CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Well enjoy Mainers. Should be a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 New Nam blows for ne ma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 New Nam blows for ne ma Preface this by what resolution you are looking at. 32km, 12km , 4km? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I haven't looked the NAM but they're usually is subsidence when you're southwest of where the main banding is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Congrats DE Maine on the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Preface this by what resolution you are looking at. 32km, 12km , 4km? 12km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Congrats DE Maine on the Nam I'd say congrats York county and all of the southern 2/3rds of Maine, and ENH, norlun then Miller B looks pretty likely, Eastport is just in the zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I'd say congrats York county and all of the southern 2/3rds of Maine, and ENH, norlun then Miller B looks pretty likely, Eastport is just in the zone. The Gfs has been pretty bullish on getting the precip back further west with the low development over the mid coast on a few runs now Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The Gfs has been pretty bullish on getting the precip back further west with the low development over the mid coast on a few runs now Sent from my iPhone so has the Euro ens. In fact all of New England is going to see some snow whether 1-3 or getting clocked like ENNE. Yet another deep deep ULL with a tropopause dip. Brutal cold with biting windchills, going to look and feel like Siberia across the entire region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The Gfs has been pretty bullish on getting the precip back further west with the low development over the mid coast on a few runs now Sent from my iPhone ask Ryan how that worked out this past weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 hires 4k nam is much snowier in e sne than the 12k. That's a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 ask Ryan how that worked out this past weekend. I don't need to ask anyone how last weekend worked out, All the models deflated the football up here Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 4k nam hasn't finished it's run for SNE so I can't post totals for Maine. However, I can post SNE. 0.1 PVD to ORH 0.2 South Shore to BOS and suburbs 0.3 interior essex county. 0.4 tickles Gloucester 0.5 Newburyport Nice TT spike too. The Band smokes E NH and the Western ME foothills. Comparable instability spike to what I saw modeled on NAM in the past storm with the band that dropped south through SNE. Remember we would be looking at high ratios when seeing these QPF totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z RGEM will be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Maine has had pretty much a good year all around, no? Most areas except the far north are normal/AN for snow so far, but we had a 7-week stretch of blecch from mid-Dec up until the blizzard. Reading (from GYX discussion) of the Miller B effect offers some optimisim, as the inverted trough is usually a non-event at places well inland. That CMC is hardcore wx porn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Looks like precip stating to get going just off shore south of PWM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 ask Ryan how that worked out this past weekend. Yea, I'd be skeptical, but either way...should be a nice event that will assuage some of the Maine pain from last weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 4k nam hasn't finished it's run for SNE so I can't post totals for Maine. However, I can post SNE. 0.1 PVD to ORH 0.2 South Shore to BOS and suburbs 0.3 interior essex county. 0.4 tickles Gloucester 0.5 Newburyport Nice TT spike too. The Band smokes E NH and the Western ME foothills. Comparable instability spike to what I saw modeled on NAM in the past storm with the band that dropped south through SNE. Remember we would be looking at high ratios when seeing these QPF totals. I show a bit over .25 over Scott's head arcing towards Bob but not quite reaching. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I show a bit over .25 over Scott's head arcing towards Bob but not quite reaching. Interesting. I'd go no more than 0.2" back to rt 24. With ratios of 20:1+? Could be some nice stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I'd go no more than 0.2" back to rt 24. With ratios of 20:1+? Could be some nice stuff. Looping the radar we can see some echos beginning to form on composite over eastern mass and the adjacent waters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Does anything get back this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 i don't understand what you guys are looking at, modeling has nothing for another 12-18 hrs it's still snowing here now, very lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The latest GYX offering, introducing pink Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kmcfarland99 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Looks like precip stating to get going just off shore south of PWM RAD_KGYX_N0R_ANI.gif Funny to see this and look outside my window in Scarborough and see bright sun with wispy clouds and partial blue sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Both the NAM and RGEM start to spin the low up south of Cape Cod imo. That's the finger of moisture we see and the weak reflection overnight tonight. RGEM hits the Cape pretty hard, NAM is a bit west. The key will be watching the radar south of Block and Martha's later today and tonight to see what blossoms. Could be quite the surprise quick hitter as it lifts north. May need to hoist advisories for the Cape again depending on how the short term mesos start to look soon. RAP is all over it like stink on a monkey so far, HRRR not so much but IMO Rap was way better than the HRRR on the last event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Radar going boom over Essex! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z RGEM, Mid Coast Mauler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z RGEM That looks more realistic than the runs that had it extending ove much of ne MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Wow the Cape may get nailed with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z RGEM, Mid Coast Mauler Hit's me pretty hard too, not epic but with ratios it's advisory + RAP/NAM/RGEM all agree, a blossoming area of moisture will move over eastern MA or the Cape tonight. Just looking at Ginxy's mid levels it looks like this may be more impressive than modeled even now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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