cyclone77 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Euro showing a fairly narrow area of lighter snows. Thread the needle event on that run. Hopefully the juicier and more widespread snows of the GFS work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Euro showing a fairly narrow area of lighter snows. Thread the needle event on that run. Hopefully the juicier and more widespread snows of the GFS work out. I am thinking this will be the case, there is some model consensus in that direction and the strength of the LLJ would lead more in that direction. Also not to mention the last similar system, the Euro played catch up all the way to the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Worried about flooding potential in Kentucky with this event. There's no doubt that this is going to be an all rain event because it's a warm air advection storm. Concerning because we're not going above freezing until this event arrives and the snow will still be here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 0z GEFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 i'm not that excited about this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 i'm not that excited about this one Crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z GFS Snow Map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 A modest hit on the 12z GFS but the srn stream ul wave is much less amplified than it was on that rambunctious 0z/18 run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH/WARM FRONT DEVELOPING TO THE NORTHEAST. THE SFC LOW WILL LIFT NORTHEAST COMBINING WITH AN OPEN GULF TO BRING A GOOD PUSH OF MOISTURE NORTHEAST WITH IT. THE SIGNAL FOR THIS SYSTEM HAS BEEN IN PLACE FOR SEVERAL DAYS BUT TRACK/STRENGTH DETAILS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT....LOT pretty much sums it up at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It leaves way more energy behind (12z GFS) compared to the 00z run. So although the low track is further NW, its intensity and the precip amounts are just as unimpressive as yesterday's 12z run. The only thing I can figure, if the other models follow suit, is that they ingested bad data. A modest hit on the 12z GFS but the srn stream ul wave is much less amplified than it was on that rambunctious 0z/18 run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Once again, the GFS would indicate some LE as the low passes to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smoof Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z UKIE has a very similar track to 12z GFS but ends up 6mb stronger in NE Ohio, too bad it's not in range for free 6hr increments until tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z GGEM is hot (further NW/stronger). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z GGEM is jacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z GGEM is hot (further NW/stronger). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 lol Just like that, gone from possible suppression to possible mixing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Gem.. please verify. K thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Is the PNA supposed to be neutral or negative by this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Q the flood panic in Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Just like that, gone from possible suppression to possible mixing issues. It's going to take some immense height falls and concomitant WAA to dislodge the arctic air, at least at the sfc. 6" of snow followed by a decent ZR storm may not be so bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Is the PNA supposed to be neutral or negative by this weekend? forecast to get down to near neutral around the 22nd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 It's going to take some immense height falls and concomitant WAA to dislodge the arctic air, at least at the sfc. 6" of snow followed by a decent ZR storm may not be so bad.I can actually live with the GGEM to be honest (especially since we already got our big dog).Even with ice, we still get a foot verbatim. Besides, it's about time we spiced things up with a strong negative tilt/wound-up cutter. It's been a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 SOLD ... how much do I owe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 Is the PNA supposed to be neutral or negative by this weekend? http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/teleconnections.shtml Positive but dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z GEM is obviously a significant storm for the Chicago area, but based on 700 mb and 850 mb low tracks, cold sector qpf would likely be higher here if something like the GEM panned out. 700 mb tracking overhead and 850 mb low tracking near LAF is pretty much an ideal track for heavy snow in Chicago. Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 That would be a monumental shift in heights to go from -12F Friday morning to rain and 50's on Saturday. I guess nothing would surprise me at this point, but wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 18, 2015 Share Posted February 18, 2015 as much as I'd like to call bs on the models.... the trough is off the west coast, low pressure is to the north, HP is sliding east, and there's nothing to stop this from having all the room in the world to do whatever it wants. Amazingly the last storm had all those things too except for a further south PV.... The ducks on the pond are synchronize swimming another f*ck you I-70 dance. Bad luck begets bad luck...oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 12z GGEM is jacked. 12z ggem 72.png 12z ggem 78.png 12z ggem 84.png 12z ggem 90.png 12z ggem 96.png 12z ggem qpf.png 12z ggem snow.png That'd be a fun storm here even without it being all snow. Thump, to mess, to ending as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 18, 2015 Author Share Posted February 18, 2015 Crap. I suppose it's hard to get really excited when you've already pulled off a 20" storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.