TalcottWx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Been some clear wind convergence involved too. Kind of a mix of the old M/L, OE, convergence, low level moisture equals a CJ.garden variety of factors leading to fluff. Love it. Whats ur take on the better stuff later? Where does it setup? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 How in hell does any met or model pinpoint these? Big synoptic storms are much easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 garden variety of factors leading to fluff. Love it. Whats ur take on the better stuff later? Where does it setup? 18z BTV WRF weakens and shifts it slowly SE.....better stuff per that not till tomorrow early eve. I think SE coastal Pym County and cape is slowly focus till then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 How in hell does any met or model pinpoint these? Big synoptic storms are much easier. 70% meso's 30% Climo mix? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 NWS tweeting cold and snowy through the end of feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 How in hell does any met or model pinpoint these? Big synoptic storms are much easier. Harvey was very vague this evening and rightly so. Broadbrush few inches for metro Boston and several inches north and east. He said pay attention to future forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 lol I'll give you credit, you don't hold much back in wishing screwjies elsewhere. I don't get that logic when he's done as good as most others, but oh well. He may have the biggest jack fetish of them all. Hopefully he gets nailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 How in hell does any met or model pinpoint these? Big synoptic storms are much easier. Most of the time, Except the models failed miserably last weekend inside 24 hours or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 18Z 2.5km CMC HiRes looks great for C/S NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 What a bizarre radar right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 What a bizarre radar right now The weird scallop shell feature? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 18Z 2.5km CMC HiRes looks great for C/S NH. image.jpg Nightmares of this past weekend on that look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Boy that looks like fun on the HRDPS! It's been pretty dang good since it came out on wxbell too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Gotta put the models away and just watch radar folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The weird scallop shell feature? Yeah it's like a buzzsaw lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan11295 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 BTW, BOS now tied #2 @7 pm. I am sure if someone told you this 4 weeks ago you would have said that's impossible..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Looks like about 2.5 will do it today. See through fluff. Probably will be compacted to 0.7" by morning. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 18Z 2.5km CMC HiRes looks great for C/S NH. image.jpg .4 to .6 QPF on that for Bos, Jerry, Me, Jay, Ray , this has a much better look than other "pure Norluns" . That would be plenty of fluff. Would Love to see how many inches .5 QPF would give us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Pinch me someone, we live in the N greens now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 That high res CMC would be like 12" lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 That high res CMC would be like 12" lol. the bufkit profiles are redic.. its happening, but where Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 the bufkit profiles are redic.. its happening, but whereIt's like a game of plinko on the price is right. Somebody from BOS to mid coast Maine will score the $10,000 prize! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 18Z 2.5km CMC HiRes looks great for C/S NH. Nasty snow hole over my county here in CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 What a bizarre radar right now Returns moving north just inland while south near the water. Trough setting up maybe a bit SW but shifting. Radar is firing some nice returns off PTown. If those make it to land overnight look out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Nightmares of this past weekend on that lookJust assume the worst. Maybe we'll be surprised. I'd be happy with a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Returns moving north just inland while south near the water. Trough setting up maybe a bit SW but shifting. Radar is firing some nice returns off PTown. If those make it to land overnight look out Yes, fun to watch! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Just assume the worst. Maybe we'll be surprised. I'd be happy with a few inches. PWM gets whacked I think...within 20 miles or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Yes, fun to watch! There's a fetch setting up here, if it can extend to the coast those are significant green mountain esque snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 NAM looks good here through North Conway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 NAM looks good here through North Conway.Definitely a tick north though. So maybe that's it with the SW trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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