hosj III Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 RGEM supports a general .5-1" tomorrow. IIRC correctly the RGEM was fairly bullish on Saturday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I know I certainly want a repeat of sat night but there are some key differences this go around. Sat had a very strong shortwave and sub 1k mature low pressure traversing pa and off the coast. Much more dynamic than what we are seeing tomorrow. Should be a nice line that will hopefully be unbroken as it passes. I expect it to be similar to a strong spring cold front precip wise. Gym, there's a lot of sugar and flour on the ground that hasn't been touched by wind. Post front should look pretty cool unless it cakes up tomorrow. Roads will probably experience some of the same problems as overnight saturday. Even without any snowfall the wind can cause its own problems. True....stuff will fly in any 25 mph gusts. Did you have a chance to be outside past 10 pm on Saturday, though? Here, I measured slightly above 2" at the end of the snow-burst. The grass was already differing in coverage depending on orientation to the wind, but it was mostly completely covered. Then, the ground-blizzard started with snow flying everywhere at street level. By midnight, grass everywhere was partially exposed, as the wind had carried snow in sheets across every surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Winchester crew averages more snow than the majority in our sub forum, but you'd think they never saw snow based on their reaction to it. Not sure what your point is, that we shouldn't be skeptical of getting an inch of snow out of the FROPA tomorrow when an even more robust set up on Sat. barely gave us a dusting? ...not to mention years of experience living here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I went out for 15 minutes. Into the wind was ridiculous. Turned my back at least 5 times going up the block. Coming back was great. I kept waking past my driveway but my dog ran to the front door. First time he as ever wanted to go in before me. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 This thread is insqualledible lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 WWA issued. Hoping for a stat padder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 " Snow may be heavy at times in the evening. Little or no snow accumulation." Um... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 for anything more than a coating-1/2", we have to hope models are too far north with their placement of the slp radar looks pretty good now because it has most of the heavier echo in KY, though we won't know what happens as they cross the mts. also, 3 hr. pressure drops are in KY, which is consistent with the RAP's latest forecast in the end, barring last minute changes it will be par for this winter, which may or may not get blown away by post frontal winds certainly better than nothing though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Point and click says heavy snow this afternoon and tonight but less than a half of an inch of accumulation with the high listed of 27 degrees. That seems pretty funny! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Point and click says heavy snow this afternoon and tonight but less than a half of an inch of accumulation with the high listed of 27 degrees. That seems pretty funny! i guess the moral of the story is to listen to your mother and never point! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 6z gfs juiced up a little....nam juiced down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 " Snow may be heavy at times in the evening. Little or no snow accumulation." Um... That's about how I would have described Saturday. Almost whiteout snow, 0.2" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I think LWX is trying to get people's attention since this will be at rush hour time. A woman I know flipped in her suv Saturday night and rolled the vehicle into a small pond. She was shaken and very cold but fortunately someone noticed her vehicle right away And she was just bruised. Things can change really quick in weather like this. I am sure people have similar stories from other systems but just a reminder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 High rez NAM shows a squall up in Pennsyltucky but doubt it holds together into MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 That's about how I would have described Saturday. Almost whiteout snow, 0.2" total. same total here. And I am fine with the heavy snow description. Visibility was near zero during that 15 minute period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I will take the HRR around 5pm for $100 Alex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I will take the HRR around 5pm for $100 Alex Brown threadbare lawn in Leesburg for the Daily Double! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Brown threadbare lawn in Leesburg for the Daily Double! What about the moisture influx capacitor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 HRRR doesn't look awful. The SNSQ parameter still holding values above 2 with a line moving through the area between 5-8pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I will take the HRR around 5pm for $100 Alex "Let it snow" pronounced the SNL Sean Connery way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 "Let it snow" pronounced the SNL Sean Connery way sorry, no, forgot to say "what is let it snow" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Brown threadbare lawn in Leesburg for the Daily Double!Deep moisture is lacking but there is still a chance of a moisture package. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 sorry, no, forgot to say "what is let it snow" No, the SNL Sean Connery way is pronounced (at risk of board censors kicking in) "le-t its-now" http://theweek.com/speedreads/539497/ferrells-alex-trebek-loses-sean-connery-snls-celebrity-jeopardy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Squall line looking pretty tasty on the 11 hr sim radar from 12z nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Seems like a suckers bet to hope for snow from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Seems like a suckers bet to hope for snow from this. I think flakes flying in the air and wind is a good bet. Hoping for accumulating snow from arctic fronts like this is fools gold 90% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I think flakes flying in the air and wind is a good bet. Hoping for accumulating snow from arctic fronts like this is fools gold 90% of the time. I agree. I don't call snow flakes flying "snowing". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I agree. I don't call snow flakes flying "snowing". Elitist I-81er Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Seems like a suckers bet to hope for snow from this. I'll take that bet at 20:1 odds. 23/5 in Gaithersburg. The lake out front of HQ is frozen over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Guess the last Artic front was just flakes flying ? Almost 3" of flakes flying. Might come through dry. But I think isolated areas might see some good bursts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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