southeast (while Max still gets max) we'll see how the 925T line advances but I don't think it reaches Boston StormTotalSnowRange_5pm.png That's a cut back from their prior map not an expansion southeast. I was in the 3-4" in the last iteration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 That's a cut back from their prior map not an expansion southeast. I was in the 3-4" in the last iteration. What it really shows is the growing confidence on the NW extent of taint, given the expansion of the deeper green (4-6) and refining of the lighter green (3-4). I disapprove of the colors in general; greens should never be used for snows. It is rude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 That's a cut back from their prior map not an expansion southeast. I was in the 3-4" in the last iteration. Well, yesterday I was like 2-3", now 4-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 What it really shows is the growing confidence on the NW extent of taint, given the expansion of the deeper green (4-6) and refining of the lighter green (3-4). I disapprove of the colors in general; greens should never be used for snows. It is rude. I've been told by a few here there was not going to be any rain. I'm confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 22, 2015 Share Posted February 22, 2015 most of southeast MA Quincy to Plymouth increased from 1-2 to 3-4 most of pike north increased from 3-4 to 4-6 in any case, the extent of the R/S line will be critical... that line is racing north on CC hi-res models stop the R/S line short of Boston, but as Coastal implied, I think Boston metro has a better chance of staying all snow with heavier returns, mix when it gets lighter kind of thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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