NycStormChaser Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Post away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 UPTON LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...AN UPPER TROUGH AND ARCTIC FRONT WILL APPROACH WED EVENING.THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS WED NIGHT ACCOMPANIED BY SCT SNOWSHOWERS. THEN A STRONG VORT MAX ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE UPPERTROUGH STILL TO THE WEST SHOULD INDUCE CYCLOGENESIS S OF CAPE GODLATE WED NIGHT INTO THU MORNING. MODELS HINT AT EITHER AN INVERTEDTROUGH EXTENDING NW OF THE LOW OR INTERACTION BETWEEN THE LOW ANDARCTIC FRONT THAT COULD BRING A CHANCE FOR A STEADY ACCUMULATINGLIGHT SNOW THU MORNING...MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL/ERN SECTIONS OF SRNCT AND LONG ISLAND. THE UPPER TROUGH MAY ALSO SPARK ISOLD SNOWSHOWERS FARTHER WEST AS IT MOVES ACROSS THU INTO THU EVENING. MT HOLLY .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...WED/WED NIGHT...FAIR WEATHER WILL START THE DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE WILLBE ACROSS THE AREA. CONDITIONS WILL CHANGE DURING THE DAY AS THEAPPROACHING UPPER TROUGH AND AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT APPROACH FROMTHE WEST. WE HAVE INCREASED POPS FOR THE NRN/WRN AREAS FOR THEAFTERNOON AND THE SRN/ERN AREAS FOR THE EVENING. THE COLD FRONTWILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SNOW SQUALLS AND GUSTY WINDS WHICH MAYDEPOSIT A QUICK INCH OF SNOW IN MANY AREAS. TEMPERATURES WILL DROPINTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. WIND CHILLS DROP BELOW ZEROACROSS THE AREA WITH -10 TO -20 FAR NORTH AND 0 TO -10 FROM THELEHIGH VALLEY S AND E. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 1-3 inches for NYC on ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 1-3 inches for NYC on ukie Ratio`s will be good with this one as well . We just need the precip fields to fill in a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The Euro is real light, under a tenth West, a bit more East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 .10" line is into EWR, all of NYC and LI. .25"+ line is into Eastern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 .10" line is into EWR, all of NYC and LI. .25"+ line is into Eastern LI. Yeah, another clipper that picks up moisture as it heads northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Yeah, another clipper that picks up moisture as it heads northeast. Dats what clips do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Euro with 20 to 1 ratios is 2"-4" for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 How's the dreadful NAM on this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 How's the dreadful NAM on this? Coating to maybe an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I wonder if this will turn into another advisory event. The Nam looked noticeably more amplified and further SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I wonder if this will turn into another advisory event. The Nam looked noticeably more amplified and further SWi doubt we get anything more than a quick inch here. But I'll take it with a smile on my face! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 i doubt we get anything more than a quick inch here. But I'll take it with a smile on my face! Depends. Euro and Ukmet have 1"-2" for the area. Most models have something. As long as we get .10"+, the ratios will support 2" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter201415 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Im down for it. If it does snow, I think it'll come down very heavily for an hour or so! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Remember we're also talking snow squalls with the arctic front. They could drop a quick inch or so no matter how much QPF models are spitting out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The NWS doesn't even have this listed as a possible threat. They have "slight chance of flurries." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cygnus X-1 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I'm just an amateur weather observer, but I'd like to say in this thread that I find arctic fronts as amazing. Here in/on central LI, we had a couple of these come through this season. My fascination begins with my basic understanding of cold fronts. cold air bumps warm air, and obvious convection results in a slim line of powerful energy/ thunderstorms or just heavy rain. What seems baffling to me is that the arctic fronts that ran into this area recently have done so into really cold air yet there were these lines of heavy yet brief snowfall, followed by bitter cold. My question is how is there such convection in such cold conditions? I'm going to guess upper air something, but it is an amazing phenomenon observed here on the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 How's the NAM looking for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 How's the NAM looking for this? Widespread squalls with .10"+ in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The RGEM swings an area of light snow through 08-14Z or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 This storm absolutely crushes Maine after it Ramps up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 This storm absolutely crushes Maine after it Ramps upOf course it does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 1-3 inch event most likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 This storm absolutely crushes Maine after it Ramps up Was just looking at that. 983mb. I might take a roadtrip up there with my girlfriend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 High ratio light snow event on the Euro for the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 High ratio light snow event on the Euro for the areaQpf? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Qpf? 0.1-0.25 pretty much area wide. Between 0.05-0.1 though for the southern 2/3rds of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Upton has a snow map out its 1-2" for N&W of the city to about the Nassau Suffolk border then 2-3" for Suffolk. It's also 1-2" for SW Connecticut and I believe 2-3" for Eaastern Connecticut. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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