N. OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The RGEM looks great over HFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Looks good. Thx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The RGEM looks great over HFD Hopefully enough snow to get back over 2 feet OTG. I'm kind of missing having a 2 foot base. Hovering around 20" is weak sauce LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 IF I was MPM , I probably would have jumped off the French King Bridge 2 snow storms ago. That area has been getting royally screwed in comparison to E SNE setting record after record, if there is a situ where MPM is allowed to b**ch, this recent pattern is it. I don't care if he is average, it's about perspective. Boston just got more snow in 3 weeks then like all but there TOP 3 FULL winters, while MPM sniffed light snow flurries. Ditto anyone living in Far Western or SW CT or West of Berkshire Spine, just a bridge jumper of a last 3 weeks, given what unfolded just to your east. same deal here as well, its been brutal I dont care who doesn't like hearing it blah blah.... to be so close but so far.... getting a third of the snow in 24 to 30 hr storms with horrible snowgrowth while the cheerleading is deafening not too far away with tssn ++ and depths to thighs and chests..... then all the smaller events that blow up magically from Kevin to ginxy to ktan and kbos for daily two to five inch refreshers while maybe you got a few flurries to a coating or partly sunny with a bit of sublimation... its really about 15 to 20 mi east of 91 that things really get good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 rgem_asnow_neus_8.png That looks like a Quincy Jack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 It's snowing now. Everyone relax look out the window and stop worrying about jacks!!! Three days ago it was supposed to rain.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Too be fair, e MA has been in in a rut relative to surrounding areas for a few years now.....after the two huge storms in 2013 plus salvaging boxing day in 2010....the only storm I can think of where they got screwed was snowtober and they didn't loose power for 9 days....I don't buy that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 It's snowing now. Everyone relax look out the window and stop worrying about jacks!!! Three days ago it was supposed to rain.. Telling people in this forum to stop worrying about jacks is like telling a group of drug addicts to stop worrying about who has more stash...too many sickos to expect that request to be answered. Funny you mentioned the rain though...most people in SNE would have taken this regardless of whether they jacked or not 2 days ago if you offered them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 It's snowing now. Everyone relax look out the window and stop worrying about jacks!!! Three days ago it was supposed to rain.. Ditto. The usual storm jitters have come to the surface Atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Telling people in this forum to stop worrying about jacks is like telling a group of drug addicts to stop worrying about who has more stash...too many sickos to expect that request to be answered. Funny you mentioned the rain though...most people in SNE would have taken this regardless of whether they jacked or not 2 days ago if you offered them. What about a drug addicted weather junkie? They're paranoid of jacks and their stash. This continues to tickle colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Latest HRRR latching onto more snow a little farther east as well. RI is now in the 4-5" range, which only was in the 2-3" range earlier - might be seeing either more cold or more convection developing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HullMA Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 This is winter. It just wont rain. (joking) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 It's snowing now. Everyone relax look out the window and stop worrying about jacks!!! Three days ago it was supposed to rain.. No. no.. it was not "Supposed" to rain. That is maddening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 No. no.. it was not "Supposed" to rain. That is maddening. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 No. no.. it was not "Supposed" to rain. That is maddening.if you bet against cold and snow until further notice you're a mad man. It just zeems like it wants to keep snowing and snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Lol Only the people that ripped and read the models went into this thinking it was going to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The METs at BOX must be morons than discussing a changeover to rain. Hmmm. 430 PM UPDATE... *** SNOW/SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN YIELDS DIFFICULT TRAVEL INTO THIS EVENING ALONG THE COAST AND OVERNIGHT INLAND *** SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW... AT 4 PM THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SNOW SHIELD IS INTO RI AND EASTERN MA. ONCE SNOW BEGINS IT QUICKLY BECOMES MODERATE WITH VSBY AOB 1 MILES