Benchmark Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 5" here in Edgewater near the bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Ended up at 8.5 inches on 0.78 liquid here. About a 10.9-1 ratio. The 15-1 and even 20-1 talk was a big bust. Still my biggest storm of the year, so all is not lost. On to the clipper and then the super bitter cold later this week. Least it looks 'wintery' finally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Totaled out at 4.2" in Davidsonville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 9 inch total here.. had a good bit of sleet at the tail end, the snow sleet mix was about .25 precip. l/e was 1.02 Most of the day it was straight 10-1, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 3.8" off of 0.41" precip. After all of the 15:1 ratio talk, I had a very lame 9:1. 3.5" of snow melted to .31" liquid. 11.3:1 I thought it would be higher too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 3.0" in Clarksburg on top of the remains of 0.3" from the squall. Combine the two and it's 1/10th of the last Presidents Day storm around here... I'm now at 56% of the yearly average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I could be wrong here, but seems like it wasn't not that long ago where most assumed model QPF could be exaggerated, so mets always shaved like 25 percent off in making forecast. Now, not just here but up and down East Coast, it now seems it's always taken as truth/fact, and everyone always looking for a way to go even higher due to ratios, possible banding, etc. Now, forecasts are increasingly busting high due to not enough skepticism. GFS was like .5, right, so a forecasts could have been 3 to 6 -- which would have verified perfectly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathergeekMD Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Measured 3.0" in Laytonsville. Pretty much the same as das over in Clarksburg. Easy to shovel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 6.0 inches on 0.61 liquid, hit the low end of the forecasted 6-10 here in Charles County. Quick moving event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 A nice 3.3" here south of HdG. I predicted 3.2" for MBY, so not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dman Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 6.75", pretty good call by Doug Hill (7 - 10), busted a little low on most others' calls but not by much. This area always under performs though be interesting to see how others around here did. Great snow storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 3.0" final in Stephens City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I think most of the public would think that the forecasts were ok: 4-8" from most sources (yes the NWS went higher, but that's not where the general public gets snow amounts from). It's Not a bust if you look out your window and eyeball 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I think most of the public would think that the forecasts were ok: 4-8" from most sources (yes the NWS went higher, but that's not where the general public gets snow amounts from). It's Not a bust if you look out your window and eyeball 4". Won't be viewed as a bust by the public based on available forecasts but some of the higher totals were doomed to fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 DCA: 4.7" Jackpot for the airports! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bsperlin Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 For the record: 4 3/4" in Hybla Valley, 4 mi south of Alexandria Beltway I told a neighbor who asks me about weather all the time that 8" were coming. I bought into the qpf maps. Next: I'll take the above advice and shave off 25%! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Won't be viewed as a bust by the public based on available forecasts but some of the higher totals were doomed to fail. Yup, and only us weatherboard folk would feel let down--- it was those Euro runs. Without them, the range in our heads would have been 3-4" in the north and 4-7" in DC/Baltimore metro and 6-9" south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I hope with all my heart that BlizzardNole and everyone else up in Maryland that did not get enough snow last night, gets inches of snow from the snow showers tomorrow. Give all the snow showers to Marylanders and give em ALL 5 inches of snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 3.0 inches here on the M/D line. Just from looking at the evolution of the storm last night, and seeing the totals this morning, did ANY of the models (short-range or other) perform very well on this one? Sure seems like a cacophony of fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steks Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Final total from Manassas is 4 1/4". 16/12 and, although less than hoped, still beautiful. Enjoy the day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 3.5" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Seems like the precip was a little less than forecast as well. DC was always on the .5 line. Maybe .1 less for everyone? Yeah, maybe. A slight shave in total liquid and the more typical ~10:1 ratios then what was expected. This is why you always forecast a range of snow totals...these type of details are just always very hard to predict. Region wide, I think the forecast was good. Totals verified on the lower end of ranges for the most part, but wasn't a huge bust in most cases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Yup, and only us weatherboard folk would feel let down--- it was those Euro runs. Without them, the range in our heads would have been 3-4" in the north and 4-7" in DC/Baltimore metro and 6-9" south. When I saw some people start tossing around 10-14 for DC south I really wondered. This storm was hauling ass and those big numbers are rare down there for a reason. I said last night that 6 seemed about right for RIC based on radar and the speed of the storm and that was about what they received. I think the north crew needs to take a lesson too. There was a big band right over the PA border for several hours and the northern tier had some banding. Had ratios not sucked they would have done quite well. The whining was not based on history and climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Yeah, maybe. A slight shave in total liquid and the more typical ~10:1 ratios then what was expected. This is why you always forecast a range of snow totals...these type of details are just always very hard to predict. Region wide, I think the forecast was good. Totals verified on the lower end of ranges for the most part, but wasn't a huge bust in most cases. Would be interesting to know why NWS bumped to 6-10 right before the start. I think the 4-8 they had region wide was a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Would be interesting to know why NWS bumped to 6-10 right before the start. I think the 4-8 they had region wide was a good call. I'm not sure what my official NWS forecast was. Zones had me at 4-6" (which was pretty good), the experimental maps bounced around but generally had me in 4-6" or 6-8" and then the warning bumped me up from 5-8" to 6-10". They had a consistency issue yesterday for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Total snowfall was exactly 4". Not bad, but I wanted more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Just got done shoveling. It was like pushing sugar around the driveway. Driest and most granulated snow I can remember in a while. Measured around 3.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshfsu123 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 4.9 in Navy Yard (SE DC) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 We got about 3.1 inches here, at about 10:1 ratios. Guidance did well with qpf in this area (on average), but not as well with ratios. Does anyone know what went wrong with the ratio forecasts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cigrgd Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 3.5" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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