CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:37 AM, Max said: I actually think the faster this comes in, the more snow we get. Yeah agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:38 AM, CoastalWx said: Yeah agree. But the trade off in it coming in faster, is it clearing out faster during the day, which would mean the temp spiking as the sun comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:40 AM, Max said: But the trade off in it coming in faster, is it clearing out faster during the day, which would mean the temp spiking as the sun comes out.So we melt 2"....worth the extra snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:37 AM, Max said: I actually think the faster this comes in, the more snow we get. 18z RGEM showed the same faster solution. I'm betting it shows a big front end thump tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:40 AM, Max said: But the trade off in it coming in faster, is it clearing out faster during the day, which would mean the temp spiking as the sun comes out. It actually cools a bit during the day. I don't buy these model temps. No way it gets above 32 into SNH, and with cool 850 temps? I call BS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:49 AM, CoastalWx said: It actually cools a bit during the day. I don't buy these model temps. No way it gets above 32 into SNH, and with cool 850 temps? I call BS.agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:49 AM, CoastalWx said: It actually cools a bit during the day. I don't buy these model temps. No way it gets above 32 into SNH, and with cool 850 temps? I call BS. Not following but it seems unlikely I'd agree. Models clearly just catching up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 FOX going 3-6" outside 128 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 GFS similar to 18z, maybe a bit faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It does seem a bit stronger and dragging warmer air up, but it also may make for a better front ender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 NAM gives Northern RI 6" beforehand and the GFS 3" before changeover. I'll Gladly take 3"-6" since 4" would break So many records for me. 90", 5th All-Time, 2 Month Record, Biggest February ever, 3rd Biggest Month ever behind Feb. 1969 and Jan. 2005. All occur with 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Gfs warmer at 850 but much colder at surface. Can I take NAM 850s and GFS surface? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It's all about that bass. 3-6 front ender with some compaction and melting would be a net gain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Again these model temps just look a bit strange too me. No fooking way is it warming that quick in the interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Harv not too excited about Sat/Sun... few inches before change to plain rain on coastal rain rain snow reaches Boston by 10pm maybe 2" before changeover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 ORH hits 50F on Sunday? Looks quite possible according to the Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:20 AM, jgordonjr said: ORH hits 50F on Sunday? Looks quite possible according to the Canadian It ain't happening. I don't see 00z out that far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:20 AM, wxsniss said: Harv not too excited about Sat/Sun... few inches before change to plain rain on coastal rain That's about the ceiling really. It's not going to be a big deal. Someone might squeeze 5 or 6 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:20 AM, jgordonjr said: ORH hits 50F on Sunday? Looks quite possible according to the Canadian I'll take the under, Canadian is always warm biased especially in situations like this one. GFS/NAM are 33-35 which is much more realistic I think, maybe they sneak up to 38-39 but 50 isn't happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 RGEM at 48 looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:23 AM, SR Airglow said: I'll take the under, Canadian is always warm biased especially in situations like this one. GFS/NAM are 33-35 which is much more realistic I think, maybe they sneak up to 38-39 but 50 isn't happening. I don't know where he is seeing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Kind of reminds me of the storm on the Saturday before the blizzard.... The first blizzard that is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:24 AM, ineedsnow said: RGEM at 48 looks great It did. But that's at hr 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Never mind...was reading the Thursday 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:24 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Kind of reminds me of the storm on the Saturday before the blizzard.... The first blizzard that isSimilar qualitatively, but this won't be quite as prolific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Canadian is similar to 12z too. I think the 00z guidance has come in a bit more stronger with the low, but also a decent front end before any mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:21 AM, CoastalWx said: It ain't happening. I don't see 00z out that far. On Tropical Tidbits at 18z Sunday it shows 48F in Boston and 44F in Albany on the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:52 AM, 78Blizzard said: On Tropical Tidbits at 18z Sunday it shows 48F in Boston and 44F in Albany on the GGEM. If it clears out, it may briefly kiss 40 at Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 4:52 AM, 78Blizzard said: On Tropical Tidbits at 18z Sunday it shows 48F in Boston and 44F in Albany on the GGEM. Tossed. I'd shave 10f off of both those numbers and that's probably a decent over/under to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Hi Res Nam takes Bos to 39 at 4 am on strong Southerly flow. Cpl inches Snow then a flip to Rain .7 or so QPF. Flips Orh to Rain as well after about 2/3'rds has fallen. 35 Max there. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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