jamesnichols89 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Negative tilt to the upper level troughing over the OH valley. Leading to cyclogenesis off the East Coast as upper level clouds are becoming enhanced over NJ and east of NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 1:45 AM, jamesnichols89 said: You think this means that the third storm system comes further west like the 18z NAM showed? No idea may simply mean more snow in this first burst inland. These things are so unpredictable it's almost a waste to watch too much before it evolves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 1:50 AM, dendrite said: Radar doesn't do this justice out here on the edge of the beam. See through fluff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Yeah that's true. I think it means the whole upper level system is more amplified and further west than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 1:50 AM, dendrite said: Radar doesn't do this justice out here on the edge of the beam. you are not doing this to me again. pretty much heavy flurries here... visibility is 5 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 1:55 AM, eekuasepinniW said: you are not doing this to me again. pretty much heavy flurries here... visibility is 5 miles. No way. lolI'm probably pushing an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 1:56 AM, dendrite said: No way. lol I'm probably pushing an inch. Did Kevin send you those snow goggles that make your ruler look slanted in the snow giving the impression of having more than you actually have? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 1:56 AM, dendrite said: No way. lol I'm probably pushing an inch. Before http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2015-02-18-181649.jpgAfter http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/2015-02-18-210009.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIcoastalWX Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 26.2/23 - Moderate Snow. Calm Wind. Quick 1/2 of snow so far. Roads quickly covered and slick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 18z nam NAILED current precip location in SNE for 9pm http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/rad8.html http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=box&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Light to almost moderate snow 19.8F great snow growth, large flakes. Radar exploding west of Boston in that band that looks to slowly move east to me. I have a feeling this is going to be a big over performer for a large area. Such an unusual storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 York county must be getting 3-4"/hr in that band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 This is going to overpower orh east. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:10 AM, CoastalWx said: York county must be getting 3-4"/hr in that band.Yeah...I think it's coming along pretty much as planned. The main meat and potatoes will be PSM-DAW north and east while we get a little appetizer west of there with a general 0.10-0.25" of fluff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:11 AM, sbos_wx said: This is going to overpower orh east. Nice. HRRR has been doing well with this. Not sure it overperforms that much though..most models has a couple to a few inches east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:14 AM, dendrite said: Yeah...I think it's coming along pretty much as planned. The main meat and potatoes will be PSM-DAW north and east while we get a little appetizer west of there with a general 0.10-0.25" of fluff. Nice fluff over in your area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:15 AM, CoastalWx said: HRRR has been doing well with this. Not sure it overperforms that much though..most models has a couple to a few inches east.Looks like a few miles off the coast in southern portions will get a burst of heavy snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 All hires including hrrr were horrendus for awhile there. Didnt really have a handle until that set of runs when the banding was already forming. Southern band is showing signs of intensifying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 1/2 New moderate snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:18 AM, sbos_wx said: All hires including hrrr were horrendus for awhile there. Didnt really have a handle until that set of runs when the banding was already forming. Southern band is showing signs of intensifying 18z Hi Res nam had this http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_18z/rad9.html 10pm , then loop forward , there were always modeled to be a few narrow mod/hvy bands over SNE....they won't be there more than 2 hours IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Superlight stuff here too falling steadily, pushing a half inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Looks lolike a nice band blossoming in metro west and headin north towards.....meeeee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 12:18 AM, dan11295 said: They have 4 foot pack there?II I am 5'6" tall and my snow pack is roughly chest high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Just want to say that the HRRR Absolutely Nailed this band across RI. How it formed and went over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 HRRR is getting worse and worse as we get closer in. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Nada here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Anyone remember the 12/26/04 norlun event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 Light snow here. A dusting so far, maybe a tenth or two new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 On 2/19/2015 at 2:44 AM, Randy4Confluence said: Anyone remember the 12/26/04 norlun event? that wasn't a norlun .. "omega bomb" for south coast, only big snowfall that winter for southern areas before the pattern flipped around 1/20 http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2004/us1226.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 19, 2015 Share Posted February 19, 2015 "Death band" about five miles to my west .. western York County getting waylaid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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