WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Guess the last Artic front was just flakes flying ? Almost 3" of flakes flying. Might come through dry. But I think isolated areas might see some good bursts. In a couple of years, the recollection of that front will be a foot of snow and 100 mph winds. Here...........it was about a 1/4" of snow and lasted about 10 minutes if that. Whoohoo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 In a couple of years, the recollection of that front will be a foot of snow and 100 mph winds. Here...........it was about a 1/4" of snow and lasted about 10 minutes if that. Whoohoo! To be fair it was pretty amazing for the Baltimore metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 50-60 mph gusts with 2-3" of snow is pretty solid around here. That is correct. Most guidance for that event showed that areas just east of the hills would be in a ****ty location for snow and that's what happened. To be fair it was pretty amazing for the Baltimore metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It was stunning but short lived here, around .5". Can't believe Rockville got 2.5", crazy difference a few miles can make. Hoping for a repeat or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 That last squall was basically a brief severe snow thunderstorm imby with 2"+. Check out this video, it was as intense of a scene as I've seen including multiple huge blizzards in Boston over the past 10 years. Having said that, i very highly doubt we see anything close to those conditions down here with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 To be fair it was pretty amazing for the Baltimore metro area. But I wasn't talking about Baltimore. And I wasn't talking about Saturday. I'm talking about today.......and if all I can see are flakes flying around, then I couldn't care less if it does anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 50-60 mph gusts with 2-3" of snow is pretty solid around here. That is correct. Most guidance for that event showed that areas just east of the hills would be in a ****ty location for snow and that's what happened. It was a very localized, very intense area of enhanced snowfall that was actually modeled pretty well by at least one model (can't remember which) pretty late in the game. I remember Bob Chill joking around by saying something like he'd be excited about it only if that blob of modeled precip moved over his house...which it did! The vast majority of the area - not just those in the mountain shadows - saw relatively little snowfall from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 And let's be honest............we don't really care about other areas. What it does at my house is all that matters to me. And what I anticipate it doing today is nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It was a very localized, very intense area of enhanced snowfall that was actually modeled pretty well by at least one model (can't remember which) pretty late in the game. I remember Bob Chill joking around by saying something like he'd be excited about it only if that blob of modeled precip moved over his house...which it did! The vast majority of the area - not just those in the mountain shadows - saw relatively little snowfall from it. And let's be honest............we don't really care about other areas. What it does at my house is all that matters to me. And what I anticipate it doing today is nothing. MBY is the only area that matters . And i anticipate 1" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 In a couple of years, the recollection of that front will be a foot of snow and 100 mph winds. Here...........it was about a 1/4" of snow and lasted about 10 minutes if that. Whoohoo! To be fair, it was the highlight of our winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 That last squall was basically a brief severe snow thunderstorm imby with 2"+. Check out this video, it was as intense of a scene as I've seen including multiple huge blizzards in Boston over the past 10 years. Having said that, i very highly doubt we see anything close to those conditions down here with this event. That is awesome! I had that for like 2 minutes but it was not that intense! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It was a very localized, very intense area of enhanced snowfall that was actually modeled pretty well by at least one model (can't remember which) pretty late in the game. I remember Bob Chill joking around by saying something like he'd be excited about it only if that blob of modeled precip moved over his house...which it did! The vast majority of the area - not just those in the mountain shadows - saw relatively little snowfall from it. Hires RGEM I believe. It had it a touch too far south and west, but it was the only model that had anything like it as I recall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It was a very localized, very intense area of enhanced snowfall that was actually modeled pretty well by at least one model (can't remember which) pretty late in the game. I remember Bob Chill joking around by saying something like he'd be excited about it only if that blob of modeled precip moved over his house...which it did! The vast majority of the area - not just those in the mountain shadows - saw relatively little snowfall from it. if by localized you mean a multi county area then that would be correct. In general, the areas that were modeled to get a decent amount from it actually got it. I don't believe there was any guidance indicating the entire MA or even LWX area was going to see more than a gusty coating. Here's the LWX PIS. Many locations in a multi county area received 1-4". And for the record, I don't think anyone is indicating that today will be like Saturday. