BTRWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Definitely some drying along the leeward apps until the last frame, so it may already be filling in. http://www.weather.gov/Radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Thanks...had a feeling but .1 is probably all but 2" with ratios. others seem to think we do ok, but not feeling this one to be honest. best precip/rates will be to our south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 nothing in jessup yet. storm cancel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 others seem to think we do ok, but not feeling this one to be honest. best precip/rates will be to our south. I still think 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Eye doctor dilated my eyes and I feel like I am blind. Make it go away Especially crappy day to have that done, with everything white covered and reflective...at least it's not sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 omgapurtygirlpostedinthethreadormorelikelyadudepretendingtobeaprettygirl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I still think 4. I'll be pleased with that, for sure. Just, yeah... blah about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This for you all not seeing anything yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Especially crappy day to have that done, with everything white covered and reflective...at least it's not sunny. Yup. Seems that I am getting ocular migraines because of a sensitively to light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I still think 4. Eric Horst is saying 5" for the M/D line.... and he tends to be very conservative and accurate with snow forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 others seem to think we do ok, but not feeling this one to be honest. best precip/rates will be to our south.Definitely south does better on this one. My gut says we both get 3-4" that compacts in the morning to look like 2" regardless. Winchester 25 miles south of me looks good for 6-8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
murph Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 others seem to think we do ok, but not feeling this one to be honest. best precip/rates will be to our south. I'm still trying to understand the NWS adjusting the warning UP to 5 - 8 inches for the northern counties..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I'm still trying to understand the NWS adjusting the warning UP to 5 - 8 inches for the northern counties..... earlier start time, dry air not playing much of a factor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I-83 BLIZZARD Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Im still holding on to rogue banding, insane ratios, and wish casting. I set my bar at 6 inches. If Horst says 5, maybe I'm not too crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 earlier start time, dry air not playing much of a factor. This. The main worry has been about dry air up our way - if we can get going early, means we can maximize what qpf we do get, rather than wasting it for a time. Fingers crossed. Like the reports of snow near BWI. Get that into the city and up your way and we can go after the 4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Setting my bar at 6 inches. Seems like a good range with expected QPF & possible ratios. Anything under is a bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Just oiled myself up with a little scotch from an oyster jar, and now it's out into the yard to pick up any wind blown twigs and branches that are sticking out of the snow so that the canvas is ready for whatever falls. I hope that everyone gets blasted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Thanks...had a feeling but .1 is probably all but 2" with ratios. If I happen to get into a rogue band I'll pass it up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This. The main worry has been about dry air up our way - if we can get going early, means we can maximize what qpf we do get, rather than wasting it for a time. Fingers crossed. Like the reports of snow near BWI. Get that into the city and up your way and we can go after the 4 inches. I had snow very quickly when the radar returns got over my house. It doesn't take long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pedlar mills Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Out of curiosity what causes the dry slot that normally happens on the east side of the apps when storms are moving west to east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I had snow very quickly when the radar returns got over my house. It doesn't take long That's great news - I know I have been the biggest fan of you all in DC area all day, hoping for just that kind of report. The better you all do early, the better chance we have for sure up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brianonymous Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Hola. Just dropping by to submit my once per season post and say hi. Hi! Looks like snowage just fired up here. I just got back yesterday from a 7 day cruise and have really bad sunburn right now. I'm conflicted. B Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 And we officially have a roof topper! :-D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 others seem to think we do ok, but not feeling this one to be honest. best precip/rates will be to our south. yesterday most were assuming the north trend would continue, I was rooting for that too of course, but I wasn't shocked when it reversed a bit. Kinda gave upon the big totals up here last night when it was obvious there wasn't a late north shift and the storm was too progressive. We have more time up here then dc to richmond, our climo supports 10"+ through March so perhaps we get ours later. Pattern remains active and cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We have got a solid shot at an extremely rare -20 week for DC. Saturday, the last day, may be what messes it up. I think we had close to that in 1982 but I don't think either 1994, 96 or 07 did it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Out of curiosity what causes the dry slot that normally happens on the east side of the apps when storms are moving west to east? downsloping effect. Precip gets dried up coming over the 4000 ft mountains. Plus with any west component to the wind you get sinking air and that dries out the lower levels. That same area can get crushed with a good coastal track if there is an easterly component to the wind and the precip comes from the south. Then they get upslope instead. Wind direction is huge in areas with elevation changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pedlar mills Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 It's time. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 meh... it's not very consistent for LWX to forecast 5-8" in a warning, 4-6" on their snow map, and 3-5" on the point and click (throughout the northern Baltimore county zone, not just my backyard). I'm confused about what they're expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We have a beautiful snow bunny reporting live from DC on TWC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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