Indystorm Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I think the Easter weekend through the first part of the following week should be watched carefully in the Midwest. Stebo keeps focusing on the 7th/8th. I'm wondering if the Final Four championship game that Easter Monday might have more to contend with than basketball. GFS as well has been fairly consistent in bringing a storm to the Midwest in that time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 I think the Easter weekend through the first part of the following week should be watched carefully in the Midwest. Stebo keeps focusing on the 7th/8th. I'm wondering if the Final Four championship game that Easter Monday might have more to contend with than basketball. GFS as well has been fairly consistent in bringing a storm to the Midwest in that time period. Lately the more I am looking at things it might have sped up to Easter weekend though. I do think a bigger potential is there beyond April 7th with the next trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Lately the more I am looking at things it might have sped up to Easter weekend though. I do think a bigger potential is there beyond April 7th with the next trough. Well we might have one system prime the pump so to speak. But I do think this pattern will change and provide much greater opportunity for svr wx than we have seen with our constant nw flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Well we might have one system prime the pump so to speak. But I do think this pattern will change and provide much greater opportunity for svr wx than we have seen with our constant nw flow. The issue with the first system is, if it is too strong it will drove a front into the Gulf and will make the second trough need more time to draw the moisture north. The GFS is showing why the weaker system with trough one leads to a better system with trough two. Where the Euro is the other way, though I do think both models would have severe with both troughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGM Posted March 28, 2015 Share Posted March 28, 2015 Looks like the 12z Euro wraps it up as well between 144 and 168. We have a rapidly deepening surface low with a decent warm sector for it to work with at 18z 4/3 (60s dews into central IL/IN/OH), 25-40 kts of 0-1 km shear and 55-70 kts of 0-6 km shear. This would have potential to be a rather substantial severe weather threat. The area in central IL at this time near the warm front is particularly impressive. Thoughts on farther east? Could Michigan get in on the early action? 41st anniversary of the Super Outbreak!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 30, 2015 Share Posted March 30, 2015 I'll believe it when I see it but..... http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ECMWF_0z/test8.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 2, 2015 Share Posted April 2, 2015 pre-torch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwburbschaser Posted April 6, 2015 Share Posted April 6, 2015 12z GFS has an interesting look for next Monday. That would be one powerful system coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 west coast trough fail...look familiar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 west coast trough fail...look familiar?So tired of this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 lol @ all the weenies who bought into the jb hype Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 west coast trough fail...look familiar? That was the 00z run. The 12z run has a sharp western trough with a warm to very warm midwest/lakes much of next week. Next run could flip again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 west coast trough fail...look familiar? One run of one model out of how many since March 27th? Nice cherry pick that has changed 12 hours later anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 7, 2015 Author Share Posted April 7, 2015 west coast trough fail...look familiar? Trolling regardless of any meteorological counterpoints, fantastic. Oh, and pretty sure the western troughing isn't failing this week for starters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 7, 2015 Share Posted April 7, 2015 Lock that in..i'm sick of 40Fs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Why Alek hasn't been banned I'll never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Why Alek hasn't been banned I'll never know. paypall hoosier $50 i have the best stalkers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 paypall hoosier $50 i have the best stalkers nah just people tired of your act. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 nah just people tired of your act. use the report button, a couple more warning points and i'm gone! maybe you and andyh can team up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 lol, warning points on a weather board Alek? you tuff guy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 lol, warning points on a weather board Alek? you tuff guy. i should really post my warning history, it's pretty funny. my stalkers get really bent out of shape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 i should really post my warning history, it's pretty funny. my stalkers get really bent out of shape I use to get them too, I was 17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 I use to get them too, I was 17. zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzHugz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 Hugz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 i should really post my warning history, it's pretty funny. my stalkers get really bent out of shape I have actually been banned from sub forums, not a single warning point to date though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 I have actually been banned from sub forums, not a single warning point to date though. haha, what sub are you banned from? CC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 haha, what sub are you banned from? CC? No... politics during that ~10 month stretch. I have moderated my denial of CC a bit.... I was close to being axed there, If I had to guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted April 8, 2015 Share Posted April 8, 2015 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 8, 2015 Author Share Posted April 8, 2015 use the report button, a couple more warning points and i'm gone! maybe you and andyh can team up! I don't care most of the time, except when you're posting false statements actually about the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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