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=LWX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=34&glossary=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It was stunning but short lived here, around .5". Can't believe Rockville got 2.5", crazy difference a few miles can make. Hoping for a repeat or more. Got 4.3"... like nothing i've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I do like the "snow may be heavy at times" in the zones though with accums around an inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 if by localized you mean a multi county area then that would be correct. In general, the areas that were modeled to get a decent amount from it actually got it. I don't believe there was any guidance indicating the entire MA or even LWX area was going to see more than a gusty coating. Here's the LWX PIS. Many locations in a multi county area received 1-4". And for the record, I don't think anyone is indicating that today will be like Saturday. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=LWX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=34&glossary=0 The RGEM nailed it, including showing the region of 0.2"+ liquid equivalent from the DC suburbs into the Baltimore area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 And if I remember correctly, some of the later runs of the Hi-res NAM showed some higher amounts from the northern DC burbs moving east across AA county and onto the Eastern shore. The RGEM nailed it, including showing the region of 0.2"+ liquid equivalent from the DC suburbs into the Baltimore area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Keep hearing how the RGEM nailed the Saturday storm...so what does it look like for today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 50-60 mph gusts with 2-3" of snow is pretty solid around here. That is correct. Most guidance for that event showed that areas just east of the hills would be in a ****ty location for snow and that's what happened. Squalls are always crappy just east of the mountains. Its not the way we get snow out here. Ill be happy with another 1/4 inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Mattb65 -- thanks for posting the clip - that was awesome! I wish we had gotten that lucky. I would have taken away some of the pain of the Monday night failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 That last squall was basically a brief severe snow thunderstorm imby with 2"+. Check out this video, it was as intense of a scene as I've seen including multiple huge blizzards in Boston over the past 10 years. Having said that, i very highly doubt we see anything close to those conditions down here with this event. I was on Rockville pike just north of white flint. It was basically white out conditions. I have lived in Rockville 52 years and can only remember one other time with conditions like that. It was in the early 90's and thundersnow put down over 4.5" in about an hour. Truly amazing. Thanks for the video. And I do not expect the same today. But we can always hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Keep hearing how the RGEM nailed the Saturday storm...so what does it look like for today? 1/2 from Eastern Fairfax to around Baltimore. Otherwise it looks like you get dryslotted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Appreciate you posting that, NA. Trying to get a handle on school commute and have a pregnant wife asking about when the roads may be bad for her drive home. I love snow, but hoping it's not as bad as Saturday for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I have light snow now falling, radar is filling in rapidly to the west. Awesome video CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 GFS seems to put down a couple of inches of snow, unless part of that snowfall is for the Saturday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I just want to see this again. This was before the whiteout. I thinks chances of seeing rates like this are zero. It's not the same setup as Sat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST......SUMMARY...A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANSINTO CENTRAL PARTS OF VIRGINIA AND NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOONINTO EVENING....SYNOPSIS...A SHORT-WAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE BRITISH COLUMBIA COASTWILL PROGRESS INLAND AND EFFECTIVELY BREAK DOWN THE WRN U.S. RIDGE.IN RESPONSE TO THIS PATTERN EVOLUTION...A LONG-WAVE TROUGH PRESENTEAST OF THE ROCKIES WILL ADVANCE EWD TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST. ATTHE SURFACE...AN ANTICYCLONE WILL BUILD FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIEPROVINCES AND NRN PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY WITH DRY AND STABLECONDITIONS PREVAILING AT MOST LOCATIONS....CNTRL APPALACHIANS INTO VA/NC PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF A RATHER DRY AIR MASS /I.E. PW VALUES OFGENERALLY LESS THAN .25 INCH/...A WARMING BOUNDARY LAYER COUPLEDWITH ADIABATIC COOLING IN THE MID-LEVELS DOWNSTREAM FROM A STRONGSHORT-WAVE TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE OH VALLEY WILL RESULT IN AWEAKLY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT BY AFTERNOON. THE FORCING FOR ASCENTATTENDANT TO THE SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL ENHANCE LOW-LEVELCONVERGENCE ALONG A WEAK SURFACE FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TOFOCUS A BAND OF LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCESPORADIC LIGHTNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I was just about to post that snowfan... nice catch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vastateofmind Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 AMEN. I only got a trace of snow on Saturday compared to what you show here, Bob. But Saturday was the first time I ever saw pure whiteout conditions IMBY, or in NoVA for that matter...very similar to that YouTube video a few posts up. For about five minutes, I literally couldn't see the chain link fence 30 feet away from the back of my home...surreal. I just want to see this again. This was before the whiteout. I thinks chances of seeing rates like this are zero. It's not the same setup as Sat. vday.JPG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 funny, if i wasn't flying out this afternoon i'd be concerned we don't get snow from this, but because i'm flying, i'm concerned about raging snowshowers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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