Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:09 PM, ClashmoreMike said: Has Kevin earned a red tag? You honestly think he'd say..Kevin did a nice job or anything like that? I mean I don't really care..but for him to admit that ..well there's a better chance of looking up in the sky to see pigs flying. Just glad we were able to contribute to the learning of the forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:11 PM, CoastalWx said: Wow. That's like your favorite one word response here. What's so wow? That your ideas about the models in the mid-range worked out perfectly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Unbelievable.....and the Winter rolls on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:14 PM, Damage In Tolland said: You honestly think he'd say..Kevin did a nice job or anything like that? I mean I don't really care..but for him to admit that ..well there's a better chance of looking up in the sky to see pigs flying. Just glad we were able to contribute to the learning of the forum Good guess...congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:10 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I thought it was overamped, but I didn't expect this large of a correction. Ukie is cold, Canadian is cold, Japanese is cold A lot of fingers pointing south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:06 PM, CT Rain said: Yes, Euro is cold. Snow. I'll gladly eat my words if this transpires as a snowstorm for all and will send kudos Kevins' way, It's all good Kevin. I've been enjoying this "battle". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 No one except the cape goes above 0 at 850 through hour 72. BL issues from NWCT -NEMA then, but everyone except the cape/south coast is solidly advisory snows on this run. All snow from the Litchfield hills - northern ORH - extreme SENH and NW, but everyone is basically 3-5 only difference is that se of that line finishes with some rain. On 2/19/2015 at 6:13 PM, SnowMan said: Heavy wet snow or fluffy as currently modeled? The former I think, or at least wetter than our most recent events which were pure fluff. No 30:1 ratios here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Wow. Fully expected to check back and see words like "amped," "warm/wet," and "Detroit." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Euro paints the bullseye over Mt Tolland of around 6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:15 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: I'll gladly eat my words if this transpires as a snowstorm for all and will send kudos Kevins' way, It's all good Kevin. I've been enjoying this "battle". It's like when a teacher has to give credit for a correct solution to a math problem even though the written out way he arrived there involves hearts and stars and the wrong equation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Verbatim, it's worse for SE areas. Still rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:14 PM, Max said: That's like your favorite one word response here. What's so wow? That your ideas about the models in the mid-range worked out perfectly! It's just a crazy winter. That word sums it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Yesterday's 12z Euro had the 0C line thru NYC to Boston at 12z Sunday. Today's Euro has the line thru central NJ to south of LI, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:17 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Verbatim, it's worse for SE areas. Still rain. Looked better to me across the board in terms of front end for those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Man it's warm though at the SFC...even gets 35F up here as it's ending. It's an odd set-up...just such a weak low. The timing on Saturday night helps because 18z Sun afternoon is pretty mild, with most above freezing except the far NNE mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:18 PM, SR Airglow said: Looked better to me across the board in terms of front end for those areas. I see very little snow S & E of BOS/PVD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:10 PM, BostonWX said: Guestimating 5-9+ for most away from the south coast Flirting with '96 if that's true... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:15 PM, SR Airglow said: No one except the cape goes above 0 at 850 through hour 72. BL issues from NWCT -NEMA then, but everyone except the cape/south coast is solidly advisory snows on this run. All snow from the Litchfield hills - northern ORH - extreme SENH and NW, but everyone is basically 3-5 only difference is that se of that line finishes with some rain. The former I think, or at least wetter than our most recent events which were pure fluff. No 30:1 ratios here. I'm not at all worried about the BL out here past rt 128 with a weak system and ssts in the mid-upper 30's. If this were Decemeber, I'd this, but not now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 The people who have access to other Euro maps can compare ti mine but this is what I see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Why was this a win for the GFS? as far as Im concerned every model was over amped/too far west yesterday on the 12z's..sure the gfs less so, but the 12z gfs yesterday had a 1008mb low over plattsburgh midday sunday with rain to maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19, 2015 Author Share Posted February 19, 2015 Just remember models will underestimate low level cold which is why you see 35 to Maine(which we know ain't happening..and the colder trend "probably" is not quite done yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:19 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: I see very little snow S & E of BOS/PVD. Looks like 1-2 lollies to 3 for areas SE of that line and away from the immediate south coast/cape. 0z run was essentially nothing for anyone less than 20-30 miles NW of that line, so at least in my book, it's a pretty decent improvement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Advisory sounds about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:20 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: The people who have access to other Euro maps can compare ti mine but this is what I see. getimg.jpg That look like more of a 495 deal, but I don't buy that. Too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:21 PM, NJwinter23 said: Why was this a win for the GFS? as far as Im concerned every model was over amped/too far west yesterday on the 12z's..sure the gfs less so, but the 12z gfs yesterday had a 1008mb low over plattsburgh midday sunday with rain to maine. The GFS was most consistent. Not close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Precipitation outruns the warming so snowy for many interior areas but the surface does shoot up into the 40's Clearing In the PM and a SW flow ahead of the next shot of cold air? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NeonPeon Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:07 PM, CT Rain said: Yeah Euro is snowy lol. We snow. I assume S coastal areas still snow--> taint-->rain-->snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:20 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: The people who have access to other Euro maps can compare ti mine but this is what I see. getimg.jpg From looking at the individual panels at 850 925 surface and QPF, I think that's too light on those borderline areas. I only have 6 hour maps so it's difficult to say for sure(Maybe someone with 3 hour maps can chime in?), but those maps generally underdo snow in marginal situations and overdo it in very cold storms and I think that's what's going on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 6:20 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: The people who have access to other Euro maps can compare ti mine but this is what I see. getimg.jpg On 2/19/2015 at 6:21 PM, SR Airglow said: Looks like 1-2 lollies to 3 for areas SE of that line and away from the immediate south coast/cape. 0z run was essentially nothing for anyone less than 20-30 miles NW of that line, so at least in my book, it's a pretty decent improvement. Here's last nights 96h panel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 I am hoping the South ticks keep ticking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.