sparklecity Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 28.4° and mostly sleet. I'm sure there is some fzrn mixed in but it's hard to tell how much for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 How bad did models bust on temps? Which one was closest? Well as I said earlier, they all were really bad. But the two that came the closest was the gfs (off by about 4 to 5 degrees) and the 4km nam...which did show freezing rain the furthest south. the normal run of the nam, hrrr, the euro, canadian, rgem, and rap were all terrible to beyond terrible south of i-85. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Down to 20.9 F over 19 F. Sleeting to beat the band outside. I'll have to go for a walk a little later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Minor sleet/freezing rain falling in Durham. Road is completely iced already though as is driveway and cars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tazaroo Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 All sleet here. Hoping it stays that way. I hate to tell you but just below you here is already mixed with a lot if freezing rain. And at 22 degree's. This s ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Heavy snow and a little over 2 inches on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 yay for rain! 39 and holding here Not a drop has fallen imby Been in a steady light to moderate rain with stiff NE winds...32.6F. Confirmed report of icing in Pomaria, e/se of Newberry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
honeygrl Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 It's getting bad here just outside of Athens. I'm starting to hear limbs falling. We still just have an advisory. Are they sleeping at the NWS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 GSO should be all snow from the soundings.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
QC_Halo Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 From GFS: AS OF 7 PM...THE ATMOSPHERE REFUSES TO COOPERATE WITH THE FCST. IN SPITE OF NEAR TERM GUIDANCE TO THE CONTRARY...SFC TEMPS REMAIN BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE ENTIRE FCST AREA. DEWPTS CONTINUE TO CREEP UPWARD...BUT NOT FAST ENOUGH. WET BULB EFFECTS WILL KEEP TEMPS AT OR BELOW 32F FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS THE UPSTATE AND NE GEORGIA WHILE THE PRECIP CONTINUES TO FALL. THAT MEANS ICE WILL CONTINUE TO ACCUMULATE...MORE THAN ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. WILL UPGRADE THE OLD WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO A WARNING. WILL NOT GO ICE STORM WARNING BECAUSE THE PRECIP KEEPS CHANGING BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. WILL ALSO EXPAND THIS WARNING TO MOST OF THE REST OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA BASED ON TEMPS AND RADAR TRENDS...AND TO MATCH UP WITH NEIGHBORING WARNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The prevalence of sleet in the GSP metro area implies that there is a deeper cold reservoir underneath that warm nose than forecast. That means that areas getting sleet now might actually be in better shape that areas along the southern periphery of the wedge (Anderson, Greenwood, Northeast GA) which are primarily receiving freezing rain. GSPs ice map is an improvement, but is still too far north and west with the ice shield since locations that are progged to get 0.00" ice accretion are currently receiving freezing rain (e.g. Greenwood, which is currently 30F). Take home message, don't be surprised if warnings are extended another county south if these regions don't warm up above freezing soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTPGiants Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I'm really not sure how this melts in the Triangle. Basically the side roads are going to be fully iced over and unlikely to be cleared. Then it's going to maybe max out around 37 tomorrow and then nothing but frozen until the weekend. This has the makings of a week long travel "event". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dunkman Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 GSO should be all snow from the soundings.... The NAM showed a warm nose, someone posted it earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Very lucky I'm probably about 5-10 miles south of the freezing rain line here in Conyers. Based on NWS temp readings, Conyers is right at 32 degrees. Phew. I checked outside and didn't feel any ice on my deck, but I'm not sure if that's a good way to check...probably should have checked my car. I did not expect it to get this far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The NAM showed a warm nose, someone posted it earlier. As of 0z, it was still snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Steven_1974 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 I'm really not sure how this melts in the Triangle. Basically the side roads are going to be fully iced over and unlikely to be cleared. Then it's going to maybe max out around 37 tomorrow and then nothing but frozen until the weekend. This has the makings of a week long travel "event". If it gets much above freezing tomorrow, I'll be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Since we're currently in "Storm Mode" - and locations have been temporarily removed to save bandwidth, when you say "it's snowing here" or "Power flick here", could you please let us know where 'here' is? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 17, 2015 Author Share Posted February 17, 2015 GSO should be all snow from the soundings.... Snow/sleet mix (mostly sleet). We switched over at around 5 PM. I am three miles east of the airport. Pretty heavy precip at the moment. Best sleet rates we've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 8pm report, north Chapel Hill NC; Sleet. light to moderate. 20.5 degrees cold. edit - no zr mix yet, its all sleet baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Snow/sleet mix. We switched over at around 5 PM. depends on where you are in relation to the balloon launch. you are south of the launch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 GSO should be all snow from the soundings.... Looks like they are a sleet/snow mix per the latest observations. They are right on the mixing line per correlation coefficient from KFCX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 17, 2015 Author Share Posted February 17, 2015 depends on where you are in relation to the balloon launch. you are south of the launch. I am three miles east of the airport. I'm not really in High Point. I'm in north High Point right by the airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 26 degrees and moderate sleet... covers the sidewalk as soon as I sweep it off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted February 17, 2015 Author Share Posted February 17, 2015 Looks like they are a sleet/snow mix per the latest observations. They are right on the mixing line per correlation coefficient from KFCX. Phil, has the SN/IP line been on the move south at all (I forget the link to the correlation coefficient radar)? I do notice more snow mixing in than I've seen since about 5 PM. Will that continue? I know we'll warm up eventually, but in the meantime it would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 It's getting bad here just outside of Athens. I'm starting to hear limbs falling. We still just have an advisory. Are they sleeping at the NWS? Certainly is getting that way but don't be surprised. This is a common problem with FFC..they normally ignore us out this way..but to have this much icing and not even an advisory for some counties is absurd..especially when they issue those over virtually nothing in atlanta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Been in a steady light to moderate rain with stiff NE winds...32.6F. Confirmed report of icing in Pomaria, e/se of Newberry. I'm waiting There have been reports of a few pingers in west columbia though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
raysum Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 28 in Spartanburg with moderate sleet. Roads are covered now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Looks like they are a sleet/snow mix per the latest observations. They are right on the mixing line per correlation coefficient from KFCX. the warm nose has moved N since 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 Since we're currently in "Storm Mode" - and locations have been temporarily removed to save bandwidth, when you say "it's snowing here" or "Power flick here", could you please let us know where 'here' is? Thanks I can still see locations. Nothing much happening here yet in New Bern. Temp has been bouncing between 29 and 30. Dew point is up to 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted February 17, 2015 Share Posted February 17, 2015 The prevalence of sleet in the GSP metro area implies that there is a deeper cold reservoir underneath that warm nose than forecast. That means that areas getting sleet now might actually be in better shape that areas along the southern periphery of the wedge (Anderson, Greenwood, Northeast GA) which are primarily receiving freezing rain. GSPs ice map is an improvement, but is still too far north and west with the ice shield since locations that are progged to get 0.00" ice accretion are currently receiving freezing rain (e.g. Greenwood, which is currently 30F). Take home message, don't be surprised if warnings are extended another county south if these regions don't warm up above freezing soon. I know it is not a lot, but temps close to downtown greenville has gone from 27.2 to now 28.1. Still sleeting but if we get around 29 I fear the freezing rain will start again Thanks again for the info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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