HoarfrostHubb Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:26 AM, CoastalWx said: RGEM is pretty snowy lol. Qpf queens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:28 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Qpf queens?P-type princesses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:25 AM, weathafella said: Uh oh! image.jpg Surprised by the tone here, this one is going to go cold. Seems very clear imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:28 AM, Quincy said: P-type princesses. Take them up Q, take them up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:28 AM, Quincy said: P-type princesses. Mid-level mistresses, deformation duchesses, frontogen fairies... when does the terror end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Will what was that swfe last year coming on the heels of an Arctic outbreak that overpreformed? I remember thinking usual 3-4 then ended up with 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:25 AM, weathafella said: Uh oh!image.jpg Very nice change on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:28 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: Qpf queens? You and MPM could be good places for seeing upper end of predictions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:31 AM, Zeus said: Mid-level mistresses, deformation duchesses, frontogen fairies... when does the terror end? I knew when I made up the term "QPF Queen"...it would eventually be regrettable. Seemed like a good idea at the time... I haven't really looked very closely at this threat having been up north...but just digging in now, this looks like an advisory to low end warning event. Normally I would say no dice inside of 495 on anything over 3" in this but the antecedent airmass is so powerful and this isn't a big lakes cutter or anything...it's going to have problems bullying the current airmass. That battle should result in at least a few hours of moderate to occasionally heavy snow IMHO tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:11 AM, CT Rain said: Really? I thought this year has been pretty good for us. Agreed in Easton we are already over our 30 inch seasonal average. However the blizzard bust really hurt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:37 AM, ORH_wxman said: I knew when I made up the term "QPF Queen"...it would eventually be regrettable. Seemed like a good idea at the time... I haven't really looked very closely at this threat having been up north...but just digging in now, this looks like an advisory to low end warning event. Normally I would say no dice inside of 495 on anything over 3" in this but the antecedent airmass is so powerful and this isn't a big lakes cutter or anything...it's going to have problems bullying the current airmass. That battle should result in at least a few hours of moderate to occasionally heavy snow IMHO tomorrow night. Do you see the RGEM run as believable. All snow in Bos on table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:37 AM, ORH_wxman said: I knew when I made up the term "QPF Queen"...it would eventually be regrettable. Seemed like a good idea at the time... I haven't really looked very closely at this threat having been up north...but just digging in now, this looks like an advisory to low end warning event. Normally I would say no dice inside of 495 on anything over 3" in this but the antecedent airmass is so powerful and this isn't a big lakes cutter or anything...it's going to have problems bullying the current airmass. That battle should result in at least a few hours of moderate to occasionally heavy snow IMHO tomorrow night. its 5 below zero way down at the tip of southern jersey, thats a lot of weight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:29 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Surprised by the tone here, this one is going to go cold. Seems very clear imo I love it when you are on the snowier side of things! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:32 AM, Ginxy said: Will what was that swfe last year coming on the heels of an Arctic outbreak that overpreformed? I remember thinking usual 3-4 then ended up with 8 Feb 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 This looks like it could have one of those S + weenie bands just north of the taint line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:43 AM, Max said: I love it when you are on the snowier side of things! Probably still warm here....just seems like the trend has been cold on this one for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:41 AM, N. OF PIKE said: Do you see the RGEM run as believable. All snow in Bos on table? Believable? Yes. Likely? No. I think BOS will flip, but it might just be a trivial stat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:42 AM, Ginxy said: its 5 below zero way down at the tip of southern jersey, thats a lot of weight and close to Zero just outside Richmond, VA lol Heavy heavy Cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:43 AM, CoastalWx said: This looks like it could have one of those S + weenie bands just north of the taint line. Right on the nose of the southerly LLJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:43 AM, ORH_wxman said: Feb 18 thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Looks like GFS came in colder too with heavier stuff in the 128 district just north of the taint line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:44 AM, Clinch Leatherwood said: Probably still warm here....just seems like the trend has been cold on this one for days. kind of makes the media frenzy two days ago about biblical flooding look pretty silly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:49 AM, ORH_wxman said: Right on the nose of the southerly LLJ Yeah exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:11 AM, CT Rain said: Really? I thought this year has been pretty good for us.You guys have definitely been the best of the CT stations from what I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 00z GFS likes Tolland County: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:51 AM, Ginxy said: kind of makes the media frenzy two days ago about biblical flooding look pretty silly Sold a lot of roof rakes though ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:57 AM, Quincy said: 00z GFS likes Tolland County: image.jpg Only issue is that 900mb is already above freezing by 06z in that area...so probably almost half of that is cold rain. Not sure I buy it, but it's something to watch...the LLJ will make a push, but it will be slowed at some point...where that halting occurs could affect snow totals in a non-trivial manner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 3:57 AM, Quincy said: 00z GFS likes Tolland County: image.jpg nice weenie, red headed one eyed monster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The GFS continuing to trend colder at 850 and 925 lends credence to the RGEM solution. One or two more runs like that and the GFS will be practically all snow in Boston, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 4:00 AM, ORH_wxman said: Only issue is that 900mb is already above freezing by 06z in that area...so probably almost half of that is cold rain. Not sure I buy it, but it's something to watch...the LLJ will make a push, but it will be slowed at some point...where that halting occurs could affect snow totals in a non-trivial manner. Thats about as marginal warming as it gets and being the GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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