ers-wxman1 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 No two events are alike but looks somewhat similar to Saturday. Good burst of snow, vsby drops, winds pick up and driving gets hazardous and of course the people who said " I didn't know this was coming". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 lol. You sum it up very well. VD squall was cool out here too; it just didn't last long enough to amount to anything. Yeah it was impressive but not accumulation producing. And I agree with you. We dont do squalls well here. Snow or Severe. We are too close to the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 GFS and NAM aren't that encouraging for area wide 1"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I'm taking the under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McQuackleton Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Trace to an inch at best with this "event". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fourseasons Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I'm taking "Avoid rush hour". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 GFS and NAM aren't that encouraging for area wide 1"+ Makes this thread seem disquallified! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 gratuitous sat pic to get s excited for what's being sucked in off the SE coast as the u/l approaches http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/us_comp_big.html . If there was any kind of stj energy still left down there to work with this would have been good. Almost perfect vort pass just nothing at the surface to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Best part of the internet....everyone is an expert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 s excited for what's being sucked Squally Does Dallas must be playing downtown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The snsq parameter from burlingtons 12k wrf did a good job with the squall the other night. It likes tomorrow night as well for our local area. On the phone and posting pics is too much of a pita. Values between 2-4, which is good. entering dc around 7pm.I have no idea how similar that is to other guidance. And it actually has an area of .25 qpf for parts of Frederick, Carroll and baltimore counties. Area of .10 for a larger area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Best part of the internet....everyone is an expertNo offense but you are a moronEta: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 No offense but you are a moron Eta: I guess I should have said almost everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Yeah it was impressive but not accumulation producing. And I agree with you. We dont do squalls well here. Snow or Severe. We are too close to the mountains. Yeah, the down sloping just kills us, and this stretch of southern Fred. Co is even worse. I'm counting the days until I move. If I had known how infuriatingly dry and windy Stephens City was I'd never have moved here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I can equal Saturday's event with just a squalltry dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Trace to an inch at best with this "event". So we'll be playing Where's Squaldo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Lwx going 1-2" for the favored n/w locations. <1 for the rest of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Someone will exaggerate their IMBY totals.. it will be a squall tale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I guess anything is possible, but I'll take the under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Lwx going 1-2" for the favored n/w locations. <1 for the rest of us. The NAM is very close to .1 for the areas with elevation. A fresh dusting will be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 The NAM is very close to .1 for the areas with elevation. A fresh dusting will be nice. If we get 0.1" of precip, I'll be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 If we get 0.1" of precip, I'll be shocked. Me 2. I would expect most of the precip to be used up by the time it makes it to us, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 What happened to all the purty hi res runs dropping .25"+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jnis Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Someone will exaggerate their IMBY totals.. it will be a squall tale. It takes squalls to do that on this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 This really isn't about amounts. We're obviously all looking to add to our totals for the season, but regardless of whether it's a dusting or 1.5", it will be a high-impact event as the temperatures crash right behind the band of precip and turn the roads into an icy mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Winchester crew averages more snow than the majority in our sub forum, but you'd think they never saw snow based on their reaction to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Does the fact that Wednesday will be 10-13 degrees colder lessen the impact when it blows thru? Even if it does, the sun is alive now and we did not have that thrown into the mix last time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 This really isn't about amounts. We're obviously all looking to add to our totals for the season, but regardless of whether it's a dusting or 1.5", it will be a high-impact event as the temperatures crash right behind the band of precip and turn the roads into an icy mess. Last Sunday morning at 8 am featured the most dramatic primary road (River Road, Old Georgetown Rd, Right lane of 495 between Old Georgetown and River Road) sheets of ice I've ever seen. Cars were sliding across red lights the entire way on River Road towards DC. I don't think tomorrow night will be quite as bad; the winds behind Saturday's squalls kept on replenishing the snow on the roads so that the tire melting/flash freeze process could continue overnight. But, there should still be patches of ice wherever snow falls heavily for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Winchester crew averages more snow than the majority in our sub forum, but you'd think they never saw snow based on their reaction to it. You just worry about the Piney Orchard crew. The Winchester crew isn't worried about you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 I know I certainly want a repeat of sat night but there are some key differences this go around. Sat had a very strong shortwave and sub 1k mature low pressure traversing pa and off the coast. Much more dynamic than what we are seeing tomorrow. Should be a nice line that will hopefully be unbroken as it passes. I expect it to be similar to a strong spring cold front precip wise. Gym, there's a lot of sugar and flour on the ground that hasn't been touched by wind. Post front should look pretty cool unless it cakes up tomorrow. Roads will probably experience some of the same problems as overnight saturday. Even without any snowfall the wind can cause its own problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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