nw baltimore wx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Radar hallucination time. I'm in. Looking at the weenie radar, warm air is being pulled into the system in northern MS now and that trend will continue into TN this morning. As a result, the low tracks a little bit further north than expected. As the low exits the VA/NC coast, it slows and intensifies, and instead of heading out to sea, it tracks more to the northeast, closer to the MA coast, bringing the region a period of heavy snow during the early morning hours. As a result, NYC gets more than currently forecasted, and even Boston gets snow (shocking). Double digits in the DC area, 6-10" from the PA line and south into central MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 you are paid well enough to keep it clean 24/7 I am? No beer left at my door just yet. I take all brands and types. Yes, even Beast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 what no DCALEXANDRIA storm in obs thread ;-) shame on you guys after i provided guaranteed snow. I might have to curse the area to zero inches for the rest of winter for this blasphemy. Rest of what winter? Ji cancelled it back in Aug Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We are already contemplating hitting the road and heading over to the eastern shore. I feel pretty confident that we won't be working tomorrow, so it might be fun to travel. Either way, it's all good.There is almost zero chance you have work tomorrow. You should go, it would be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 So does the UK model get some new cred in our subforum for steadfastly holding onto the first wave idea while the others switched to tomorrow night? As in, next season, people will be posting: "But remember, the UKIE scored the coup in the last February storm..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 So does the UK model get some new cred in our subforum for steadfastly holding onto the first wave idea while the others switched to tomorrow night? As in, next season, people will be posting: "But remember, the UKIE scored the coup in the last February storm..."It has always been a good model. The two knocks on it have been, lack of detailed panels and it supposedly is not great with winter storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We may need a separate banter/obs thread for the northern and western fringe worriers. I would pretend to be above that kind of worrying - but - in all honesty, hard not to be a little alarmed. The central VA folks over to DCA and Annapolis down to Richmond should be hella stoked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 In all seriousness, for those north of BWI, it may make sense to do a separate worrying/obs thread for the day so we don't ruin the regular banter and obs threads. This is going to be a great event for a large part of the forum - don't want to ruin their enjoyment with worries over our backyards, maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 In all seriousness, for those north of BWI, it may make sense to do a separate worrying/obs thread for the day so we don't ruin the regular banter and obs threads. This is going to be a great event for a large part of the forum - don't want to ruin their enjoyment with worries over our backyards, maybe. dont fret! its going to snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 dont fret! its going to snow! I always fret - you know that. I would fret a lot less if we were in the 10-14 range...that's for damn sure. Just don't want to be staring out the window at 10:00 pm tonight at light flurries because the air is too dry and the best energy and lift has moved just far enough south to starve us. That would suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I always fret - you know that. I would fret a lot less if we were in the 10-14 range...that's for damn sure. Just don't want to be staring out the window at 10:00 pm tonight at light flurries because the air is too dry and the best energy and lift has moved just far enough south to starve us. That would suck. I know, Im with you - I'm worried about virga now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I always fret - you know that. I would fret a lot less if we were in the 10-14 range...that's for damn sure. Just don't want to be staring out the window at 10:00 pm tonight at light flurries because the air is too dry and the best energy and lift has moved just far enough south to starve us. That would suck. OK, well, try to enjoy it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 So, if DC gets 6" of snow, but it is basically wrapped up at 4am, could OPM go with a delayed start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 In all seriousness, for those north of BWI, it may make sense to do a separate worrying/obs thread for the day so we don't ruin the regular banter and obs threads. This is going to be a great event for a large part of the forum - don't want to ruin their enjoyment with worries over our backyards, maybe. You are not ruining the storm. We understand your concerns. Sometimes these storms will develop a band well north. That may well happen in your case tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 So, if DC gets 6" of snow, but it is basically wrapped up at 4am, could OPM go with a delayed start? I think 6" of snow at these temps will have a big impact making it tough to see much black top. But I suppose they could do liberal leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 In all seriousness, for those north of BWI, it may make sense to do a separate worrying/obs thread for the day so we don't ruin the regular banter and obs threads. This is going to be a great event for a large part of the forum - don't want to ruin their enjoyment with worries over our backyards, maybe. Honestly I'm expecting 3-5", which would be more than what I've seen all year. The NAM and some other models might make slight shifts south that would cause anyone north of Baltimore to panic, but I don't think it will be less than 0.3" of QPF, which is all it takes for a warning event this time with 15:1 ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 So, if DC gets 6" of snow, but it is basically wrapped up at 4am, could OPM go with a delayed start? they've done delayed opening for less than 2" who knows what their call will be for a total above that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I always fret - you know that. I would fret a lot less if we were in the 10-14 range...that's for damn sure. Just don't want to be staring out the window at 10:00 pm tonight at light flurries because the air is too dry and the best energy and lift has moved just far enough south to starve us. That would suck. I'm with ya. I just hope we can get a solid 4". Is that too much to ask? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Models coming in a tad south and drier, esp mby. So I think I get 3 inched which would match my highest total from the super clipper. This is nice powder were talking here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Richmond and Norfolk are both underneath snow returns. Can anyone report ground truth from those two places? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fodie77 Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Richmond and Norfolk are both underneath snow returns. Can anyone report ground truth from those two places? Thanks. Just cloudy and cold right now. Not expecting flakes until 2 or 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 This is a statewide WSW for VA...the impact should be significant especially with the higher totals dead center of state. tomorrow will be fun to watch new. I wonder if Cantore will set up shop in RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I'll be disappointed if I only get 6" of snow when the observer 1/2 mile away gets 6.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 So, if DC gets 6" of snow, but it is basically wrapped up at 4am, could OPM go with a delayed start? I'm at the point in my career that I do what I think is best for me, OPM be damned. If I can't safely drive to DC at 5am, then I'm home for the day. A 2 hr delay does nothing for my commute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 I will endeavor to enjoy it. Hoping for early snowfall up this way and that DC gets smoked, as it would mean better things for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 We may need a separate banter/obs thread for the northern and western fringe worriers. I would pretend to be above that kind of worrying - but - in all honesty, hard not to be a little alarmed. The central VA folks over to DCA and Annapolis down to Richmond should be hella stoked. lol...That's DC every damn event for the last 20 events....we don't get our own obs thread to be babies...every once in a while south will do better than north...not rare, though not common....deal with it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 they've done delayed opening for less than 2" who knows what their call will be for a total above that? They've been conservative lately but I think they'd still close. given temps recently, roads will be slick and nova being the local jackpot zone helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Out of the area. ....low of -32 in northern pa this morning. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 16, 2015 Share Posted February 16, 2015 Was supposed to go skating yesterday but it was just too windy. Would have ben miserable. Am trying to convince the girls to go today tho... I'm moving this here because I think it will be seen sooner than in the other banter thread. Who's up for a skating party this afternoon? Where's a good place on the canal to go? We'd travel for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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