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OBS: Snow Monday night/Tuesday 2/16-17/2015


famartin

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Its virgaing away in Dover, and I can't find any reports of snow east of the mountains in PA.

 

There were a couple earlier posts in this thread reporting light snow in Millsboro, DE

- http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45756-obs-snow-monday-nighttuesday-216-172015/?p=3402525

and Lewes, DE -http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45756-obs-snow-monday-nighttuesday-216-172015/?p=3402668

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Temp: 15

Dp: 4

Humid: 55

HRRR has that band disappearing over the next two hours. Hope it's wrong, but with the way this winter has gone for us.

Just a newbie, so forgive the question, but why have forecasts been so off this winter within 24hrs? Too much reliance on models and not enough science?

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1 Hour Ago:

 

4d8fe0016bc62d3b2f4e44d9761a55ca.png

 

Now:

 

2769aa5ab7d91a9ad9b6cb67fa4a0a6b.png

 

Looks good for us. Those dry air pockets shouldn't be a problem later in to the storm. Looks like I'll decide whether or not I should call it quits at 2 AM ( assuming it will take that long )

 

Oh, and radar above doesn't show virga precip.

 

I think it shows less virga, but the leading edge of the snow on that radar (just checked the PSU site) is about 10 miles east of here and not a flake yet.

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