MJO812 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 This storm went from 50s and heavy rain to 20s and heavy snow . Overperformer lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:30 PM, SleetStormNJ said: Nice batch moving through Central NJ on radar. Should be moving into the metro area in the next half hour. Plenty of moisture still streaming in from the SW in PA/MD/WV. the se pa radar hole is making the dry area look worse than it actually is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:31 PM, Sn0waddict said: Currently under some Yellow DBZ's, big time flakes and a moderate to borderline heavy rate.Just got heavy here in Trumbull too... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SleetStormNJ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:34 PM, forkyfork said: the se pa radar hole is making the dry area look worse than it actually is Makes sense. Even up here when the radar has been showing dry areas, it's kept going on as light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 CPA radar looking better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:26 PM, NJWXNUT said: awesome - now I have the formula, thank you. Back to some moderate snow right now in hoboken, on the northern fringe of it but hoping I can get a few more inches before the changeover. It switches to z-4 when dst ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:33 PM, Snow88 said: This storm went from 50s and heavy rain to 20s and heavy snow . Overperformer lolGoing to be a nice storm for you guys down there. Congrats, enjoy it. We are in trouble from extreme northern jersey on north, my area isn't looking too hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/ RAP http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/analysis/rapmeso/index.php?type=US-850Tadv-25 http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/analysis/rapmeso/index.php?type=US-700mb-25 help is on the way Rockland voice ups Stay with this data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:38 PM, Doorman said: http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/ RAP http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/analysis/rapmeso/index.php?type=US-700mb-25 help is on the way Rockland voice ups Stay with this data I hope so doorman. You guaranteed me at 2pm that I'd be okay, and at 4:45 Im sitting on 0.4-0.5 inches and still stuck in the dryslot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:33 PM, Snow88 said: This storm went from 50s and heavy rain to 20s and heavy snow . Overperformer lol Seems like you can't take any forecast for granted this year...even within 12 hours of a storm. It's awesome that the forecast busted to upside this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 The HRRR has been trending slower and slower with ending things, now still going through 11z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:41 PM, Metasequoia said: Seems like you can't take any forecast for granted this year...even within 12 hours of a storm. It's awesome that the forecast busted to upside this time. and for other areas ( close to NYC) it can potentially bust big time to the downside. Im 22 miles NW of manhattan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 All of NJ below freezing even Cape May : 29F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 hrrr pounds North jersey and nyc this evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:42 PM, KeithB said: and for other areas ( close to NYC) it can potentially bust big time to the downside. Im 22 miles NW of manhattan Dry slot will fill in for you folks north of the city and you won't have near the risk of mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:44 PM, Allsnow said: hrrr pounds North jersey and nyc this evening Lets go hrrr then!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Get off the rag people, previous dry slot is now eroded Radar will fill in over the next 3 hours per the HRRR and 4k NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Wow with the New RGEM. Jackpot NYC and coastal CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 That mt holly snow map will bust for those areas south of 95 that they are giving a couple of inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:46 PM, EastonSN+ said: Wow with the New RGEM. Jackpot NYC and coastal CT. Where can I get the maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Upton Quote BASED ONUPSTREAM RADAR AND HIGH-RES DATA...AND ABOVE THINKING...HAVEADJUSTED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UPWARD FOR THE NYC/NJ METRO AND COAST ANDSTATUS-QUO FOR INTERIOR. A NARROW BAND OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OFSNOW...MARGINAL WARNING...IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ACROSS THECOASTAL PLAIN (INCLUDING NYC AND LI)...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE AT THISPOINT THAT IT WILL BE WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO UPGRADE TO WARNING ANDWITH LOOMING CHANGEOVER. IN FACT...THE RAP AND HRRR...ARE SHOWINGPOTENTIAL FOR A 1/2 INCH OF QPF AS ALL SNOW ACROSS NYC AND LIBEFORE CHANGEOVER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:44 PM, Allsnow said: hrrr pounds North jersey and nyc this eveningWhat time does it start the pounding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:45 PM, KeithB said: Lets go hrrr then!!!! http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/archiveviewer.php?sector=16&parm=700mb&underlay=1 shrinking and moving away sir the dry slot that is...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:51 PM, IsentropicLift said: That's great for me but idk..radar doesn't look that great at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:51 PM, IsentropicLift said: Game . Set . Match . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:48 PM, SnoSki14 said: Where can I get the maps? 18z RGEM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 Me and Sleetstorm still waiting for our 12 -18 " We are inching even closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:51 PM, Doorman said: http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/archiveviewer.php?sector=16&parm=700mb&underlay=1 shrinking and moving away sir the dry slot that is...... it's starting to look that way. I'm still fearful though.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 21, 2015 Share Posted February 21, 2015 On 2/21/2015 at 9:53 PM, PB GFI said: Game . Set . Match . nice.. also credit to forky... said 5pm... and its 455 and now back to moderate snow in Hoboken Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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