MJO812 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Give it up, this is not going to be more than a few inches on a front end dump and then over to rain. The only question is how much. So much potential:(. Still a few days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mophstymeo Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I love seeing those in denial weenies in SNE squirm lol. I hope for their sake the rain isn't the soaker the gem is making it out to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 Ill take 2-4/3-5... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 1.50"-2.00" of rain. About 0.25" or so frozen on the front end. Surface temps in the 50's on Sunday all the way into New Hampshire, and then into the low 20's by Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 1.50"-2.00" of rain. About 0.25" or so frozen on the front end. Surface temps in the 50's on Sunday all the way into New Hampshire, and then into the low 20's by Monday morning. Absolute disaster if that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Disaster if this happens from PA to Maine. Surface temps in the 50's with heavy rain. We would probably lose the whole snowpack in about 12hrs. And Boston, well, lets hope this doesn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Rain all the way into Montreal. Then a possible flip to snow as the front moves through our area, but you'll be fighting the precip shutting off.Those tail-end deals almost never work out, but with the low cutting that far west, to give Chicago a snowstorm, I'm surprised it is showing a 2-4 front end dump. There would be crazy strong waa out ahead of that thing in that situation, especially with the low being very strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 UKMET aint a whole lot better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 UKMET aint a whole lot betterI just heard it almost looks like the GGEM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 UKMET aint a whole lot better WeAker then ggem but stronger then gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Wasnt this storm modeled to be a snowstorm for our region a few days ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Wasnt this storm modeled to be a snowstorm for our region a few days ago?By the GGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Rain to Iqaluit, Nunavut. Dews in the 70s. Boston has already begun recruiting the poets, physicians, farmers, scientists, magicians, et al., in a last-ditch effort to preserve her legacy. The GFS pbp is now complete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Well we've had 4 weeks of snow cover, which is extremely rare so it was bound to wither away eventually. It really would be a massive disaster though we're talking widespread roof collapses, major flooding, and ice jams turning a weenie fantasy into a complete nightmare. I'm actually happy we've haven't had crazy amounts of snow given such dire consequences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The ggem then blows 96 away with a Miller B bomb next week in Boston lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 All right. The consistency amongst models is strong with decent run to run consistency. Not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Gfs delivers a beautiful parting gift as met winter comes to a close Feb 28-March 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 The ggem then blows 96 away with a Miller B bomb next week in Boston lol Any for us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I still like 2-4" or 3-5" on a front end dump, especially near Trenton where the precip arrives faster and is able to tap into a bit more cold air. Then grab your ankles because it's coming hard and fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Any for us? 1-3/2-4 type deal..more on long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 A driving rainstorm sandwiched in between long stretches of frigid cold is just nuts and it has happened before so many times. Was not that our pattern in early to mid Jan? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I still like 2-4" or 3-5" on a front end dump, especially near Trenton where the precip arrives faster and is able to tap into a bit more cold air. Then grab your ankles because it's coming hard and fast. If the low is as strong as the GGEM has I don't see it, I cannot recall ever seeing more than maybe 1 or 2 inches when a low that deep is to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Gfs delivers a beautiful parting gift as met winter comes to a close Feb 28-March 1. I'm not convinced that this will be our last winter storm threat. At some point the pattern is going to break but the models almost always advertise it a week to ten days too early. By the middle of March we should be done and it will be a welcomed sight as we have endured quite a cold Winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 If the low is as strong as the GGEM has I don't see it, I cannot recall ever seeing more than maybe 1 or 2 inches when a low that deep is to the west That analog of 94 had temps in the single digits then 40's by night...trace amounts of snow at the airports Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 If it does, that would almost certainly be the last hurrah for this winter. Real good agreement that after next Sunday (3/1), every teleconnection goes very unfavorable for cold/snow and it's all she wrote... Major pattern changes can often occur with a bang so I wouldn't discount something the gfs shows. There may be a delay or lag regarding winter's end even if all the teleconnections flip by an additional 7-10 days, so it is possible we might have to wait until either the 2nd week of March or mid March before a complete pattern breakdown/change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 After so much cold, what are the chances of seeing record heat this Spring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Ggem has two winter storm threats next week...Miller B and miller A threats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 If the low is as strong as the GGEM has I don't see it, I cannot recall ever seeing more than maybe 1 or 2 inches when a low that deep is to the westI posted that earlier snowgoose, a 2-4 dump with a cyclone that strong and that far west? No way imo the waa would be incredible at all levels out ahead of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The rain is just nature's way of making room for more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The GFS is back to the cut off low for March 6th. It's not going to work out that way but I'd bank on at least one in the first ten days of March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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