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February 16-17 Storm Threat


WxUSAF

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Here is the minimum potential scenario FWIW:

http://www.weather.gov/images/lwx/winter/SnowAmt10Prcntl.png

Amounts of 3-5 inches central to south is pretty decent as the min solution. Confidence is pretty decent. Goal post between min and max are higher further north especially along the M/D line where confidence is a bit lower.

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Around 7" in DC and 6" in Bwi by 7 a.m.

this is a 6-8 storm it seems no matter what the model. Hopefully better ratios and one more north nudge can get us to the higher edge but its a fast mover. Does this storm look like the Dec 5,2002 storm or the Feb 2003 storm a week before PD3?

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