Nibor Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Nice refresher to the pack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 2" of rain just to our southwest. Always danger lurking around the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:42 AM, Nibor said: Nice refresher to the pack. Dca crushed...that's a thump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4k NAM is very impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 DCA gets triple what Boston gets.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:44 AM, Allsnow said: Dca crushed...that's a thumpwhy do they get so much more snow the us this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:40 AM, Allsnow said: It's quicker also...this is more of a Saturday afternoon thing on the nam.. Storm is over by 7am Sunday thats a great thing I think because the warm sector only arrives around sunrise (nighttime is better this time of the year) sunrise arrives with a dry slot and shuts off the main precipitation. This is an all snow event imo ending as some freezing drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:47 AM, weatherfreeeeak said: why do they get so much more snow the us this run? Better dynamics and preciep totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:46 AM, IsentropicLift said: 4k NAM is very impressivedoes that main band that hits DC and Philly hit us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:42 AM, IsentropicLift said: 2" of rain just to our southwest. Always danger lurking around the corner. looks like that is trending more S and E though if I remember prior runs--the cold is pressing in quicker and quicker shunting the heaviest stuff SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:51 AM, Brian5671 said: looks like that is trending more S and E though if I remember prior runs--the cold is pressing in quicker and quicker shunting the heaviest stuff SENot really. It's been shifting around. The NAM absolutely pours from the Delmarva to LI early Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 By 10pm Saturday 4k nam drops 4" area wide and NWNJ is almost 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 2:51 AM, SomeWeatherGeek said: does that main band that hits DC and Philly hit us?Does it really matter right now? This isn't the final outcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 4k nam finishes off 3-5" areawide, slightly more for extreme NWNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Once again Not really sure where the 4-8" is falling for our area as stated in the PBP Could someone direct me to that information? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 3:00 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Once again Not really sure where the 4-8" is falling for our area as stated in the PBP Could someone direct me to that information? As I said 3-6/4-8 type thump....never got more specific...if you want break it down for us when text comes out. We all look forward to it.4-6 nyc 6-8 Phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 3:05 AM, Allsnow said: As I said 3-6/4-8 type thump....never got more specific...if you want break it down for us when text comes out. We all look forward to it. 4-6 nyc 6-8 Phl I don't think everyone looks forward to it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 3:06 AM, IrishRob17 said: I don't think everyone looks forward to it... Lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 3:08 AM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Ok.. I just think misleading People by throwing 4-8" out there isn't right but whatever your the PBP guy, max output for a 10:1 ratio for our entire area is 5" and ratios are between 8-10:1 Nam doesn't have ANYONE at 6" except far western NJ and that only a few counties 5 falls between 4-8 And chicago is not in central Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Nobody went after you! You asked were I was getting 4-8 from, and I responded with "3-6/4-8 type event" never promised anything from the run. You then proceeded to say that it's misleading and my PBP creates mass chaos in the General public by saying 4-8. The nam is only 3-6....hopefully everyone will survive now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Some bufkit #s for the 12 km NAM/4 km NAM (maximum temperature in profile algorithm): BDR: 3.8"/3.0" EWR: 4.9"/3.5" (some freezing rain on the 4 km NAM) HPN: 3.8"/4.3" ISP: 1.9"/2.2" LGA: 3.8"/3.0" POU: 3.8"/3.2" The event is still not in the NAM's best range, so caution is required. The numbers just provide a brief illustration of what the NAM was showing for parts of the NYC Metro Area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 RGEM is all snow through 00Z...it has the rain/snow line close at 00Z backing in from the SE, but remember, it tends to be overamped at the end of its runs, it has roughly .30 or so already at NYC by 00Z and its been snowing since 17Z or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 3:29 AM, IsentropicLift said: Things change. I still think it rains Sunday morning on the coast but things have been trending colder. The only places that may change may be LI, looking at the GFS numbers even NYC/LGA have a tough time getting above 32 and those are usually inflated numbers because the model misses the initial evaporative drop when it snows. The other problem right now for rain is you're blowing your S wind in a bunch of spots off 2 miles of ice in the bays and a 38 degree ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I am thinking 2" LI Suffolk, 2"-3" Nassau, 3"-4" city and 5"-6 northwest of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 3:33 AM, SnowGoose69 said: The only places that may change may be LI, looking at the GFS numbers even NYC/LGA have a tough time getting above 32 and those are usually inflated numbers because the model misses the initial evaporative drop when it snows. The other problem right is you're blowing your S wind in a bunch of spots of 2 miles of ice in the bays and a 38 degree ocean. good call by you earlier today and last night btw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dino Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'm flying out late Saturday night from NY - do you think this will impact flights a lot or is it still within nuescience range? Really worried about this storm as it seems to keep trending toward more snow (ironic!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Gfs out to hr 36 heavy snow central IL and Indiana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Hr 42 light snow to western nj. 18z Saturday. Moving quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Hr 45 steady snowing into western nj..light snow metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeWeatherGeek Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 On 2/20/2015 at 3:41 AM, Dino said: I'm flying out late Saturday night from NY - do you think this will impact flights a lot or is it still within nuescience range? Really worried about this storm as it seems to keep trending toward more snow (ironic!)sorry to tell you but it looks very snowy during those hours at NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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