ALONG WITH SNOWFALL RATES APPROACHING AN INCH PER HOUR. LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A NICE PLUME OF ENHANCED/COOLING CLOUD TOPS FROM THE TN VLY NEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO STRONG JET DYNAMICS IN THIS CONVEYOR BELT WITH 925 MB AND 850 MB WIND SPEEDS +2 TO +3 STD FROM CLIMO...ALONG WITH STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK AND RRQ OVER NEW ENGLAND. THESE STRONG JET DYNAMICS ADVECT A PLUME OF PWATS EXCEEDING +1 STD DEVIATION FROM CLIMO. HENCE PLENTY OF FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN A MOIST COLUMN. THIS YIELDS A MODEL CONSENSUS QPF OF UP TO 1 INCH ALONG THE SOUTH COAST TAPERING DOWN TO 0.40 INCHES ALONG THE MA/NH BORDER. PTYPE AND SNOWFALL... STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ACROSS THE AREA IS BEING OFFSET OR MODIFIED BY VERY COLD NEAR SHORE WATER TEMPS WITH MANY HARBORS/BAYS PARTIALLY OR COMPLETELY FROZEN. AS A RESULT DEW PTS ARE ONLY IN THE U20S ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS WITH TEENS WELL INLAND. GFS/NAM AND HI RES GUID IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT NOSE OF WARM AIR AROUND 925 MB HOLDS OFF UNTIL AFTER 03Z. THUS MOSTLY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION THRU 03Z/10 PM...THEN BETWEEN 03Z AND 06Z WILL SEE LINE OF MIXED PRECIP SPREAD NORTHWARD TO ABOUT A BDL-ORH-BED-BVY LINE AND HOLD THERE OVERNIGHT...WITH ALL SNOW TO THE NW OF THIS LINE. THUS EXPECTING ABOUT 4-6" OF SNOW ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF I-84 TO I-90 AND NORTHEAST INTO I-495 CORRIDOR OR NORTHEAST MA. SOUTH OF THIS AREA INTO NORTHEAST CT-MUCH OF RI INTO SOUTHEAST MA EXPECTING 2-4" OF SNOW FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF SLEET/FREEZING RAIN 10 PM TO 1 AM. THIS INCLUDES THE BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR. CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS WILL HAVE A FEW HOURS THIS EVENING OF SNOW...SLEET AND POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN. GIVEN THIS HAVE EXPANDED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. AS PREVIOUS FORECASTER INDICATED DESPITE SURFACE TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE MU30S A FROZEN GROUND MAY STILL YIELD FREEZING RAIN. HENCE VERY TREACHEROUS TRAVEL INTO AT LEAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR. MAY SEE LOWER SNOW TOTALS ALONG THE MA/NH BORDER AS BEST FORCING FOR ASCENT IS FARTHER SOUTH CLOSER TO THE I-84 CORRIDOR NORTHEAST INTO I- 90 AND I-495 OF NORTHEAST MA. LITTLE CONCERNED HOW SNOW INTENSITY DROPS OFF ACROSS NORTHERN NJ/LOWER HUDSON VALLEY WESTWARD INTO PA. COULD BE SOME MID LEVEL DRY AIR THAT SHOULD EVENTUALLY RESATURATE. THUS RADAR SHOULD FILL BACK IN TOWARD 00Z/7 PM. RAINFALL... AS PTYPE TRANSITIONS FROM SNOW/SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE 10 PM TO 1 AM WINDOW...EXPECT A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO PERHAPS HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE SOUTH COAST. MODELS SUGGEST UP TO 0.50 INCHES OF RAINFALL AFTER THE CHANGEOVER. THIS COMBINED WITH SNOW CLOGGED STORM DRAINS WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST MINOR TO PERHAPS MODERATE STREET/URBAN TYPE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH LEFTOVER SNOWPACK AND TODAY/S SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF ROOF COLLAPSES. GREATEST RISK LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTH COAST WHERE RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVIEST. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Only the people that ripped and read the models went into this thinking it was going to rain. Hey, kudos to you sir. I was in Florida so couldn't check as often but when I did, it looked wet. Glad the cold won out. Nice to put this in the memory bank for next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Maybe I am wrong, but I don't see much if any changeover at BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 I suppose at the end they could..but not sure I see much ZR and IP starting after 10pm as mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 How does it disagree? It has the max snowfall in CT. You said "Snow growth doesn't even look that good over in eastern areas". RGEM says otherwise sw of Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Maybe I am wrong, but I don't see much if any changeover at BOS. Just let him go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Telling people in this forum to stop worrying about jacks is like telling a group of drug addicts to stop worrying about who has more stash...too many sickos to expect that request to be answered. Funny you mentioned the rain though...most people in SNE would have taken this regardless of whether they jacked or not 2 days ago if you offered them. Kevin was already on that train then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The METs at BOX must be morons than discussing a changeover to rain. Hmmm. 430 PM UPDATE... *** SNOW/SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN YIELDS DIFFICULT TRAVEL INTO THIS EVENING ALONG THE COAST AND OVERNIGHT INLAND *** SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW... AT 4 PM THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SNOW SHIELD IS INTO RI AND EASTERN MA. ONCE SNOW BEGINS IT QUICKLY BECOMES MODERATE WITH VSBY AOB 1 MILES ALONG WITH SNOWFALL RATES APPROACHING AN INCH PER HOUR. LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A NICE PLUME OF ENHANCED/COOLING CLOUD TOPS FROM THE TN VLY NEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO STRONG JET DYNAMICS IN THIS CONVEYOR BELT WITH 925 MB AND 850 MB WIND SPEEDS +2 TO +3 STD FROM CLIMO...ALONG WITH STRENGTHENING UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK AND RRQ OVER NEW ENGLAND. THESE STRONG JET DYNAMICS ADVECT A PLUME OF PWATS EXCEEDING +1 STD DEVIATION FROM CLIMO. HENCE PLENTY OF FORCING FOR ASCENT WITHIN A MOIST COLUMN. THIS YIELDS A MODEL CONSENSUS QPF OF UP TO 1 INCH ALONG THE SOUTH COAST TAPERING DOWN TO 0.40 INCHES ALONG THE MA/NH BORDER. PTYPE AND SNOWFALL... STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ACROSS THE AREA IS BEING OFFSET OR MODIFIED BY VERY COLD NEAR SHORE WATER TEMPS WITH MANY HARBORS/BAYS PARTIALLY OR COMPLETELY FROZEN. AS A RESULT DEW PTS ARE ONLY IN THE U20S ACROSS CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS WITH TEENS WELL INLAND. GFS/NAM AND HI RES GUID IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT NOSE OF WARM AIR AROUND 925 MB HOLDS OFF UNTIL AFTER 03Z. THUS MOSTLY SNOW ACROSS THE REGION THRU 03Z/10 PM...THEN BETWEEN 03Z AND 06Z WILL SEE LINE OF MIXED PRECIP SPREAD NORTHWARD TO ABOUT A BDL-ORH-BED-BVY LINE AND HOLD THERE OVERNIGHT...WITH ALL SNOW TO THE NW OF THIS LINE. THUS EXPECTING ABOUT 4-6" OF SNOW ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF I-84 TO I-90 AND NORTHEAST INTO I-495 CORRIDOR OR NORTHEAST MA. SOUTH OF THIS AREA INTO NORTHEAST CT-MUCH OF RI INTO SOUTHEAST MA EXPECTING 2-4" OF SNOW FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF SLEET/FREEZING RAIN 10 PM TO 1 AM. THIS INCLUDES THE BOSTON TO PROVIDENCE CORRIDOR. CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS WILL HAVE A FEW HOURS THIS EVENING OF SNOW...SLEET AND POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN. GIVEN THIS HAVE EXPANDED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. AS PREVIOUS FORECASTER INDICATED DESPITE SURFACE TEMPS CLIMBING INTO THE MU30S A FROZEN GROUND MAY STILL YIELD FREEZING RAIN. HENCE VERY TREACHEROUS TRAVEL INTO AT LEAST THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE INTERIOR. MAY SEE LOWER SNOW TOTALS ALONG THE MA/NH BORDER AS BEST FORCING FOR ASCENT IS FARTHER SOUTH CLOSER TO THE I-84 CORRIDOR NORTHEAST INTO I- 90 AND I-495 OF NORTHEAST MA. LITTLE CONCERNED HOW SNOW INTENSITY DROPS OFF ACROSS NORTHERN NJ/LOWER HUDSON VALLEY WESTWARD INTO PA. COULD BE SOME MID LEVEL DRY AIR THAT SHOULD EVENTUALLY RESATURATE. THUS RADAR SHOULD FILL BACK IN TOWARD 00Z/7 PM. RAINFALL... AS PTYPE TRANSITIONS FROM SNOW/SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN IN THE 10 PM TO 1 AM WINDOW...EXPECT A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO PERHAPS HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE SOUTH COAST. MODELS SUGGEST UP TO 0.50 INCHES OF RAINFALL AFTER THE CHANGEOVER. THIS COMBINED WITH SNOW CLOGGED STORM DRAINS WILL RESULT IN AT LEAST MINOR TO PERHAPS MODERATE STREET/URBAN TYPE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...THIS RAINFALL COMBINED WITH LEFTOVER SNOWPACK AND TODAY/S SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF ROOF COLLAPSES. GREATEST RISK LIKELY ALONG THE SOUTH COAST WHERE RAINFALL WILL BE HEAVIEST. Nice. About what I figured. 4-6" We take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2015 Author Share Posted February 21, 2015 Congrats eduggs? Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi 8m 8 minutes ago Its an overrunning event if front of front coming from the west on a south wind. Maybe this happens in Albany, but DC, MIND BOGGLING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 well .5QPF line was South of city on Euro.... I think I would be more worried about a ragged precip shield holding amounts down in BOS vs taint. Heaviest QOF may be south of the city. I guess you mean less than forecast..bc all models had heavier South of city No it wasn't. It was 40 miles NW of boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Maybe I am wrong, but I don't see much if any changeover at BOS. HRRR agrees and has been ticking cooler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Jerry, earlier I asked where .5 line was on Euro, apparently Quincy needs glasses MQE-HFD-OXC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 one of our fosters was adopted in Brookline,my wife delivered him,loved the neighborhood It's a great town...and people for the most part enjoy the snow. Snowing at a decent clip and radar looks ok for the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Boston metro folks... Guesses on when / if Boston breaks 100"? I'm thinking 9pm latest May be hard to officially tell given PNS intervals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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